Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Utah and the Tenth Circuit

The Tenth Circuit court literally reduced to kindling the shaky edifice that was Utah's defense of its gay marriage prohibition struck down by the district court.

"We hold that the Fourteenth Amendment protects the fundamental right to marry, establish a  family, raise children, and enjoy the full protection of a state’s marital laws. A state may  not deny the issuance of a marriage license to two persons, or refuse to recognize their marriage, based solely upon the sex of the persons in the marriage union."

The state advanced four justifications for banning same sex marriage contending that it furthers the state's interest by:

(1) “fostering a child-centric marriage culture that encourages parents to subordinate their own interests to the needs of their children”;
(2) “children being raised by their biological mothers and fathers—or at least by a married mother and father—in a stable home”;
(3) “ensuring adequate reproduction”;
(4) “accommodating religious freedom and reducing the potential for civic strife.”

The court immediately made the point that the first three are in fact all based upon a "link between marriage and procreation."

The court then went on to say:

"The common thread running through each of appellants’ first three arguments is the claim that allowing same-sex couples to marry “would break the critical conceptual link between marriage and procreation.”

"The challenged restrictions on the right to marry and on recognition of otherwise valid marriages, however, do not differentiate between procreative and non-procreative couples. Instead, Utah citizens may choose a spouse of the opposite sex regardless of the pairing’s procreative capacity. The elderly, those medically unable to conceive, and those who exercise their fundamental right not to have biological children are free to marry and have their out-of-state marriages recognized in Utah, apparently without breaking the “conceptual link between marriage and procreation.”

In other words, just cut the crap already.

As for the fourth justification:

"Appellants contend that a prohibition on same-sex marriage 'is essential to preserving social harmony in the State' and that allowing same-sex couple to marry 'would create the potential for religion related strife.'"

I find it incredible that they actually put this on the table. Obviously they're as delusional as Tony Perkins and the morons that thought they were going to get 10 million people to show up to force Obama out of office.

"Even assuming that appellants are correct in predicting that some substantial degree of discord will follow state recognition of same-sex marriage, the Supreme Court  has repeatedly held that public opposition cannot provide cover for a violation of  fundamental rights."

In other words, screw you, bring it on.

I can hear the Religious Freedom howls already from the wing nuts. But the court also said this:

"We also emphasize, as did the district court, that today’s decision relates solely to  civil marriage."

"Plaintiffs must be accorded the same legal status presently granted to married couples, but religious institutions remain as free as they always have been to practice their sacraments and traditions as they see fit."

Stack up one more precedent for the good guys on the road to the Supreme Court.

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

The World Cup Day 13

Day 13 was unlucky for Italy as they lost to Uruguay and were eliminated. In the other Group D game los Ticos and England played to a 0-0 draw. Uruguay will advance with Costa Rica.

In Group C Greece justified my faith in them by beating The Ivory Coast 2-1 while Columbia handled Japan 4-1.

The standings after thirteen days (teams which have clinched moving on to the knockout round are in italics):

Completed Groups
Group A: Brazil (7), Mexico (7), Croatia (3), Cameroon (0)
Group B: Netherlands (9), Chile (6)Spain (3), Australia (0)
Group C: Columbia (6)Greece (1), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (1)
Group D: Costa Rica (7)Uruguay (6), Italy (3), England (1)

Groups with Games Remaining
Group E: France (6),  Ecuador (3), Switzerland (3), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (6)Nigeria (4), Iran (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (4), United States (4), Ghana (1), Portugal (1)
Group H: Belgium (6), Algeria (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1)

So, how am I doing?

I'll show them goats, orangutans and chimpanzees yet.  Of the 10 teams that have clinched a trip to the next round, I picked 8. Which isn't too bad. I mean, Costa Rica over Italy and England and Spain eliminated in the first round? If you picked those, my hat is off to you.

Six spots left.

In Group F, Nigeria needs to beat, tie or lose by only one goal to Argentina OR Iran has to lose or draw with Bosnia-Herzegovina and Nigeria is in. In Group E I need Switzerland to beat Honduras and Ecuador to lose or draw with France.

Should be interesting especially considering how well the South America teams have been playing. They've clinched five spots in the round of 16.

Monday, June 23, 2014

The World Cup Day 12

The early games were in Group B were the only thing left to decide was first and second. The Netherlands beat Chile 2-0 to take first and Spain completed a disappointing World Cup by beating Australia 3-0.

In Group A Brazil clinched 1st by beating Cameroon 4-1 and Mexico advanced with a three goal barrage in the second half defeating Croatia 3-1.

The standings after twelve days (teams which have clinched moving on to the knockout round are in italics):

Completed Groups
Group A: Brazil (7), Mexico (7), Croatia (3), Cameroon (0)
Group B: Netherlands (9), Chile (6)Spain (3), Australia (0)

Groups with Games Remaining
Group C: Columbia (6), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (1), Greece (1)
Group D: Costa Rica (6), Italy (3), Uruguay (3), England (0)
Group E: France (6),  Ecuador (3), Switzerland (3), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (6)Nigeria (4), Iran (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (4), United States (4), Ghana (1), Portugal (1)
Group H: Belgium (6), Algeria (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1)

So, how am I doing?

Of the 8 teams that have clinched advancing to the second round, I picked 6. Only three more to go in order to do better than a drunken chimpanzee selecting randomly. Or, maybe not selecting randomly. the drunken chimp could know more about soccer than I do.

Sunday, June 22, 2014

The World Cup Day 11

Oh that hurt. Oh that REALLY hurt. With a score in the 95th minute Portugal came back to tie the US 2-2. That keeps everyone alive in Group G.

In Group H, Belgium beat Russia 1-0 and Algeria beat South Korea in a wild one 4-2. So Belgium clinches a spot in the knockout round.

The standings after eleven days (teams which have clinched moving on to the knockout round are in italics):

Group A: Brazil (4), Mexico (4), Croatia (3), Cameroon (0)
Group B: Netherlands (6), Chile (6), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (6), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (1), Greece (1)
Group D: Costa Rica (6), Italy (3), Uruguay (3), England (0)
Group E: France (6),  Ecuador (3), Switzerland (3), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (6)Nigeria (4), Iran (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (4), United States (4), Ghana (1), Portugal (1)
Group H: Belgium (6), Algeria (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1)

Germany, with a 3 point and 5 GD lead over Ghana and a 3 point and 8 GD lead over Portugal, is all but in. It would take a catastrophe of unprecedented proportions for them not to advance.

The US is in control of its own destiny. A win or draw against Germany, or a draw between Ghana and Portugal, and they advance.

Now we all know that Ghana and Portugal are not going to draw and the US probably isn't going to beat or draw Germany after leaving so much on the pitch against Portugal. That means things should be as exciting as hell next Thursday.

The US has only a 2 GD over Ghana so if they lose, and Ghana wins, that gets wiped out. If either game is by 2 goals or more, Ghana advances. If both games are by one goal then it depends how many goals are scored. If the US scores more goals, they score the same amount of goals, or Ghana scores one goal more, the US will advance. If Ghana scores two or more goals more, Ghana will advance.

You got that?

It's a tougher road for Portugal. The US has a five GD lead over Portugal. So, not only must the US lose and Portugal win, but they need to make up five goals which is unlikely but, hey, that's why you have to play the game.

Group H is much easier. Belgium is in and the winner of the Algeria v. Russia game will advance with them. If it's a draw, Algeria advances unless, by some bizarre twist, South Korea not only defeats Belgium but also makes up a 3 GD.

So, how am I doing?

Six teams have clinched advancing and I picked 4 of those 6. Only five more to go in order to do better than orangutans selecting the winners randomly.

Saturday, June 21, 2014

The World Cup Day 10

Iran played tough against Argentina but finally gave up a goal in the 2nd minute of extra time to Lionel Messi and lost 1-0. Ghana and Germany played to a 2-2 draw and Nigeria beat Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-0.

The standings after ten days (teams which have clinched moving on to the knockout round are in italics):

Group A: Brazil (4), Mexico (4), Croatia (3), Cameroon (0)
Group B: Netherlands (6), Chile (6), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (6), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (1), Greece (1)
Group D: Costa Rica (6), Italy (3), Uruguay (3), England (0)
Group E: France (6),  Ecuador (3), Switzerland (3), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (6)Nigeria (4), Iran (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (4), United States (3), Ghana (1), Portugal (0)
Group H: Belgium (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1), Algeria (0)

So Argentina clinches a spot in the knockout round and Nigeria, with a 3 point and a 2 GD lead on Iran, will most likely go with them.

The US is in a position to clinch moving on if they can beat Portugal. Of course that's a really big "if." If they lose to Portugal they'll be faced with the daunting task of beating the German team. A draw with Portugal would give the US a 3 point lead over both Portugal and Ghana with a 2 GD lead over Ghana and a 5 GD lead over Portugal.

So, of the 5 teams that have clinched spots in the round of 16, I chose 3.

Friday, June 20, 2014

The World Cup Day 9

In addition to los Ticos 1-0 victory over Italy, France rolled over Switzerland 5-2 and Ecuador beat Honduras 2-1.

The standings after nine days (teams which have clinched moving on to the knockout round are in italics):

Group A: Brazil (4), Mexico (4), Croatia (3), Cameroon (0)
Group B: Netherlands (6), Chile (6), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (6), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (1), Greece (1)
Group D: Costa Rica (6), Italy (3), Uruguay (3), England (0)
Group E: France (6),  Ecuador (3), Switzerland (3), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (3), Iran (1), Nigeria (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (3), United States (3), Ghana (0), Portugal (0)
Group H: Belgium (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1), Algeria (0)

As noted in the previous post, with Costa Rica's victory over Italy they clinch an advance to the round of 16 and the winner of the Italy v. Uruguay game will advance with them. If it's a draw, then Italy will advance.

As for Group E, just about nothing is settled but France, with a 6 GD lead over Ecuador and an 8 GD lead over Switzerland, has all but clinched a spot in the knockout round. Switzerland would need a win over Honduras to have any chance of advancing and then would also need France to beat or draw with Ecuador.

So, how am I doing? Not too good if the truth must be told. Of the four teams guaranteed to advance, I picked only 2. Two of my picks, Spain and England, have been eliminated, and things don't look too good for Greece or Uruguay either, but we'll see.

Costa Rica beats Italy 1-0

OK, England is now officially dead. With Costa Rica's victory over Italy they clinch an advance to the round of 16 and the winner of the Italy v. Uruguay game will advance with them. If it's a draw, then Italy will advance.

Costa Rica, ranked #28 in the world by FIFA, now has wins over #9 Italy and #7 Uruguay to it's credit in this World Cup. They'll try and add #10 England to their trophy list Tuesday.

Thursday, June 19, 2014

The World Cup Day 8

Columbia beats the Ivory Coast 2-1, Greece, despite playing with only 10 men the entire second half, manages a 0-0 draw with Japan and England loses to Uruguay 2-1.

The standings after eight days (teams in italics have clinched moving on to the next round)

Group A: Brazil (4), Mexico (4), Croatia (3), Cameroon (0)
Group B: Netherlands (6), Chile (6), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (6), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (1), Greece (1)
Group D: Costa Rica (3), Italy (3), Uruguay (3), England (0)
Group E: France (3), Switzerland (3), Ecuador (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (3), Iran (1), Nigeria (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (3), United States (3), Ghana (0), Portugal (0)
Group H: Belgium (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1), Algeria (0)

Columbia, with its win, and the draw between Japan and Greece, clinches a spot in the knockout round. Greece and Japan are both still alive. If Greece beats the Ivory Coast and Japan fails to beat Columbia, Greece will advance. If the Ivory Coast beats Greece then they will advance regardless of what happens in the Japan v. Columbia game. If the Ivory Coast draws Greece and Japan wins, it will go to the tie breakers where the Ivory Coast currently has all the advantages.

England is almost dead but not quite. They can still advance if Italy beats both Uruguay and Costa Rica, they beat Costa Rica and they manage to make up an extra goal in differential and total goals over Costa Rica.

As for my picks, Columbia makes it at least 3 right but I also have at least 2 wrong. My best case is 6-2 out of the fist four groups and my worst case is 3-5.

The "Tea Party" is Composed of Morons

OK, I know that isn't exactly a news flash but a recent NBC/WSJ poll shows just how far out of sync the Tea Party is with the rest of the country and even the rest of the Republican Party.

Here are the poll question and results, with the occasional commentary (you just knew I couldn't resist).

Does immigration help or hurt the United States?
Tea Party: 68% Hurts, 19% Helps
Other Republicans: 47% Hurts, 40% Helps
Country at Large: 47% Helps, 42% Hurts

If you consider immigration across the board clearly it helps. However, some immigration is negative in nature. Illegal immigration generally hurts as does allowing people in with a radical agendas such as Ken Ham (from Australia) and Ray Comfort (from New Zealand). We have enough home grown crazies.

Support or Oppose Common Core?
Tea Party: 53% Oppose, 38% Support
Other Republicans: 49% Support, 42% Oppose
Country at Large: 59% Support, 31% Oppose

This one baffles me. I've looked at Common Core and it strikes me as fairly innocuous. Is it perfect? Undoubtedly not but most of the right wing nut case objections I've heard are based upon paranoid fantasy rather than thoughtful criticism.

Approve or disapprove of proposal to reduce greenhouse gases?
Tea Party: 74% Disapprove, 23% Approve
Other Republicans: 50% Approve, 47% Disapprove
Country at Large: 57% Approve, 39% Disapprove

This is an engineering problem. How to reduce greenhouse emissions without raising energy costs or causing other unintended grief? There will be an engineering solution and we'll all breathe better.

What to do about Climate Change?
Tea Party: 39% Concern is Unwarranted, 38% Don't Know, 16% Some Action, 6% Serious/Immediate Action.
Other Republicans: 7% Concern is Unwarranted, 31% Don't Know, 43% Some Action, 17% Serious/Immediate Action.
Country at Large: 13% Concern is Unwarranted, 24% Don't Know, 30% Some Action, 31% Serious/Immediate Action.

I'm off the fence on this one and I'm convinced that serious action is required.

Wednesday, June 18, 2014

The World Cup Day 7

Spain is eliminated by Chile 2-0 who advances with the Netherlands into the Round of 16 as they defeat Australia 3-2. In the Group A game Croatia beats Cameroon 4-0.

The standings after seven days are (teams in italics have clinched moving into the next round):

Group A: Brazil (4), Mexico (4), Croatia (3), Cameroon (0)
Group B: Netherlands (6), Chile (6), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (3), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (0), Greece (0)
Group D: Costa Rica (3), Italy (3), England (0), Uruguay (0)
Group E: France (3), Switzerland (3), Ecuador (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (3), Iran (1), Nigeria (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (3), United States (3), Ghana (0), Portugal (0)
Group H: Belgium (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1), Algeria (0)

So Group A is still a little open. Croatia, by beating Mexico, could jump ahead of them and Brazil could need at least a draw with Cameroon if Mexico and Croatia draw.

If the unthinkable happens and Cameroon somehow manages to beat Brazil, while Mexico and Croatia draw, then Mexico would come in by points 5-4 and Croatia would come in second by way of goal differential because right now both Croatia and Brazil are at +2 goals.

I suspect that's REALLY unlikely but hey, that's why you have to play the game.

If Brazil and Mexico both win then first will be determined by goal differential. Right now Brazil has a 1 goal advantage.

In Group B the Netherlands and Chile will both advance. The winner of their game will come in first and the loser second. If it's a draw then the Netherlands will come in first based upon goal differential.

In tomorrow's games Greece, England and Uruguay all just about have their World Cup lives on the line.

As for my picks, at least 2, and possibly 3, of my 4 picks in Groups A & B will advance. Group C looks so-so but could improve tomorrow if Greece beats Japan. Group D looks really ugly and Group E looks good. Groups F, G & H look so-so.

My pet goat Frankie, picking randomly, would be expected to get about 8 of the 16 right. Let's see if I can at least beat that.

Defending Champion Spain is Done

With a 2-0 loss to Chile, while the Netherlands defeated Australia 2-1, Spain has been eliminated. For the second consecutive World Cup the defending champs won't get past the group round.

Both the Netherlands and Chile will advance from Group B.

Group B: Netherlands (6), Chile (6), Australia (0), Spain (0)

The Netherlands v. Chile game will determine who will play the winner of Group A, which will probably be Brazil, in the first game of the Round of 16.

The final game today is Cameroon v. Croatia.

More Bad News for the Forces of Darkness

Right wing nut jobs like Tony Perkins keep predicting dire consequences and even open rebellion should gay marriage become the law of the land.

As usual, the right wing is delusional.

The Human Rights Campaign used Republican pollster TargetPoint consulting to conduct a poll on gay marriage as a special gift for NOM's while they "march" tomorrow.

Consistent with other polls they found support for gay marriage at a solid 56% while opposition was at only 37%. Even more interesting, the number of people STRONGLY supporting gay marriage was found to be approaching a majority at 44%.

As for the chances of a rebellion should gay marriage become legal across the country, it's just about zero. Only 18% agree with Perkins about a "firestorm of opposition" while a solid 59% disagree.

Fully 62% of Americans say the country wouldn't be that different if gays could marry and 74% said their life wouldn't change. Even among those that said things would be different 20% thought the changes would be positive.

The culture has come to terms with gay marriage. Only the Supreme Court, by doing something excruciatingly stupid, could upset this apple cart.

They've Got to be Going Crazy

I'm really glad I'm not a Conservative these days. These people have got to be going crazy the way the culture is literally running away from them.

A black president, gay marriage and transgender rights have got to be making them howl at the moon. And that's not to mention the steady rise of militant atheism.

They just don't get it. They don't understand why people don't think like them. That's because they're so narrow minded they honestly can't accept they might be wrong. There's a big "No Admittance" sign on their fat far-heads.

Normally being a Conservative is easy because you're so, so sure that you know the truth. Liberals tend to run around like ducks with an itch trying to weigh and balance every conceivable side of an argument. Put six liberals in a room and you'll get nine or ten opinions.

But when Liberals finally agree on a course of action, like the Northern states they call home, "they move with the steady momentum and perseverance of a mighty avalanche."

That's when the Conservative's pat little ethnocentric world begins to come apart. That's what's happening today.

Things will eventually settle down and stabilize until the next issue rears its ugly head. I wonder what that will be? Robot rights perhaps?

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

The World Cup Day 6

Well, two more draws today including a 0-0 draw between Brazil and Mexico. That was quite a game though including one of the best performances I've ever seen by a goal keeper. Gulliermo Ochoa made two or three utterly improbable saves to keep the game even.

In Group H Belgium came back to beat Algeria 2-1 while Russia avoided a loss to South Korea with a goal in the 74th minute to tie the game 1-1.

The standings after six days are:

Group A: Brazil (4), Mexico (4), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (3), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (0), Greece (0)
Group D: Costa Rica (3), Italy (3), England (0), Uruguay (0)
Group E: France (3), Switzerland (3), Ecuador (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (3), Iran (1), Nigeria (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (3), United States (3), Ghana (0), Portugal (0)
Group H: Belgium (3), Russia (1), South Korea (1), Algeria (0)

As the second games proceed we can start playing with all the combinations. Right now both Brazil and Mexico are in good shape but a lot hinges on the Cameroon v. Croatia game tomorrow. If Croatia wins then they'll have a golden opportunity to go past Mexico with a win in the third game.

If Cameroon wins, they'll then have to either win or draw against Brazil. With a draw they'll need help from Croatia. I'm sticking with my picks of Brazil and Mexico.

The Group B games tomorrow should be interesting as well. If Spain doesn't beat Chile things are going to start looking really dim for the defending champs.

Monday, June 16, 2014

The World Cup Day 5

Hey, the US beat Ghana 2-1. Goes to show you what I know. Germany clobbered Portugal 4-0 which was a bit of a surprise or at least the score was.

And, of course, after me making all sorts of cooing sounds about more scoring this time around and no draws so far we got a 0-0 draw between Nigeria and Iran.

The standings after five days:

Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (3), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (3), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (0), Greece (0)
Group D: Costa Rica (3), Italy (3), England (0), Uruguay (0)
Group E: France (3), Switzerland (3), Ecuador (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (3), Iran (1), Nigeria (1), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (3), United States (3), Ghana (0), Portugal (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)

Tomorrow we get the two games from the final group, Belgium v. Algeria and Russia v. South Korea, plus the first second game between Brazil and Mexico.

There are several games coming up between teams that both lost the first game. Another loss and they're pretty much done.

Wed. Cameroon v. Croatia
Thu. Uruguay v. England and Japan v. Greece
Fri. Honduras v. Ecuador

The next game for the US is against Portugal on Sunday. That's a big game for both teams. For the US a chance to lock-up a trip to the round of 16 and for Portugal a need to hold off elimination.

Sunday, June 15, 2014

Looking Forward to Stage 2

I was just thinking how "interesting" a Brazil v. Argentina final would be. Such a match is possible if Brazil wins Group A and Argentina wins Group F.

The World Cup Day 4

OK, I did a lot better today. Both of my picks to advance in Group E won, Switzerland over Ecuador 2-1 and France over Honduras 3-0 plus Argentina beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-1.

The standings after four days:

Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (3), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (3), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (0), Greece (0)
Group D: Costa Rica (3), Italy (3), England (0), Uruguay (0)
Group E: France (3), Switzerland (3), Ecuador (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (3), Iran (0), Nigeria (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0)
Group G: Germany (0), Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)

We've now completed 11 games. In 2010, after 11 games, there had been 4 draws, 9 shutouts, including a 0-0 draw between Uruguay and France, and a total of 18 goals for an average of 1.6 goals per game.

This year, after 11 games, there have been no draws, only 3 shutouts and a total of 37 goals scored for an average of almost 3.4 goals per game. It must have something to do with the water in Brasil.

The US plays its first game tomorrow and if they want any chance at all of making it to the round of 16 they have to beat Ghana. Unfortunately Ghana, with its precision passing game, usually gives the US fits. I wouldn't hold my breath.

Then there is Germany v. Portugal in the same group. That is going to be an interesting game even though I'm pretty sure both will advance anyway. In the last game I need Nigeria to beat Iran or Group F is going to start to look almost as ugly as Group D.

Civil War Comes to Iraq

To be honest with you I'm surprised it took this long for the civil war to get going.

The radical Sunni Islamic group ISIS (Islamic State of Iraq and Syria) have plunged the country into chaos, captured Mosul in the north and claim to have killed 1700 government troops as they march toward Baghdad.

Influential Shiite clerics have called upon Iraqi militia to come and defend the capital. Reports say "thousands" of Iraqis have responded but I'm not sure what that means.

In the meantime the Kurds are taking advantage of the situation to carve out a piece of the country for themselves.

So far the American trained and equipped Iraqi "Army" appears only good at surrendering its weapons to the ISIS insurgents.

In September of 2007 I said "It appears that the only thing preventing all out sectarian war and the accompanying horrors is the American presence on the ground...If there is going to be a war, at least it will be a war that the Iraqi’s choose for themselves and not one thrust upon them by us."

Of course the Shiite Iranians aren't thrilled with the idea of a radical Sunni force on their doorstep and appear ready to "help out." It's unclear to me exactly what that means as well.

Some wars have to happen. The American Civil War had to happen and I suspect the Iraqi Civil War has to happen as well.

Anyone miss Saddam yet? No, I suppose not. This was always the danger but I suspect Saddam's time was limited in any event. Iraq is an artificial colonial construct. The British Mandate of Mesopotamia set up by the League of Nations ignored the region's ethnic and religious groups. This war has been brewing for a hundred years.

The World Cup Day 3

Columbia jumped out to a quick start against Greece and never looked back in a 3-0 win. Costa Rica shocked the South American Uruguay 3-1, the Ivory Coast topped Japan 2-1 and Italy whipped England by the same 2-1 score.

With England losing to Italy and Uruguay losing to Costa Rica, my Group D picks aren't looking very good. Does this really surprise anyone?

The standings after three days:

Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (3), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0), 
Group C: Columbia (3)Ivory Coast (3), Japan (0), Greece (0)
Group D: Costa Rica (3)Italy (3)England (0)Uruguay (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0)France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0)Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0)Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0)Russia (0), South Korea (0)

Friday, June 13, 2014

The World Cup Day 2

In 2010, when Spain lost the first game to Switzerland, I said it might actually help them by making them focus. Well today the Netherlands avenged its loss last year in the final and clobbered Spain 5-1.

With a minus four goal differential defending champion Spain almost has to win both of the next games against Chile and Australia especially since Chile has beaten Australia 3-1. That gives Chile a 6 goal edge in the first tie breaker.

In the second Group A game Mexico defeated Cameroon 1-0.

The standings after two days:

Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (3), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0), 
Group C: Columbia (0)Greece (0), Ivory Coast (0), Japan (0)
Group D: Uruguay (0), Costa Rica (0)England (0), Italy (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0)France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0)Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0)Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0)Russia (0), South Korea (0)

All four Group C and D matches will be played tomorrow.

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Brazil off to a 3-1 Win

Brazil made a statement in the opening game downing Croatia 3-1. There will be three games tomorrow. Current Standings (my picks in bold):

Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (0), Camaroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Spain (0), Netherlands (0), Chile (0), Australia (0)
Group C: Columbia (0), Greece (0), Ivory Coast (0), Japan (0)
Group D: Uruguay (0), Costa Rica (0), England (0), Italy (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0), France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0), Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0), Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)

12:00 PM - Mexico v. Cameroon
 3:00 PM - Spain v. Netherlands
 6:00 PM - Chile v. Australia

Monday, June 09, 2014

Let the Insanity Begin!

The 2014 World Cup kicks off (literally) Thursday with Brazil vs. Croatia. In case you forgot, the groups are:

Group A: Brazil, Croatia, Mexico, Camaroon
Group B: Spain, Netherlands, Chile, Australia
Group C: Columbia, Greece, Ivory Coast, Japan
Group D: Uruguay, Costa Rica, England, Italy
Group E: Switzerland, Ecuador, France Honduras
Group F: Argentina, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Iran, Nigeria
Group G: Germany, Portugal, Ghana, United States
Group H: Belgium, Algeria, Russia, South Korea

And, just in case anyone out there cares, *cough, cough*, my, let's embarrass myself again, picks for moving on to the round of 16 were:

Group A: Brazil, Mexico
Group B: Spain, Netherlands
Group C: Columbia, Greece
Group D: Uruguay, England
Group E: Switzerland, France
Group F: Argentina, Nigeria
Group G: Germany, Portugal
Group H: Belgium, Russia

Of course without Paraguay there will be no Larissa. Excuse me while I go cry my eyes out about that.

Sunday, June 08, 2014

SCOTUS Declines Request to Delay Gay Marriage

While the old white folks in Texas were making themselves look foolish by endorsing "therapy" for gays, the Supreme Court of the United States refused the request from NOM to delay gay marriages in Oregon.

Can you hear the walls crumbling?

Texas GOP Supports "Therapy" for Gays

Well, it could have been worse. They could have gotten the language "sexual sins tear at the fabric of society" in the GOP plank but they didn't.

Basically a couple of thousand old white people yearning for a fictional "good old days" decided to call for treatments that attempt to turn gay people straight.

This is despite all professional psychological and psychiatric associations in the US saying that not only is this treatment ineffective, it has the potential to be harmful.

Another example of the ignorance and arrogance of conservative Christians. That goes along with hateful and bigoted to make conservative Christianity one of the most repulsive philosophies on the planet.

If Jesus could only see what they've done.

I do not understand how anyone with an ounce or more of integrity and an IQ above 90 can vote Republican.

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Common Core Sex Education

Feel free to form your own opinions. Everyone does. All I ask is that you try to first get all the facts straight.

Hey, no one is perfect. I'm as guilty of selective reasoning as anyone else. We all tend to form our ideas based upon emotions and then proceed to find reasons why those ideas are correct.

But, and this is the big but, when you are faced with clear evidence that says maybe, just maybe, you're wrong, you have to accept that.

At the very least you need to accept the facts as they exist and if you can't sustain your position in light of those facts, you have to give it up.

Majorie Holstein, a conservative activist opposing the Common Core standards, is reported to be of the opinion that the Common Core sex education standards contain material so graphic they violate obscenity laws in some states.

There's only one problem; Common Core doesn't contain any sex education standards. So, if that is her opinion, I think it's safe to say it's a tad inaccurate.

NOM Asks for Stay in Oregon

The National Organization for Marriage (NOM), claiming to represent three unnamed members in Oregon, has asked the Supreme Court to stay the Gay Marriage order pending appeal.

Both the original plaintiffs and the State have asked the SCOTUS to deny the stay.

This could go either way as other states have had Gay Marriage put on hold pending appeal.

Thursday, May 29, 2014

A Gem from the Internet

The definition of Theology courtesy of day2night.

"Theology is a field of study designed to keep dangerously incompetent people in Universities away from moving machinery and sharp objects."

Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Same Sex Marriage in the US

As of today there are now 18 states that allow gay marriage as neither Oregon nor Pennsylvania is going to appeal recent court opinions. Illinois will become number 19 on June 1st.

Seven states are pending the appeal of court decisions declaring laws or amendments prohibiting gay marriages unconstitutional.  Two more states have been ordered to recognize out of state same sex marriages.

Basically the Supreme Court decision striking down DOMA has opened the flood gates and in the final analysis it will be up to the Supreme Court to either (a) shut them again, (b) leave them open for the long painful process of fighting the battle state by state or (c) put an end to all gay marriage bans.

In order to shut them again the Supreme Court would have to rule that State Constitutional amendments or laws banning gay marriages are constitutional.  They could allow the long painful process by simply refusing to review the question and they could end all gay marriage bans by declaring amendments and laws that prohibit gay marriage unconstitutional.

When the question finally gets there, what are they going to do?

Either (a) or (b) results in an ongoing state by state fight but (a) gives the advantage to the forces of darkness while (b) gives it to the forces of light.

Does John Roberts REALLY want to be remembered as being on the wrong side of history? Hopefully not and the court will go with (c) or at least (b).

Friday, May 16, 2014

Operation American Spring

In case you don't know what Operation American Spring (OAS) is, allow me to tell you. OAS was organized by right wing Tea Party activists to flood Washington D.C. and bring the city to a halt until Obama left office.

Organizer Harry Riley said they were expecting 10-20 million people and guaranteed a minimum of 10 million.

Organizers claimed that "militias all around the country are mobilizing" and that if the movement's objectives weren't met then things could turn violent.

They said that OAS was "bathed in prayer" and that God was on their side.

They intended to forcibly remove Obama from office and install a tribunal led by GOP figures such as Ted Cruz and Allen West.

Less than 100 people showed up.

The right wing is delusional. They are incapable of telling the difference between fantasy and reality. If they can think of it, and they can think of some pretty weird crap, and it meets their warped view of the world, then it must be true.

Clearly these morons have no concept of what it takes to organize a rally of even thousands of people never mind millions.

They also overlooked the small problem that what they said they were intending violated the Constitution of the US as well as federal law. If anyone in the government saw any reason to treat them as other than a joke, they'd all be in jail right now.

Even crazies like Cruz and West know better than to get involved in nonsense like this.

Oh yeah, God didn't show up either. I can only assume he had better things to do such as creating a universe without right wing lunatics perhaps.

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

I Agree with Pat Robertson

Someone needs to check whether or not hell has frozen over because I find myself in agreement with Pat Robertson.

The other day, on his CBN show, Robertson said that you had to be "deaf, dumb and blind to think that this earth that we live in has only 6,000 years of existence."

You got that one right Pat. In 2009 I wrote an entry about Ray Comfort talking to Pat Robertson where I expressed the opinion, based upon the look on Robertson's face, that he was humoring Comfort but thought he was nuts. I suppose I was right.

Ken Ham, of Answers in Genesis and the Creation museum, isn't taking kindly to this and claims that Robertson's comments were "beyond ignorant," that Robertson was "undermining the authority of the word" and "any attack on the word is an attack upon the person of Jesus Christ who is the word."

Now Robertson is not well versed in science and some of his remarks, in particular talking about carbon dating and millions of years, did display some scientific ignorance. But that doesn't change the fundamental accuracy of his main point, YOU DO HAVE TO BE DEAF, DUMB AND BLIND TO THINK THE WORLD IS ONLY 6,000 YEARS OLD.

As for an attack upon "the word," I'd like to point out to Ham the Ignorant that NOWHERE in the Bible is the claim that the earth was created 6,000 years ago. Something that I'm sure Ham knows very well.

The number is based upon a calculation by  Bishop James Ussher that creation began at nightfall preceding Sunday October 23rd, 4004 BCE.

He arrived at this number by (1) adding up the ages of the supposed unbroken male lineage from Adam to Solomon and then (2) from Solomon on, cross referencing the events in the Bible to other known rulers, events and cultures.

It is in fact a fairly impressive calculation based upon the facts and assumptions that were known at that time.

However in history as in science one must be willing to re-evaluate one's conclusions when new information becomes available. I absolutely guarantee you that if Bishop Ussher knew then what we know now from natural science, history and archaeology, he would discard his 6,000 year conclusion.

Even based upon Ussher's limited knowledge there are several glaring faults with his calculation especially the part related to adding up the ages of the males from Adam to Solomon.

1. The classic assumption is he is assuming the "days" in Genesis were consecutive 24 hour days when there is no real justification for that in the actual Hebrew. Most Christian Bibles give the distinct impression of counting with "the first day," "the second day," "the third day" and so on but the actual Hebrew is different.

In the actual Hebrew text the word "yom" has no definite article so better translations would be "one day," "a second day," "a third day" as in most Jewish translations and the New American Standard Bible (NASB). So there is no guarantee of the length of the day OR how much time may have passed BETWEEN the days.

2. He is assuming that the ages in the version of the Bible (which I assume was the KJV) he used are correct. The fact is that different Bible versions give different numbers. For instance the Septuagint apparently gives ages that add 1500 years. I suppose that's why you hear some hedging by Creationists about the age of the earth.

3. He is assuming that every male in the lineage is listed and he has to be assuming the age of the father at the birth of the son because that isn't always specified.

4. How can he possibly know how long Adam and Eve were in the garden before getting booted out?

Of course we now know, with pretty much absolute certainty, that Ussher's calculation of 6,000 years is wrong just as we know that Lord Kelvin's calculation in the 1890s was wrong. Kelvin calculated that the earth was between 20 million and 100 million years old based upon the thermodynamics of a cooling solid earth. Kelvin's calculation was wrong because he didn't know about radioactivity, which generates heat, and his assumption that the core of the earth is solid was wrong. It's actually molten.

While Kelvin never issued a retraction of his estimate he did concede privately that radioactivity made some of his assumptions unworkable. Even the best scientists can become dogmatic and dig in their heels when a favorite conclusions of theirs is attacked. That's why there are no authorities in science and peer reviews are so critical.

OK, I went off on a bit of a tangent there. The point is, if you believe in evidence, and if it matters to you what the truth is, you cannot escape the conclusion that the earth is something like 4.5 billion years old.

Robertson is right and Ham, as usual, in my opinion, is delusional.

Sunday, May 11, 2014

The NFL Draft

Well, the soap opera that the NFL draft has developed into is over and the final picks are in. How well did my predictions go? About as well as usual. In other words, I'm in no position to quit my day job.

The big question on everyone's mind was where would Johnny Football end up? Would the Texans take him at #1 or would they take DE Jedeveon Clowney? For the last few days there had been growing rumors that the Cowboys were maneuvering to draft Manziel and would either trade up or wait and hope at #16. In response the Giants indicated they would consider Manziel if he was still on the board at #12.

Oh the intrigue of it all.

The Texans did in fact go with DE Jedeveon Clowney at #1. The Rams grabbed OL Greg Robinson at #2 and then things began to go haywire which, for the NFL draft, is pretty much expected by now.

The Jaguars surprised a lot of people by taking QB Blake Bortles at #3. Most "experts" thought they would take Johnny Manziel if Houston didn't.

Then Cleveland traded its 4th pick to Buffalo for pick #9 this year and a first round pick next year. Buffalo drafted WR Sammy Watkins. That brought up Oakland who also was thought to be interested in a QB but the Raiders passed on both Manziel and Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater and took LB Khalil Mack. Khalil takes the prize for coolest name in the draft. It's Arabic for friend.

Atlanta took OL Jake Matthews at #6 which brought up Tampa Bay which also had been rumored to be looking for a QB. But the Bucs took WR Mike Evens. Then Cleveland traded the #9 pick it got from Buffalo to Minnesota for the #8 pick.

This didn't seem to make a whole lot of sense other than perhaps exchanging a draft pick so they could draft Manziel while leaving the Vikings with Bridgewater. But the Browns drafted CB Justin Gilbert and the Vikings, another team linked to a QB pick, took LB Anthony Barr.

The next three teams were the Lions, Titans and Giants. The Lions and Giants were set at QB. No one was taking the Manziel threat from the Giants seriously. Would the Titans go for Manziel?

As it turned out the Lions took TE Eric Ebron, the Titans OL Taylor Lewan and, to the surprise of many people, the Giants drafted WR Odell Beckham Jr. Most thought the Giants would take T Zack Martin or DL Aaron Donald. But, then again, no one thought Beckham would still be around at #12.

That left only three teams between the Dallas Cowboys and Johnny Manziel, the Rams, Bears and Steelers. None of them were likely to draft a QB in the first round and none did.

So, El Momento de Verdad had arrived. The Cowboys were on the clock and Johnny Football was on the board. The seconds ticked away. The numbers turned red as the clock went under one minute. The internet held its collective breath waiting for Jerry Jones to pull the trigger.

It's still waiting. Calmer heads prevailed and the Cowboys drafted T Zack Martin. As Jones explained the next day, they're committed to Tony Romo and, while drafting a QB to groom as Romo's replacement is not a bad idea, Manziel, with his star studded celebrity reputation just didn't fit that mold. As soon as anything went wrong, the pressure to go to Manziel would be a disruptive force, so the Cowboys passed on Johnny Football.

Then there was some speculation that the Jets at #18, despite having drafted Gino Smith last year, might go for Manziel because nobody really knows what the Jets will do or, Chip Kelly might surprise everyone and take him at #22.

As it worked out the Jets drafted S Calvin Pryor and the Eagles traded pick #22 to the Browns. I was beginning to get a little dizzy watching Cleveland bounce all around the board.

Finally the Browns drafted Manziel at #22. Bridgewater ended up going to the Vikings with pick #32 which they got from the Seahawks in order to prevent the Texans from possibly grabbing Bridgewater on the 1st pick of the second round.

The Texans came that close to potentially getting both Clowney and one of the top three QB prospects. Of course as to whether they would actually have drafted Bridgewater we'll never know.

While Cleveland was experiencing Manziel-mania, the announcement came from the NFL that their star WR Josh Gordon had been suspended for the year for substance abuse.

So, how will Johnny Football do in Cleveland?

Cleveland has been a death trap for QBs, In the last five years a number of high draft picks, selected with high hopes, have fallen victim. Brady Quinn (pick #22 in 2007), Colt McCoy (pick #85 in 2010) and Brandon Weeden (pick #22 in 2012) all met their Waterloo in Cleveland.

Did you notice that Johnny is the 3rd QB chosen at #22 by the Browns?

Hopefully Manziel can work his magic in Cleveland and break the jinx. Magic in Cleveland? Who am I kidding?

Aaron Donald, predicted as a Giants 1st round pick in many mock drafts, went to the Rams at #13. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, the runner up for best name in the draft, went to Green Bay with pick #21.

The first openly gay player in the draft, Michael Sam, also went to the Rams in round 7 at pick #249. Whether Sam can make the roster is another issue. He's what is known as a "tweener" in NFL slang. He may be too small for DE and too slow for LB. His NFL Combine workout was also apparently underwhelming. I'd put his chances at about 25%.

The title of Mr. Irrelevant, the last player taken in the NFL draft, went to S Lonnie Ballentine of Memphis.

Thursday, May 08, 2014

The Arrogance of Conservative Christians

In North Carolina a group of ministers along with the United Church of Christ church have joined same sex couples in challenging North Carolina's constitutional ban on same sex marriage.

The twist in this challenge is the clergy are arguing that because the law states that it is a misdemeanor to marry someone without a state license, the same-sex marriage ban violates the religious rights of clergy that wish to perform such ceremonies.

Now, you have to admit that's a fairly creative position.

Of course Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council disagrees. That's his right but WHY he disagrees is a real eye opener.

According to Perkins there's a "test" for "true religious freedom." Apparently it's only a freedom that's based upon "orthodox religious viewpoints."

So, who is it that's supposed to decide what constitutes an "orthodox religious viewpoint" you twit? According to Perkins "You cannot point to the Christian faith and say that same sex marriage has been a key teaching of the church."

Which "church" Tony?

The Episcopal Church has an approved liturgy for blessing same-sex marriages. The Evangelical Lutheran Church allows individual congregations to recognize and bless same-sex unions. The Unitarian Universalists and The United Church of Christ both support same-sex marriage.

Either everyone has freedom of religion or no one does. If you reserve a "freedom" to a subset of the population it becomes a "privilege." 

That's really the bottom line. What Conservative Christians actually want is "privilege." They want the privilege to decide what's right and what's wrong and then they want the privilege of forcing everyone else to abide by that decision.

Monday, May 05, 2014

Jesus's Wife, Greece and Mississippi

Ok, so the Jesus's wife manuscript may NOT be authentic.

Less than a month ago I reported that the scrap of papyrus appeared to be authentic rather than a medieval forgery. Since then it appears that many scholars have attacked the scrap as a fake and Harvard University has apparently stopped defending it.

In the Greece New York, case about prayer at town meetings, the Supreme Court has decided that prayer is OK because it is a "tradition," I might point out to the five twits that voted that way that slavery was a "tradition" too.

Finally, the Mississippi Religious Freedom Restoration Act – which is to take effect July 1 – and mirrors one passed on a federal level during the Clinton administration, is designed, in part, to protect business owners who don't want to do work to promote homosexual activism.

In response to passage of that bill, owners who want the business of homosexuals are now posting blue, circular window stickers that incorporate the rainbow colors typically associated with homosexual activism.

This is driving the American Family Association, a major supporter of the bill, totally crazy. They're now screaming that somehow businesses stepping into the breach and welcoming gay business is intended to "trample the freedom of Christians to live according to the dictates of scripture."

No, you can go ahead and refuse the business but other firms are perfectly happy to step in and take it. And that includes the business of heterosexuals who think discrimination sucks.

This is the old right wing attitude that they're allowed the "freedom" to say and do what they want but no one is allowed to disagree with them. In other words EVERYONE has to accept their opinions.

To all American Conservatives I say, here, check out the lovely shape of my middle finger.

Friday, May 02, 2014

Claims and Assertions

I must be missing something.

If you want to make a claim then it's usually a good idea for it to be of the form "John is cruel BECAUSE he tortures puppies."

Now we have your justification for claiming that John is cruel and we can move on to the EVIDENCE that John actually does torture puppies.

The point being is that you have at least established WHY you believe John is cruel. You believe he is cruel because you believe he tortures puppies.

Notice how much more illuminating this is than simply saying "John is cruel." An assertion with no justification is known as an "unsupported assertion."

It's been my experience that Conservatives rarely provide justifications. They simply provide "unsupported assertions."

A perfect example of this was David Horowitz yesterday on the Steve Malzberg radio show where he said "Obama is a dangerous, dangerous evil man" and a "neo-communist" that wants to "take down" the United States." Lots of assertions, but no justifications.

This is one of the reasons I find it hard to take them seriously.

WTF is a "neo-communist" anyway? Interestingly enough it's a new breed of communist that rejects totalitarianism while claiming to remain true to Marx's original concepts.

Given the way income inequality is going, this may not be a bad thing. Of course there's no way of knowing if that's what Horowitz meant because he didn't provide a justification for his assertion!