Columbia jumped out to a quick start against Greece and never looked back in a 3-0 win. Costa Rica shocked the South American Uruguay 3-1, the Ivory Coast topped Japan 2-1 and Italy whipped England by the same 2-1 score.
With England losing to Italy and Uruguay losing to Costa Rica, my Group D picks aren't looking very good. Does this really surprise anyone?
The standings after three days:
Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (3), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (3), Ivory Coast (3), Japan (0), Greece (0)
Group D: Costa Rica (3), Italy (3), England (0), Uruguay (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0), France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0), Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0), Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)
Sunday, June 15, 2014
Friday, June 13, 2014
The World Cup Day 2
In 2010, when Spain lost the first game to Switzerland, I said it might actually help them by making them focus. Well today the Netherlands avenged its loss last year in the final and clobbered Spain 5-1.
With a minus four goal differential defending champion Spain almost has to win both of the next games against Chile and Australia especially since Chile has beaten Australia 3-1. That gives Chile a 6 goal edge in the first tie breaker.
In the second Group A game Mexico defeated Cameroon 1-0.
The standings after two days:
Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (3), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (0), Greece (0), Ivory Coast (0), Japan (0)
Group D: Uruguay (0), Costa Rica (0), England (0), Italy (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0), France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0), Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0), Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)
All four Group C and D matches will be played tomorrow.
With a minus four goal differential defending champion Spain almost has to win both of the next games against Chile and Australia especially since Chile has beaten Australia 3-1. That gives Chile a 6 goal edge in the first tie breaker.
In the second Group A game Mexico defeated Cameroon 1-0.
The standings after two days:
Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (3), Cameroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Netherlands (3), Chile (3), Australia (0), Spain (0),
Group C: Columbia (0), Greece (0), Ivory Coast (0), Japan (0)
Group D: Uruguay (0), Costa Rica (0), England (0), Italy (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0), France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0), Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0), Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)
All four Group C and D matches will be played tomorrow.
Thursday, June 12, 2014
Brazil off to a 3-1 Win
Brazil made a statement in the opening game downing Croatia 3-1. There will be three games tomorrow. Current Standings (my picks in bold):
Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (0), Camaroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Spain (0), Netherlands (0), Chile (0), Australia (0)
Group C: Columbia (0), Greece (0), Ivory Coast (0), Japan (0)
Group D: Uruguay (0), Costa Rica (0), England (0), Italy (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0), France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0), Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0), Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)
12:00 PM - Mexico v. Cameroon
3:00 PM - Spain v. Netherlands
6:00 PM - Chile v. Australia
Group A: Brazil (3), Mexico (0), Camaroon (0), Croatia (0)
Group B: Spain (0), Netherlands (0), Chile (0), Australia (0)
Group C: Columbia (0), Greece (0), Ivory Coast (0), Japan (0)
Group D: Uruguay (0), Costa Rica (0), England (0), Italy (0)
Group E: Switzerland (0), Ecuador (0), France (0), Honduras (0)
Group F: Argentina (0), Bosnia-Herzegovina (0), Iran (0), Nigeria (0)
Group G: Germany (0), Portugal (0), Ghana (0), United States (0)
Group H: Belgium (0), Algeria (0), Russia (0), South Korea (0)
12:00 PM - Mexico v. Cameroon
3:00 PM - Spain v. Netherlands
6:00 PM - Chile v. Australia
Monday, June 09, 2014
Let the Insanity Begin!
The 2014 World Cup kicks off (literally) Thursday with Brazil vs. Croatia. In case you forgot, the groups are:
Group A: Brazil, Croatia, Mexico, Camaroon
Group B: Spain, Netherlands, Chile, Australia
Group C: Columbia, Greece, Ivory Coast, Japan
Group D: Uruguay, Costa Rica, England, Italy
Group E: Switzerland, Ecuador, France Honduras
Group F: Argentina, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Iran, Nigeria
Group G: Germany, Portugal, Ghana, United States
Group H: Belgium, Algeria, Russia, South Korea
And, just in case anyone out there cares, *cough, cough*, my, let's embarrass myself again, picks for moving on to the round of 16 were:
Group A: Brazil, Mexico
Group B: Spain, Netherlands
Group C: Columbia, Greece
Group D: Uruguay, England
Group E: Switzerland, France
Group F: Argentina, Nigeria
Group G: Germany, Portugal
Group H: Belgium, Russia
Of course without Paraguay there will be no Larissa. Excuse me while I go cry my eyes out about that.
Group A: Brazil, Croatia, Mexico, Camaroon
Group B: Spain, Netherlands, Chile, Australia
Group C: Columbia, Greece, Ivory Coast, Japan
Group D: Uruguay, Costa Rica, England, Italy
Group E: Switzerland, Ecuador, France Honduras
Group F: Argentina, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Iran, Nigeria
Group G: Germany, Portugal, Ghana, United States
Group H: Belgium, Algeria, Russia, South Korea
And, just in case anyone out there cares, *cough, cough*, my, let's embarrass myself again, picks for moving on to the round of 16 were:
Group A: Brazil, Mexico
Group B: Spain, Netherlands
Group C: Columbia, Greece
Group D: Uruguay, England
Group E: Switzerland, France
Group F: Argentina, Nigeria
Group G: Germany, Portugal
Group H: Belgium, Russia
Of course without Paraguay there will be no Larissa. Excuse me while I go cry my eyes out about that.
Sunday, June 08, 2014
SCOTUS Declines Request to Delay Gay Marriage
While the old white folks in Texas were making themselves look foolish by endorsing "therapy" for gays, the Supreme Court of the United States refused the request from NOM to delay gay marriages in Oregon.
Can you hear the walls crumbling?
Can you hear the walls crumbling?
Texas GOP Supports "Therapy" for Gays
Well, it could have been worse. They could have gotten the language "sexual sins tear at the fabric of society" in the GOP plank but they didn't.
Basically a couple of thousand old white people yearning for a fictional "good old days" decided to call for treatments that attempt to turn gay people straight.
This is despite all professional psychological and psychiatric associations in the US saying that not only is this treatment ineffective, it has the potential to be harmful.
Another example of the ignorance and arrogance of conservative Christians. That goes along with hateful and bigoted to make conservative Christianity one of the most repulsive philosophies on the planet.
If Jesus could only see what they've done.
I do not understand how anyone with an ounce or more of integrity and an IQ above 90 can vote Republican.
Basically a couple of thousand old white people yearning for a fictional "good old days" decided to call for treatments that attempt to turn gay people straight.
This is despite all professional psychological and psychiatric associations in the US saying that not only is this treatment ineffective, it has the potential to be harmful.
Another example of the ignorance and arrogance of conservative Christians. That goes along with hateful and bigoted to make conservative Christianity one of the most repulsive philosophies on the planet.
If Jesus could only see what they've done.
I do not understand how anyone with an ounce or more of integrity and an IQ above 90 can vote Republican.
Tuesday, June 03, 2014
Common Core Sex Education
Feel free to form your own opinions. Everyone does. All I ask is that you try to first get all the facts straight.
Hey, no one is perfect. I'm as guilty of selective reasoning as anyone else. We all tend to form our ideas based upon emotions and then proceed to find reasons why those ideas are correct.
But, and this is the big but, when you are faced with clear evidence that says maybe, just maybe, you're wrong, you have to accept that.
At the very least you need to accept the facts as they exist and if you can't sustain your position in light of those facts, you have to give it up.
Majorie Holstein, a conservative activist opposing the Common Core standards, is reported to be of the opinion that the Common Core sex education standards contain material so graphic they violate obscenity laws in some states.
There's only one problem; Common Core doesn't contain any sex education standards. So, if that is her opinion, I think it's safe to say it's a tad inaccurate.
Hey, no one is perfect. I'm as guilty of selective reasoning as anyone else. We all tend to form our ideas based upon emotions and then proceed to find reasons why those ideas are correct.
But, and this is the big but, when you are faced with clear evidence that says maybe, just maybe, you're wrong, you have to accept that.
At the very least you need to accept the facts as they exist and if you can't sustain your position in light of those facts, you have to give it up.
Majorie Holstein, a conservative activist opposing the Common Core standards, is reported to be of the opinion that the Common Core sex education standards contain material so graphic they violate obscenity laws in some states.
There's only one problem; Common Core doesn't contain any sex education standards. So, if that is her opinion, I think it's safe to say it's a tad inaccurate.
NOM Asks for Stay in Oregon
The National Organization for Marriage (NOM), claiming to represent three unnamed members in Oregon, has asked the Supreme Court to stay the Gay Marriage order pending appeal.
Both the original plaintiffs and the State have asked the SCOTUS to deny the stay.
This could go either way as other states have had Gay Marriage put on hold pending appeal.
Both the original plaintiffs and the State have asked the SCOTUS to deny the stay.
This could go either way as other states have had Gay Marriage put on hold pending appeal.
Thursday, May 29, 2014
A Gem from the Internet
The definition of Theology courtesy of day2night.
"Theology is a field of study designed to keep dangerously incompetent people in Universities away from moving machinery and sharp objects."
"Theology is a field of study designed to keep dangerously incompetent people in Universities away from moving machinery and sharp objects."
Wednesday, May 21, 2014
Same Sex Marriage in the US
As of today there are now 18 states that allow gay marriage as neither Oregon nor Pennsylvania is going to appeal recent court opinions. Illinois will become number 19 on June 1st.
Seven states are pending the appeal of court decisions declaring laws or amendments prohibiting gay marriages unconstitutional. Two more states have been ordered to recognize out of state same sex marriages.
Basically the Supreme Court decision striking down DOMA has opened the flood gates and in the final analysis it will be up to the Supreme Court to either (a) shut them again, (b) leave them open for the long painful process of fighting the battle state by state or (c) put an end to all gay marriage bans.
In order to shut them again the Supreme Court would have to rule that State Constitutional amendments or laws banning gay marriages are constitutional. They could allow the long painful process by simply refusing to review the question and they could end all gay marriage bans by declaring amendments and laws that prohibit gay marriage unconstitutional.
When the question finally gets there, what are they going to do?
Either (a) or (b) results in an ongoing state by state fight but (a) gives the advantage to the forces of darkness while (b) gives it to the forces of light.
Does John Roberts REALLY want to be remembered as being on the wrong side of history? Hopefully not and the court will go with (c) or at least (b).
Seven states are pending the appeal of court decisions declaring laws or amendments prohibiting gay marriages unconstitutional. Two more states have been ordered to recognize out of state same sex marriages.
Basically the Supreme Court decision striking down DOMA has opened the flood gates and in the final analysis it will be up to the Supreme Court to either (a) shut them again, (b) leave them open for the long painful process of fighting the battle state by state or (c) put an end to all gay marriage bans.
In order to shut them again the Supreme Court would have to rule that State Constitutional amendments or laws banning gay marriages are constitutional. They could allow the long painful process by simply refusing to review the question and they could end all gay marriage bans by declaring amendments and laws that prohibit gay marriage unconstitutional.
When the question finally gets there, what are they going to do?
Either (a) or (b) results in an ongoing state by state fight but (a) gives the advantage to the forces of darkness while (b) gives it to the forces of light.
Does John Roberts REALLY want to be remembered as being on the wrong side of history? Hopefully not and the court will go with (c) or at least (b).
Friday, May 16, 2014
Operation American Spring
In case you don't know what Operation American Spring (OAS) is, allow me to tell you. OAS was organized by right wing Tea Party activists to flood Washington D.C. and bring the city to a halt until Obama left office.
Organizer Harry Riley said they were expecting 10-20 million people and guaranteed a minimum of 10 million.
Organizers claimed that "militias all around the country are mobilizing" and that if the movement's objectives weren't met then things could turn violent.
They said that OAS was "bathed in prayer" and that God was on their side.
They intended to forcibly remove Obama from office and install a tribunal led by GOP figures such as Ted Cruz and Allen West.
Less than 100 people showed up.
The right wing is delusional. They are incapable of telling the difference between fantasy and reality. If they can think of it, and they can think of some pretty weird crap, and it meets their warped view of the world, then it must be true.
Clearly these morons have no concept of what it takes to organize a rally of even thousands of people never mind millions.
They also overlooked the small problem that what they said they were intending violated the Constitution of the US as well as federal law. If anyone in the government saw any reason to treat them as other than a joke, they'd all be in jail right now.
Even crazies like Cruz and West know better than to get involved in nonsense like this.
Oh yeah, God didn't show up either. I can only assume he had better things to do such as creating a universe without right wing lunatics perhaps.
Organizer Harry Riley said they were expecting 10-20 million people and guaranteed a minimum of 10 million.
Organizers claimed that "militias all around the country are mobilizing" and that if the movement's objectives weren't met then things could turn violent.
They said that OAS was "bathed in prayer" and that God was on their side.
They intended to forcibly remove Obama from office and install a tribunal led by GOP figures such as Ted Cruz and Allen West.
Less than 100 people showed up.
The right wing is delusional. They are incapable of telling the difference between fantasy and reality. If they can think of it, and they can think of some pretty weird crap, and it meets their warped view of the world, then it must be true.
Clearly these morons have no concept of what it takes to organize a rally of even thousands of people never mind millions.
They also overlooked the small problem that what they said they were intending violated the Constitution of the US as well as federal law. If anyone in the government saw any reason to treat them as other than a joke, they'd all be in jail right now.
Even crazies like Cruz and West know better than to get involved in nonsense like this.
Oh yeah, God didn't show up either. I can only assume he had better things to do such as creating a universe without right wing lunatics perhaps.
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
I Agree with Pat Robertson
Someone needs to check whether or not hell has frozen over because I find myself in agreement with Pat Robertson.
The other day, on his CBN show, Robertson said that you had to be "deaf, dumb and blind to think that this earth that we live in has only 6,000 years of existence."
You got that one right Pat. In 2009 I wrote an entry about Ray Comfort talking to Pat Robertson where I expressed the opinion, based upon the look on Robertson's face, that he was humoring Comfort but thought he was nuts. I suppose I was right.
Ken Ham, of Answers in Genesis and the Creation museum, isn't taking kindly to this and claims that Robertson's comments were "beyond ignorant," that Robertson was "undermining the authority of the word" and "any attack on the word is an attack upon the person of Jesus Christ who is the word."
Now Robertson is not well versed in science and some of his remarks, in particular talking about carbon dating and millions of years, did display some scientific ignorance. But that doesn't change the fundamental accuracy of his main point, YOU DO HAVE TO BE DEAF, DUMB AND BLIND TO THINK THE WORLD IS ONLY 6,000 YEARS OLD.
As for an attack upon "the word," I'd like to point out to Ham the Ignorant that NOWHERE in the Bible is the claim that the earth was created 6,000 years ago. Something that I'm sure Ham knows very well.
The number is based upon a calculation by Bishop James Ussher that creation began at nightfall preceding Sunday October 23rd, 4004 BCE.
He arrived at this number by (1) adding up the ages of the supposed unbroken male lineage from Adam to Solomon and then (2) from Solomon on, cross referencing the events in the Bible to other known rulers, events and cultures.
It is in fact a fairly impressive calculation based upon the facts and assumptions that were known at that time.
However in history as in science one must be willing to re-evaluate one's conclusions when new information becomes available. I absolutely guarantee you that if Bishop Ussher knew then what we know now from natural science, history and archaeology, he would discard his 6,000 year conclusion.
Even based upon Ussher's limited knowledge there are several glaring faults with his calculation especially the part related to adding up the ages of the males from Adam to Solomon.
1. The classic assumption is he is assuming the "days" in Genesis were consecutive 24 hour days when there is no real justification for that in the actual Hebrew. Most Christian Bibles give the distinct impression of counting with "the first day," "the second day," "the third day" and so on but the actual Hebrew is different.
In the actual Hebrew text the word "yom" has no definite article so better translations would be "one day," "a second day," "a third day" as in most Jewish translations and the New American Standard Bible (NASB). So there is no guarantee of the length of the day OR how much time may have passed BETWEEN the days.
2. He is assuming that the ages in the version of the Bible (which I assume was the KJV) he used are correct. The fact is that different Bible versions give different numbers. For instance the Septuagint apparently gives ages that add 1500 years. I suppose that's why you hear some hedging by Creationists about the age of the earth.
3. He is assuming that every male in the lineage is listed and he has to be assuming the age of the father at the birth of the son because that isn't always specified.
4. How can he possibly know how long Adam and Eve were in the garden before getting booted out?
Of course we now know, with pretty much absolute certainty, that Ussher's calculation of 6,000 years is wrong just as we know that Lord Kelvin's calculation in the 1890s was wrong. Kelvin calculated that the earth was between 20 million and 100 million years old based upon the thermodynamics of a cooling solid earth. Kelvin's calculation was wrong because he didn't know about radioactivity, which generates heat, and his assumption that the core of the earth is solid was wrong. It's actually molten.
While Kelvin never issued a retraction of his estimate he did concede privately that radioactivity made some of his assumptions unworkable. Even the best scientists can become dogmatic and dig in their heels when a favorite conclusions of theirs is attacked. That's why there are no authorities in science and peer reviews are so critical.
OK, I went off on a bit of a tangent there. The point is, if you believe in evidence, and if it matters to you what the truth is, you cannot escape the conclusion that the earth is something like 4.5 billion years old.
Robertson is right and Ham, as usual, in my opinion, is delusional.
The other day, on his CBN show, Robertson said that you had to be "deaf, dumb and blind to think that this earth that we live in has only 6,000 years of existence."
You got that one right Pat. In 2009 I wrote an entry about Ray Comfort talking to Pat Robertson where I expressed the opinion, based upon the look on Robertson's face, that he was humoring Comfort but thought he was nuts. I suppose I was right.
Ken Ham, of Answers in Genesis and the Creation museum, isn't taking kindly to this and claims that Robertson's comments were "beyond ignorant," that Robertson was "undermining the authority of the word" and "any attack on the word is an attack upon the person of Jesus Christ who is the word."
Now Robertson is not well versed in science and some of his remarks, in particular talking about carbon dating and millions of years, did display some scientific ignorance. But that doesn't change the fundamental accuracy of his main point, YOU DO HAVE TO BE DEAF, DUMB AND BLIND TO THINK THE WORLD IS ONLY 6,000 YEARS OLD.
As for an attack upon "the word," I'd like to point out to Ham the Ignorant that NOWHERE in the Bible is the claim that the earth was created 6,000 years ago. Something that I'm sure Ham knows very well.
The number is based upon a calculation by Bishop James Ussher that creation began at nightfall preceding Sunday October 23rd, 4004 BCE.
He arrived at this number by (1) adding up the ages of the supposed unbroken male lineage from Adam to Solomon and then (2) from Solomon on, cross referencing the events in the Bible to other known rulers, events and cultures.
It is in fact a fairly impressive calculation based upon the facts and assumptions that were known at that time.
However in history as in science one must be willing to re-evaluate one's conclusions when new information becomes available. I absolutely guarantee you that if Bishop Ussher knew then what we know now from natural science, history and archaeology, he would discard his 6,000 year conclusion.
Even based upon Ussher's limited knowledge there are several glaring faults with his calculation especially the part related to adding up the ages of the males from Adam to Solomon.
1. The classic assumption is he is assuming the "days" in Genesis were consecutive 24 hour days when there is no real justification for that in the actual Hebrew. Most Christian Bibles give the distinct impression of counting with "the first day," "the second day," "the third day" and so on but the actual Hebrew is different.
In the actual Hebrew text the word "yom" has no definite article so better translations would be "one day," "a second day," "a third day" as in most Jewish translations and the New American Standard Bible (NASB). So there is no guarantee of the length of the day OR how much time may have passed BETWEEN the days.
2. He is assuming that the ages in the version of the Bible (which I assume was the KJV) he used are correct. The fact is that different Bible versions give different numbers. For instance the Septuagint apparently gives ages that add 1500 years. I suppose that's why you hear some hedging by Creationists about the age of the earth.
3. He is assuming that every male in the lineage is listed and he has to be assuming the age of the father at the birth of the son because that isn't always specified.
4. How can he possibly know how long Adam and Eve were in the garden before getting booted out?
Of course we now know, with pretty much absolute certainty, that Ussher's calculation of 6,000 years is wrong just as we know that Lord Kelvin's calculation in the 1890s was wrong. Kelvin calculated that the earth was between 20 million and 100 million years old based upon the thermodynamics of a cooling solid earth. Kelvin's calculation was wrong because he didn't know about radioactivity, which generates heat, and his assumption that the core of the earth is solid was wrong. It's actually molten.
While Kelvin never issued a retraction of his estimate he did concede privately that radioactivity made some of his assumptions unworkable. Even the best scientists can become dogmatic and dig in their heels when a favorite conclusions of theirs is attacked. That's why there are no authorities in science and peer reviews are so critical.
OK, I went off on a bit of a tangent there. The point is, if you believe in evidence, and if it matters to you what the truth is, you cannot escape the conclusion that the earth is something like 4.5 billion years old.
Robertson is right and Ham, as usual, in my opinion, is delusional.
Sunday, May 11, 2014
The NFL Draft
Well, the soap opera that the NFL draft has developed into is over and the final picks are in. How well did my predictions go? About as well as usual. In other words, I'm in no position to quit my day job.
The big question on everyone's mind was where would Johnny Football end up? Would the Texans take him at #1 or would they take DE Jedeveon Clowney? For the last few days there had been growing rumors that the Cowboys were maneuvering to draft Manziel and would either trade up or wait and hope at #16. In response the Giants indicated they would consider Manziel if he was still on the board at #12.
Oh the intrigue of it all.
The Texans did in fact go with DE Jedeveon Clowney at #1. The Rams grabbed OL Greg Robinson at #2 and then things began to go haywire which, for the NFL draft, is pretty much expected by now.
The Jaguars surprised a lot of people by taking QB Blake Bortles at #3. Most "experts" thought they would take Johnny Manziel if Houston didn't.
Then Cleveland traded its 4th pick to Buffalo for pick #9 this year and a first round pick next year. Buffalo drafted WR Sammy Watkins. That brought up Oakland who also was thought to be interested in a QB but the Raiders passed on both Manziel and Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater and took LB Khalil Mack. Khalil takes the prize for coolest name in the draft. It's Arabic for friend.
Atlanta took OL Jake Matthews at #6 which brought up Tampa Bay which also had been rumored to be looking for a QB. But the Bucs took WR Mike Evens. Then Cleveland traded the #9 pick it got from Buffalo to Minnesota for the #8 pick.
This didn't seem to make a whole lot of sense other than perhaps exchanging a draft pick so they could draft Manziel while leaving the Vikings with Bridgewater. But the Browns drafted CB Justin Gilbert and the Vikings, another team linked to a QB pick, took LB Anthony Barr.
The next three teams were the Lions, Titans and Giants. The Lions and Giants were set at QB. No one was taking the Manziel threat from the Giants seriously. Would the Titans go for Manziel?
As it turned out the Lions took TE Eric Ebron, the Titans OL Taylor Lewan and, to the surprise of many people, the Giants drafted WR Odell Beckham Jr. Most thought the Giants would take T Zack Martin or DL Aaron Donald. But, then again, no one thought Beckham would still be around at #12.
That left only three teams between the Dallas Cowboys and Johnny Manziel, the Rams, Bears and Steelers. None of them were likely to draft a QB in the first round and none did.
So, El Momento de Verdad had arrived. The Cowboys were on the clock and Johnny Football was on the board. The seconds ticked away. The numbers turned red as the clock went under one minute. The internet held its collective breath waiting for Jerry Jones to pull the trigger.
It's still waiting. Calmer heads prevailed and the Cowboys drafted T Zack Martin. As Jones explained the next day, they're committed to Tony Romo and, while drafting a QB to groom as Romo's replacement is not a bad idea, Manziel, with his star studded celebrity reputation just didn't fit that mold. As soon as anything went wrong, the pressure to go to Manziel would be a disruptive force, so the Cowboys passed on Johnny Football.
Then there was some speculation that the Jets at #18, despite having drafted Gino Smith last year, might go for Manziel because nobody really knows what the Jets will do or, Chip Kelly might surprise everyone and take him at #22.
As it worked out the Jets drafted S Calvin Pryor and the Eagles traded pick #22 to the Browns. I was beginning to get a little dizzy watching Cleveland bounce all around the board.
Finally the Browns drafted Manziel at #22. Bridgewater ended up going to the Vikings with pick #32 which they got from the Seahawks in order to prevent the Texans from possibly grabbing Bridgewater on the 1st pick of the second round.
The Texans came that close to potentially getting both Clowney and one of the top three QB prospects. Of course as to whether they would actually have drafted Bridgewater we'll never know.
While Cleveland was experiencing Manziel-mania, the announcement came from the NFL that their star WR Josh Gordon had been suspended for the year for substance abuse.
So, how will Johnny Football do in Cleveland?
Cleveland has been a death trap for QBs, In the last five years a number of high draft picks, selected with high hopes, have fallen victim. Brady Quinn (pick #22 in 2007), Colt McCoy (pick #85 in 2010) and Brandon Weeden (pick #22 in 2012) all met their Waterloo in Cleveland.
Did you notice that Johnny is the 3rd QB chosen at #22 by the Browns?
Hopefully Manziel can work his magic in Cleveland and break the jinx. Magic in Cleveland? Who am I kidding?
Aaron Donald, predicted as a Giants 1st round pick in many mock drafts, went to the Rams at #13. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, the runner up for best name in the draft, went to Green Bay with pick #21.
The first openly gay player in the draft, Michael Sam, also went to the Rams in round 7 at pick #249. Whether Sam can make the roster is another issue. He's what is known as a "tweener" in NFL slang. He may be too small for DE and too slow for LB. His NFL Combine workout was also apparently underwhelming. I'd put his chances at about 25%.
The title of Mr. Irrelevant, the last player taken in the NFL draft, went to S Lonnie Ballentine of Memphis.
The big question on everyone's mind was where would Johnny Football end up? Would the Texans take him at #1 or would they take DE Jedeveon Clowney? For the last few days there had been growing rumors that the Cowboys were maneuvering to draft Manziel and would either trade up or wait and hope at #16. In response the Giants indicated they would consider Manziel if he was still on the board at #12.
Oh the intrigue of it all.
The Texans did in fact go with DE Jedeveon Clowney at #1. The Rams grabbed OL Greg Robinson at #2 and then things began to go haywire which, for the NFL draft, is pretty much expected by now.
The Jaguars surprised a lot of people by taking QB Blake Bortles at #3. Most "experts" thought they would take Johnny Manziel if Houston didn't.
Then Cleveland traded its 4th pick to Buffalo for pick #9 this year and a first round pick next year. Buffalo drafted WR Sammy Watkins. That brought up Oakland who also was thought to be interested in a QB but the Raiders passed on both Manziel and Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater and took LB Khalil Mack. Khalil takes the prize for coolest name in the draft. It's Arabic for friend.
Atlanta took OL Jake Matthews at #6 which brought up Tampa Bay which also had been rumored to be looking for a QB. But the Bucs took WR Mike Evens. Then Cleveland traded the #9 pick it got from Buffalo to Minnesota for the #8 pick.
This didn't seem to make a whole lot of sense other than perhaps exchanging a draft pick so they could draft Manziel while leaving the Vikings with Bridgewater. But the Browns drafted CB Justin Gilbert and the Vikings, another team linked to a QB pick, took LB Anthony Barr.
The next three teams were the Lions, Titans and Giants. The Lions and Giants were set at QB. No one was taking the Manziel threat from the Giants seriously. Would the Titans go for Manziel?
As it turned out the Lions took TE Eric Ebron, the Titans OL Taylor Lewan and, to the surprise of many people, the Giants drafted WR Odell Beckham Jr. Most thought the Giants would take T Zack Martin or DL Aaron Donald. But, then again, no one thought Beckham would still be around at #12.
That left only three teams between the Dallas Cowboys and Johnny Manziel, the Rams, Bears and Steelers. None of them were likely to draft a QB in the first round and none did.
So, El Momento de Verdad had arrived. The Cowboys were on the clock and Johnny Football was on the board. The seconds ticked away. The numbers turned red as the clock went under one minute. The internet held its collective breath waiting for Jerry Jones to pull the trigger.
It's still waiting. Calmer heads prevailed and the Cowboys drafted T Zack Martin. As Jones explained the next day, they're committed to Tony Romo and, while drafting a QB to groom as Romo's replacement is not a bad idea, Manziel, with his star studded celebrity reputation just didn't fit that mold. As soon as anything went wrong, the pressure to go to Manziel would be a disruptive force, so the Cowboys passed on Johnny Football.
Then there was some speculation that the Jets at #18, despite having drafted Gino Smith last year, might go for Manziel because nobody really knows what the Jets will do or, Chip Kelly might surprise everyone and take him at #22.
As it worked out the Jets drafted S Calvin Pryor and the Eagles traded pick #22 to the Browns. I was beginning to get a little dizzy watching Cleveland bounce all around the board.
Finally the Browns drafted Manziel at #22. Bridgewater ended up going to the Vikings with pick #32 which they got from the Seahawks in order to prevent the Texans from possibly grabbing Bridgewater on the 1st pick of the second round.
The Texans came that close to potentially getting both Clowney and one of the top three QB prospects. Of course as to whether they would actually have drafted Bridgewater we'll never know.
While Cleveland was experiencing Manziel-mania, the announcement came from the NFL that their star WR Josh Gordon had been suspended for the year for substance abuse.
So, how will Johnny Football do in Cleveland?
Cleveland has been a death trap for QBs, In the last five years a number of high draft picks, selected with high hopes, have fallen victim. Brady Quinn (pick #22 in 2007), Colt McCoy (pick #85 in 2010) and Brandon Weeden (pick #22 in 2012) all met their Waterloo in Cleveland.
Did you notice that Johnny is the 3rd QB chosen at #22 by the Browns?
Hopefully Manziel can work his magic in Cleveland and break the jinx. Magic in Cleveland? Who am I kidding?
Aaron Donald, predicted as a Giants 1st round pick in many mock drafts, went to the Rams at #13. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, the runner up for best name in the draft, went to Green Bay with pick #21.
The first openly gay player in the draft, Michael Sam, also went to the Rams in round 7 at pick #249. Whether Sam can make the roster is another issue. He's what is known as a "tweener" in NFL slang. He may be too small for DE and too slow for LB. His NFL Combine workout was also apparently underwhelming. I'd put his chances at about 25%.
The title of Mr. Irrelevant, the last player taken in the NFL draft, went to S Lonnie Ballentine of Memphis.
Thursday, May 08, 2014
The Arrogance of Conservative Christians
In North Carolina a group of ministers along with the United Church of Christ church have joined same sex couples in challenging North Carolina's constitutional ban on same sex marriage.
The twist in this challenge is the clergy are arguing that because the law states that it is a misdemeanor to marry someone without a state license, the same-sex marriage ban violates the religious rights of clergy that wish to perform such ceremonies.
Now, you have to admit that's a fairly creative position.
Of course Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council disagrees. That's his right but WHY he disagrees is a real eye opener.
According to Perkins there's a "test" for "true religious freedom." Apparently it's only a freedom that's based upon "orthodox religious viewpoints."
So, who is it that's supposed to decide what constitutes an "orthodox religious viewpoint" you twit? According to Perkins "You cannot point to the Christian faith and say that same sex marriage has been a key teaching of the church."
Which "church" Tony?
The Episcopal Church has an approved liturgy for blessing same-sex marriages. The Evangelical Lutheran Church allows individual congregations to recognize and bless same-sex unions. The Unitarian Universalists and The United Church of Christ both support same-sex marriage.
Either everyone has freedom of religion or no one does. If you reserve a "freedom" to a subset of the population it becomes a "privilege."
That's really the bottom line. What Conservative Christians actually want is "privilege." They want the privilege to decide what's right and what's wrong and then they want the privilege of forcing everyone else to abide by that decision.
The twist in this challenge is the clergy are arguing that because the law states that it is a misdemeanor to marry someone without a state license, the same-sex marriage ban violates the religious rights of clergy that wish to perform such ceremonies.
Now, you have to admit that's a fairly creative position.
Of course Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council disagrees. That's his right but WHY he disagrees is a real eye opener.
According to Perkins there's a "test" for "true religious freedom." Apparently it's only a freedom that's based upon "orthodox religious viewpoints."
So, who is it that's supposed to decide what constitutes an "orthodox religious viewpoint" you twit? According to Perkins "You cannot point to the Christian faith and say that same sex marriage has been a key teaching of the church."
Which "church" Tony?
The Episcopal Church has an approved liturgy for blessing same-sex marriages. The Evangelical Lutheran Church allows individual congregations to recognize and bless same-sex unions. The Unitarian Universalists and The United Church of Christ both support same-sex marriage.
Either everyone has freedom of religion or no one does. If you reserve a "freedom" to a subset of the population it becomes a "privilege."
That's really the bottom line. What Conservative Christians actually want is "privilege." They want the privilege to decide what's right and what's wrong and then they want the privilege of forcing everyone else to abide by that decision.
Monday, May 05, 2014
Jesus's Wife, Greece and Mississippi
Ok, so the Jesus's wife manuscript may NOT be authentic.
Less than a month ago I reported that the scrap of papyrus appeared to be authentic rather than a medieval forgery. Since then it appears that many scholars have attacked the scrap as a fake and Harvard University has apparently stopped defending it.
In the Greece New York, case about prayer at town meetings, the Supreme Court has decided that prayer is OK because it is a "tradition," I might point out to the five twits that voted that way that slavery was a "tradition" too.
Finally, the Mississippi Religious Freedom Restoration Act – which is to take effect July 1 – and mirrors one passed on a federal level during the Clinton administration, is designed, in part, to protect business owners who don't want to do work to promote homosexual activism.
In response to passage of that bill, owners who want the business of homosexuals are now posting blue, circular window stickers that incorporate the rainbow colors typically associated with homosexual activism.
This is driving the American Family Association, a major supporter of the bill, totally crazy. They're now screaming that somehow businesses stepping into the breach and welcoming gay business is intended to "trample the freedom of Christians to live according to the dictates of scripture."
No, you can go ahead and refuse the business but other firms are perfectly happy to step in and take it. And that includes the business of heterosexuals who think discrimination sucks.
This is the old right wing attitude that they're allowed the "freedom" to say and do what they want but no one is allowed to disagree with them. In other words EVERYONE has to accept their opinions.
To all American Conservatives I say, here, check out the lovely shape of my middle finger.
Less than a month ago I reported that the scrap of papyrus appeared to be authentic rather than a medieval forgery. Since then it appears that many scholars have attacked the scrap as a fake and Harvard University has apparently stopped defending it.
In the Greece New York, case about prayer at town meetings, the Supreme Court has decided that prayer is OK because it is a "tradition," I might point out to the five twits that voted that way that slavery was a "tradition" too.
Finally, the Mississippi Religious Freedom Restoration Act – which is to take effect July 1 – and mirrors one passed on a federal level during the Clinton administration, is designed, in part, to protect business owners who don't want to do work to promote homosexual activism.
In response to passage of that bill, owners who want the business of homosexuals are now posting blue, circular window stickers that incorporate the rainbow colors typically associated with homosexual activism.
This is driving the American Family Association, a major supporter of the bill, totally crazy. They're now screaming that somehow businesses stepping into the breach and welcoming gay business is intended to "trample the freedom of Christians to live according to the dictates of scripture."
No, you can go ahead and refuse the business but other firms are perfectly happy to step in and take it. And that includes the business of heterosexuals who think discrimination sucks.
This is the old right wing attitude that they're allowed the "freedom" to say and do what they want but no one is allowed to disagree with them. In other words EVERYONE has to accept their opinions.
To all American Conservatives I say, here, check out the lovely shape of my middle finger.
Friday, May 02, 2014
Claims and Assertions
I must be missing something.
If you want to make a claim then it's usually a good idea for it to be of the form "John is cruel BECAUSE he tortures puppies."
Now we have your justification for claiming that John is cruel and we can move on to the EVIDENCE that John actually does torture puppies.
The point being is that you have at least established WHY you believe John is cruel. You believe he is cruel because you believe he tortures puppies.
Notice how much more illuminating this is than simply saying "John is cruel." An assertion with no justification is known as an "unsupported assertion."
It's been my experience that Conservatives rarely provide justifications. They simply provide "unsupported assertions."
A perfect example of this was David Horowitz yesterday on the Steve Malzberg radio show where he said "Obama is a dangerous, dangerous evil man" and a "neo-communist" that wants to "take down" the United States." Lots of assertions, but no justifications.
This is one of the reasons I find it hard to take them seriously.
WTF is a "neo-communist" anyway? Interestingly enough it's a new breed of communist that rejects totalitarianism while claiming to remain true to Marx's original concepts.
Given the way income inequality is going, this may not be a bad thing. Of course there's no way of knowing if that's what Horowitz meant because he didn't provide a justification for his assertion!
If you want to make a claim then it's usually a good idea for it to be of the form "John is cruel BECAUSE he tortures puppies."
Now we have your justification for claiming that John is cruel and we can move on to the EVIDENCE that John actually does torture puppies.
The point being is that you have at least established WHY you believe John is cruel. You believe he is cruel because you believe he tortures puppies.
Notice how much more illuminating this is than simply saying "John is cruel." An assertion with no justification is known as an "unsupported assertion."
It's been my experience that Conservatives rarely provide justifications. They simply provide "unsupported assertions."
A perfect example of this was David Horowitz yesterday on the Steve Malzberg radio show where he said "Obama is a dangerous, dangerous evil man" and a "neo-communist" that wants to "take down" the United States." Lots of assertions, but no justifications.
This is one of the reasons I find it hard to take them seriously.
WTF is a "neo-communist" anyway? Interestingly enough it's a new breed of communist that rejects totalitarianism while claiming to remain true to Marx's original concepts.
Given the way income inequality is going, this may not be a bad thing. Of course there's no way of knowing if that's what Horowitz meant because he didn't provide a justification for his assertion!
Monday, April 28, 2014
Donald Sterling
So, here we have the owner of the Los Angeles Clippers of the NBA, a sports league where like 80% of the players are black, getting himself recorded yelling at his "girlfriend" not to post pictures of herself with black people and not to bring black people to the games with her.
I put "girlfriend" in quotes because she looks to me to be about 12 years old. And she happens to be half black and half Mexican.
WTF is with this guy?
In the meantime everyone is, rightfully so, incensed over Sterling's remarks about blacks but they're giving him a free pass on being about 75 years old, and married, with a 12 year old girlfriend. Oh, OK, maybe she's over 18 but not by a hell of a lot.
The Clippers, who are mostly black, are deferring to their coach, Doc Rivers, who is also black, to speak publicly about Sterling's remarks. Rivers is being calm, collected and professional about the whole thing.
Apparently there is some doubt about the authenticity of the recording and a lot of doubt about the details of how the recording was made. Doc Rivers is well aware of these things which is why he is treading lightly.
Besides, he and his team would like to do well in the playoffs even if the team owner is a putz.
Assuming the recording is genuine I think Mr. Sterling needs to be made aware that he is not welcome in the NBA. A strong suggestion that he might want to consider selling the team would seem to be in order.
I put "girlfriend" in quotes because she looks to me to be about 12 years old. And she happens to be half black and half Mexican.
WTF is with this guy?
In the meantime everyone is, rightfully so, incensed over Sterling's remarks about blacks but they're giving him a free pass on being about 75 years old, and married, with a 12 year old girlfriend. Oh, OK, maybe she's over 18 but not by a hell of a lot.
The Clippers, who are mostly black, are deferring to their coach, Doc Rivers, who is also black, to speak publicly about Sterling's remarks. Rivers is being calm, collected and professional about the whole thing.
Apparently there is some doubt about the authenticity of the recording and a lot of doubt about the details of how the recording was made. Doc Rivers is well aware of these things which is why he is treading lightly.
Besides, he and his team would like to do well in the playoffs even if the team owner is a putz.
Assuming the recording is genuine I think Mr. Sterling needs to be made aware that he is not welcome in the NBA. A strong suggestion that he might want to consider selling the team would seem to be in order.
Saturday, April 26, 2014
Dual Canonization
Tomorrow, in St. Peter's square, the Catholic Church will canonize two recent Popes. Pope John XXIII and Pope John Paul II.
The dual canonization is brought to you by a host of corporate sponsors including Nestle but dominated by Italian firms including energy companies Eni and Enel, a banking company Intesa SanPaolo and the railroad Ferrovie Italiane.
I love it.
Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, this sainthood brought to you by Trojan condoms for that safe and comfy feeling.
John XXIII is getting a pass on the normally required second "miracle" and John Paul II is getting a pass on the normal five year wait time before the beatification process can begin.
In other words it's the Church desperate for some good publicity.
Needless to say I think the whole sainthood and miracles thing is a load of nonsense and John Paul II was about as close to a fascist pope as you can get but hey, it's the Church's sandbox, so I suppose they can erect sand statues if they really want to.
Another interesting tidbit is that there will be two living popes present. Current Pope Francis I and Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI.
The dual canonization is brought to you by a host of corporate sponsors including Nestle but dominated by Italian firms including energy companies Eni and Enel, a banking company Intesa SanPaolo and the railroad Ferrovie Italiane.
I love it.
Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, this sainthood brought to you by Trojan condoms for that safe and comfy feeling.
John XXIII is getting a pass on the normally required second "miracle" and John Paul II is getting a pass on the normal five year wait time before the beatification process can begin.
In other words it's the Church desperate for some good publicity.
Needless to say I think the whole sainthood and miracles thing is a load of nonsense and John Paul II was about as close to a fascist pope as you can get but hey, it's the Church's sandbox, so I suppose they can erect sand statues if they really want to.
Another interesting tidbit is that there will be two living popes present. Current Pope Francis I and Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI.
Wednesday, April 23, 2014
The South Korean Ferry
I was going to let this one go but things are starting to spin totally out of control.
It was bad enough when the captain and crew were being accused of panicking and failing to issue the proper directions to the passengers. The delay in taking any action at all quite possible resulting in deaths that could have been avoided.
But things appear to be going downhill since then if you can believe that's possible.
Now we're hearing allegations that (1) the captain made an "excessive change of coarse without slowing down," (2) the ferry may have left port carrying three times its recommended cargo and (3) the ship's operators may have bribed government inspectors in order to get a clean bill of health for the ferry.
Really screwed up huh?
OK, accusations are not the same thing as a conviction but this is ridiculous. If the cargo and bribery claims are true, then it sounds to me like there are people who might be a lot guiltier than some crewman who panicked.
However you want to bet who's going to get the book thrown at them and who's going to get a slap on the wrist?
It was bad enough when the captain and crew were being accused of panicking and failing to issue the proper directions to the passengers. The delay in taking any action at all quite possible resulting in deaths that could have been avoided.
But things appear to be going downhill since then if you can believe that's possible.
Now we're hearing allegations that (1) the captain made an "excessive change of coarse without slowing down," (2) the ferry may have left port carrying three times its recommended cargo and (3) the ship's operators may have bribed government inspectors in order to get a clean bill of health for the ferry.
Really screwed up huh?
OK, accusations are not the same thing as a conviction but this is ridiculous. If the cargo and bribery claims are true, then it sounds to me like there are people who might be a lot guiltier than some crewman who panicked.
However you want to bet who's going to get the book thrown at them and who's going to get a slap on the wrist?
Friday, April 11, 2014
Flight 370 Again
It's now been two weeks since the Australian PM announced that, based upon analysis of the satellite handshakes, that they were confident that Flight 370 went down in the Indian Ocean some 1500 miles off the western coast of Australia.
Since then a number of debris sighting turned out to be just discarded flotsam.
The latest leads are based upon a series of RF signals at 37.5 khz that may be from the planes data recorders. Or, they may not.
The radio pings have allowed the searchers to reduce the size of the search area but whether they're closing in on Flight 370 or something else is hard to say.
The fact of the matter is that with no debris there is no hard physical evidence that the plane is in fact anywhere near where they're searching.
Since I don't know the analysis they performed on the SATCOM communications, I don't know if this is an example of desperate people convincing each other that what they're doing is correct.
I don't know what the RF signals are although we do know with absolute certainty that 37.5 khz is the frequency that the block boxes on that particular Boeing 777 would use.
I'm tempted to predict the plane will never be found as that would probably guarantee they find it in the next day or two.
Since then a number of debris sighting turned out to be just discarded flotsam.
The latest leads are based upon a series of RF signals at 37.5 khz that may be from the planes data recorders. Or, they may not.
The radio pings have allowed the searchers to reduce the size of the search area but whether they're closing in on Flight 370 or something else is hard to say.
The fact of the matter is that with no debris there is no hard physical evidence that the plane is in fact anywhere near where they're searching.
Since I don't know the analysis they performed on the SATCOM communications, I don't know if this is an example of desperate people convincing each other that what they're doing is correct.
I don't know what the RF signals are although we do know with absolute certainty that 37.5 khz is the frequency that the block boxes on that particular Boeing 777 would use.
I'm tempted to predict the plane will never be found as that would probably guarantee they find it in the next day or two.
Thursday, April 10, 2014
Jesus's Wife Manuscript may be Authentic
The chemical analysis of a scrap of papyrus known as "The Gospel of Jesus's Wife" appears to be authentic in terms of its age.
In the scrap Jesus refers to his "wife."
Of course simply concluding that the scrap isn't a medieval forgery like so many documents doesn't say anything about the accuracy of the text. So, I wouldn't start talking about a Mrs. Jesus just yet. Scholars aren't even 100% certain the word translated as "wife" means the same thing as it means today.
In the scrap Jesus refers to his "wife."
Of course simply concluding that the scrap isn't a medieval forgery like so many documents doesn't say anything about the accuracy of the text. So, I wouldn't start talking about a Mrs. Jesus just yet. Scholars aren't even 100% certain the word translated as "wife" means the same thing as it means today.
Afghan Security Forces Surprise Everyone
To the amazement of just about everyone, the Afghan Security Forces managed to protect voters and voting during the elections in Afghanistan.
Make no mistake about it this is pretty amazing stuff. The Taliban, who had threatened to disrupt the elections, were pretty much kept in check by security forces which earned themselves wide admiration for a job well done.
I wouldn't start celebrating the birth of democracy in Afghanistan just yet but this is a pretty good start.
Make no mistake about it this is pretty amazing stuff. The Taliban, who had threatened to disrupt the elections, were pretty much kept in check by security forces which earned themselves wide admiration for a job well done.
I wouldn't start celebrating the birth of democracy in Afghanistan just yet but this is a pretty good start.
Tuesday, April 08, 2014
Same Sex Marriage Cases Move to Appeals Courts
The first Appeals Court hearing on the constitutionality of same sex marriage bans will occur in the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals in Denver on Thursday. The court will hear oral arguments on the Utah ban overturned by a federal judge.
Federal judges in Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas and Virginia have also struck down similar bans. The Tenth Circuit will hear the case from Oklahoma a week after the Utah case.
Utah's legal brief argues that restricting marriage to opposite-sex couples "helps prevent further erosion of the traditional concept of marriage as being principally a child-centered institution, one focused first and foremost on the welfare of children rather than the emotional interests of adults."
The state argues that children do better when raised by "a mother and father in intact families" and that changing what constitutes marriage "would likely reduce over time the proportion of children being raised in one of those arrangements."
Lawyers for the three couples challenging the ban counter that marriage is not "a zero-sum game that pits the needs of children against the desires of adults. To the contrary, marriage benefits the health and well-being of both adults and children."
I agree with that and there is also the position by most professional psychological organizations that there is little difference in children raised by homosexual or heterosexual couples.
Even if we concede that children are better off raised by a mother and father, being raised in a loving family with two mothers or two fathers is a hell of a lot better than being raised with no mother and no father.
Then there is the point that not all marriages are aimed at having children. Some couples decide against it; some couples find they simply cannot and some get married late in life beyond childbearing age.
In other words, Utah's argument is total crap and I suspect that Oklahoma's will be as well. I find it hard to believe that the Appeals Court will buy into the nonsense being spewed by the state of Utah.
It's all going to end up in the lap of the Supreme Court no matter what the Appeals Courts say but a string of victories in the Appeals Courts would make it harder for the Supremes to do something really stupid.
Federal judges in Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas and Virginia have also struck down similar bans. The Tenth Circuit will hear the case from Oklahoma a week after the Utah case.
Utah's legal brief argues that restricting marriage to opposite-sex couples "helps prevent further erosion of the traditional concept of marriage as being principally a child-centered institution, one focused first and foremost on the welfare of children rather than the emotional interests of adults."
The state argues that children do better when raised by "a mother and father in intact families" and that changing what constitutes marriage "would likely reduce over time the proportion of children being raised in one of those arrangements."
Lawyers for the three couples challenging the ban counter that marriage is not "a zero-sum game that pits the needs of children against the desires of adults. To the contrary, marriage benefits the health and well-being of both adults and children."
I agree with that and there is also the position by most professional psychological organizations that there is little difference in children raised by homosexual or heterosexual couples.
Even if we concede that children are better off raised by a mother and father, being raised in a loving family with two mothers or two fathers is a hell of a lot better than being raised with no mother and no father.
Then there is the point that not all marriages are aimed at having children. Some couples decide against it; some couples find they simply cannot and some get married late in life beyond childbearing age.
In other words, Utah's argument is total crap and I suspect that Oklahoma's will be as well. I find it hard to believe that the Appeals Court will buy into the nonsense being spewed by the state of Utah.
It's all going to end up in the lap of the Supreme Court no matter what the Appeals Courts say but a string of victories in the Appeals Courts would make it harder for the Supremes to do something really stupid.
Monday, April 07, 2014
Supreme Court won't hear NM Photographer Case
The case of the New Mexico couple with the photography business that refused to take pictures of a lesbian commitment ceremony will not be reviewed by the US Supreme Court.
The couple had appealed to the Supreme Court based upon what they claimed was a violation of their 1st Amendment rights. A New Mexico Court had ruled that the couple had violated the anti-discrimination provisions of the New Mexico Human Rights Act.
The couple appealed to the New Mexico Supreme Court which ruled against them saying that the business could be regulated because it is a public accommodation. Now the US Supreme Court has refused to consider the case leaving the NM Supreme Court ruling in place.
One has to wonder what this means, if anything, for the Hobby Lobby case.
The couple had appealed to the Supreme Court based upon what they claimed was a violation of their 1st Amendment rights. A New Mexico Court had ruled that the couple had violated the anti-discrimination provisions of the New Mexico Human Rights Act.
The couple appealed to the New Mexico Supreme Court which ruled against them saying that the business could be regulated because it is a public accommodation. Now the US Supreme Court has refused to consider the case leaving the NM Supreme Court ruling in place.
One has to wonder what this means, if anything, for the Hobby Lobby case.
One-year Old Toddler Rescued at Sea
A one-year old girl who fell ill at sea on her family's sail boat has been rescued by the US Coast Guard, US Navy and California Air National Guard.
The Kaufmans had set sail on their 36-foot sail boat for an anticipated trip across the Pacific with the one-year old and her three-year old sister.
The girl became ill and the boat lost its steering and communications about 900 mile southwest of Cabo San Lucas Mexico. The couple sent a satellite call to the Coast Guard for help.
The Coast Guard responded by sending four California Air National Guard members to parachute near the boat while the Navy frigate USS Vandegrift sailed toward the crippled boat.
The guard members stabilized the child and then took the family to the warship on an inflatable raft. The Kaufmans sail boat, named the Rebel Heart, was sunk by authorities because it was taking on water and represented a maritime hazard.
The Vandegrift is expected to land in San Diego on Wednesday.
I'm happy the girl is safe but I sincerely hope the Kaufmans get presented with a whopping bill because, in my humble opinion, they are certifiable idiots.
First of all, who the hell sets sail across the Pacific Ocean with a one-year old and a three-year old on board? I don't care how experienced a sailor you are, I guarantee you the one-year old isn't very experienced.
Second of all, they lost both steering and communications at the same time? Nice way to maintain your boat Kaufman.
You can't keep people from doing stupid stuff and, at least this time, the Coast Guard, Navy and Air National Guard saved the one-year old from paying for the folly of her parents. Unfortunately, not all stupid moves have a happy ending.
The Kaufmans had set sail on their 36-foot sail boat for an anticipated trip across the Pacific with the one-year old and her three-year old sister.
The girl became ill and the boat lost its steering and communications about 900 mile southwest of Cabo San Lucas Mexico. The couple sent a satellite call to the Coast Guard for help.
The Coast Guard responded by sending four California Air National Guard members to parachute near the boat while the Navy frigate USS Vandegrift sailed toward the crippled boat.
The guard members stabilized the child and then took the family to the warship on an inflatable raft. The Kaufmans sail boat, named the Rebel Heart, was sunk by authorities because it was taking on water and represented a maritime hazard.
The Vandegrift is expected to land in San Diego on Wednesday.
I'm happy the girl is safe but I sincerely hope the Kaufmans get presented with a whopping bill because, in my humble opinion, they are certifiable idiots.
First of all, who the hell sets sail across the Pacific Ocean with a one-year old and a three-year old on board? I don't care how experienced a sailor you are, I guarantee you the one-year old isn't very experienced.
Second of all, they lost both steering and communications at the same time? Nice way to maintain your boat Kaufman.
You can't keep people from doing stupid stuff and, at least this time, the Coast Guard, Navy and Air National Guard saved the one-year old from paying for the folly of her parents. Unfortunately, not all stupid moves have a happy ending.
Sunday, March 30, 2014
The Health Care Law
What I find amusing are all these people criticizing Obamacare who (1) have clearly not been on the exchanges and (2) most likely already have health care insurance.
First let's acknowledge that the role out was screwed up and the technical issues were a total fiasco even given the complexity of the web sites.
Second, I'll talk about my personal experience.
I have health care but one of my daughters doesn't. We've been covering her via COBRA from my wife's health care plan. The cost was $524 a month. The plan was administered by Blue Cross-Blue Shield and was a PPO.
Getting on the New Jersey exchange was a challenge but once we managed that we found that the health plans were organized in several tiers. The lowest tier was a "catastrophic policy" which basically covered nothing but extended hospitalization and the basics that all plans must cover. Then there were Bronze, Silver, Gold and Platinum plans with ascending costs, varying deductable and ascending coverage.
Ultimately we chose a Silver Plan from Blue Cross-Blue Shield with reasonable co-pay, deductable and prescription support. The plan was an EPO but, since we're talking Blue Cross-Blue Shield, just about every doctor we knew was a part of the network anyway.
It took a while to compare the various benefits because there were significant differences and it wasn't always obvious why one plan had higher premiums than another. The plan we ultimately chose was $335 a month. By far the longest part of the process was comparing the plans. After hitting the "yes I want that one" button they gave you a phone number at Blue Cross-Blue Shield to call but everything pretty much moved forward from there auto-magically.
After going through the exercise I also understood why they probably had such problems getting the exchanges off the ground. The site links directly not only to health care provider sites but also to the IRS for checking tax returns. The complexity is no excuse but it is more complicated a system than I originally thought.
Could the plans be better? Absolutely. Will their costs go up? Very probably. Is 35 million people without health insurance a financial catastrophe? You bet it is. By law a hospital cannot refuse someone care regardless of whether they have insurance or can pay. When you have 35 million without health insurance (1) they don't get medical attention until it's a crisis and (2) they go via the emergency room which is the most inefficient and expensive option.
Universal health insurance is a financially sound approach. Personally I think we should have Medicare for everyone with varying levels of coverage and premiums because a single payer system would be far and away the most efficient. The current health care law is far from perfect but it's a step in the right direction.
First let's acknowledge that the role out was screwed up and the technical issues were a total fiasco even given the complexity of the web sites.
Second, I'll talk about my personal experience.
I have health care but one of my daughters doesn't. We've been covering her via COBRA from my wife's health care plan. The cost was $524 a month. The plan was administered by Blue Cross-Blue Shield and was a PPO.
Getting on the New Jersey exchange was a challenge but once we managed that we found that the health plans were organized in several tiers. The lowest tier was a "catastrophic policy" which basically covered nothing but extended hospitalization and the basics that all plans must cover. Then there were Bronze, Silver, Gold and Platinum plans with ascending costs, varying deductable and ascending coverage.
Ultimately we chose a Silver Plan from Blue Cross-Blue Shield with reasonable co-pay, deductable and prescription support. The plan was an EPO but, since we're talking Blue Cross-Blue Shield, just about every doctor we knew was a part of the network anyway.
It took a while to compare the various benefits because there were significant differences and it wasn't always obvious why one plan had higher premiums than another. The plan we ultimately chose was $335 a month. By far the longest part of the process was comparing the plans. After hitting the "yes I want that one" button they gave you a phone number at Blue Cross-Blue Shield to call but everything pretty much moved forward from there auto-magically.
After going through the exercise I also understood why they probably had such problems getting the exchanges off the ground. The site links directly not only to health care provider sites but also to the IRS for checking tax returns. The complexity is no excuse but it is more complicated a system than I originally thought.
Could the plans be better? Absolutely. Will their costs go up? Very probably. Is 35 million people without health insurance a financial catastrophe? You bet it is. By law a hospital cannot refuse someone care regardless of whether they have insurance or can pay. When you have 35 million without health insurance (1) they don't get medical attention until it's a crisis and (2) they go via the emergency room which is the most inefficient and expensive option.
Universal health insurance is a financially sound approach. Personally I think we should have Medicare for everyone with varying levels of coverage and premiums because a single payer system would be far and away the most efficient. The current health care law is far from perfect but it's a step in the right direction.
Thursday, March 27, 2014
Johnny Manziel and the NFL Draft
Johnny Manziel, also known as Johnny Football, from Texas A&M will be in this years NFL draft and the Houston Texans have the #1 overall pick.
I could be wrong but I have to believe that Houston will take Manziel #1. Here is my reasoning (*cough, cough*):
1. They desperately need a QB especially now that they traded Matt Schaub to Oakland.
2. If they take Manziel and he's a star, hello Texans as the new Texas pro darlings and good-bye that other team up near Dallas (what are they called again?).
3. The fans in Texas will forgive them if they take Manziel and he's a bust.
4. The fans in Texas will forgive them if they don't take Manziel and he's a bust (unless he ends up with Cleveland. No forgiveness if Johnny gets exiled to Cleveland because no one can succeed in Cleveland).
5. The fans in Texas will NEVER forgive them if they don't take Manziel and he becomes an NFL star.
OK, in all seriousness. Johnny Manziel from Texas A&M playing for the Houston Texans is a media blitz made in heaven. The only thing that could be better is if he ended up playing for that other Texas team up near Dallas (what are they called again?).
That would mean that Jadeveon Clowney would fall into the lap of St. Louis who I would assume would be quite happy. The Rams are set at QB.
If the Texans take Clowney instead and, like I said, the Rams are set at QB with Sam Bradford, the next three teams to draft will be Jacksonville, Cleveland and Oakland. All of them need a QB. Even Oakland who just acquired Matt Schaub.
The three top QB prospects are Manziel, Blake Bortles from Central Florida and Teddy Bridgewater from Louisville. I'm betting at least two of these three will be gone by the time the Atlanta Falcons are on the clock and if Houston picks Manziel, then all three could be gone.
I could be wrong but I have to believe that Houston will take Manziel #1. Here is my reasoning (*cough, cough*):
1. They desperately need a QB especially now that they traded Matt Schaub to Oakland.
2. If they take Manziel and he's a star, hello Texans as the new Texas pro darlings and good-bye that other team up near Dallas (what are they called again?).
3. The fans in Texas will forgive them if they take Manziel and he's a bust.
4. The fans in Texas will forgive them if they don't take Manziel and he's a bust (unless he ends up with Cleveland. No forgiveness if Johnny gets exiled to Cleveland because no one can succeed in Cleveland).
5. The fans in Texas will NEVER forgive them if they don't take Manziel and he becomes an NFL star.
OK, in all seriousness. Johnny Manziel from Texas A&M playing for the Houston Texans is a media blitz made in heaven. The only thing that could be better is if he ended up playing for that other Texas team up near Dallas (what are they called again?).
That would mean that Jadeveon Clowney would fall into the lap of St. Louis who I would assume would be quite happy. The Rams are set at QB.
If the Texans take Clowney instead and, like I said, the Rams are set at QB with Sam Bradford, the next three teams to draft will be Jacksonville, Cleveland and Oakland. All of them need a QB. Even Oakland who just acquired Matt Schaub.
The three top QB prospects are Manziel, Blake Bortles from Central Florida and Teddy Bridgewater from Louisville. I'm betting at least two of these three will be gone by the time the Atlanta Falcons are on the clock and if Houston picks Manziel, then all three could be gone.
Monday, March 24, 2014
Flight 370 Again
The Prime Minister of Malaysian announced this morning that they are now confident that Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 went down in the Indian Ocean off the coast of Australia.
The conclusion is apparently driven by additional analysis of the satellite data received from Inmarsat.
No offense guys but analysis is still analysis and, without a lot more information on the analysis that was performed, described as something that hadn't been done before by the PM, I'll remain a tad skeptical.
This isn't good enough. It leaves way too many questions such as, if the plane did go down there, what the hell was it doing there?
The conclusion is apparently driven by additional analysis of the satellite data received from Inmarsat.
No offense guys but analysis is still analysis and, without a lot more information on the analysis that was performed, described as something that hadn't been done before by the PM, I'll remain a tad skeptical.
This isn't good enough. It leaves way too many questions such as, if the plane did go down there, what the hell was it doing there?
Friday, March 21, 2014
The Crimea
Well, the Russians have annexed the Crimea after the region voted to secede from the Ukraine and join Russia.
The Ukraine claims the vote is illegal.
The Ukraine can claim anything it wants but the Russians now own the Crimea.
I suppose the people have spoken (*cough, cough*). Besides no one is going to do much about this so the Russians, at least for the moment, win this round.
The Ukraine claims the vote is illegal.
The Ukraine can claim anything it wants but the Russians now own the Crimea.
I suppose the people have spoken (*cough, cough*). Besides no one is going to do much about this so the Russians, at least for the moment, win this round.
Malaysian Airlines Flight 370
The search is entering its third week.
Debris spotted by satellites some 1500 miles off the coast of Australia in the Indian Ocean raised some hope that an end might be in sight.
Unfortunately the remoteness of the location and uncooperative weather have prevented searchers from actually locating the debris.
In the latest development NASA has joined the search and will train its satellites on the area of the Indian Ocean where the debris was sighted five days ago.
People are now beginning to face the very real prospect that this airplane may never be found and we'll never know what really happened.
Debris spotted by satellites some 1500 miles off the coast of Australia in the Indian Ocean raised some hope that an end might be in sight.
Unfortunately the remoteness of the location and uncooperative weather have prevented searchers from actually locating the debris.
In the latest development NASA has joined the search and will train its satellites on the area of the Indian Ocean where the debris was sighted five days ago.
People are now beginning to face the very real prospect that this airplane may never be found and we'll never know what really happened.
Michigan Ban on Gay Marriage Declared Unconstitutional
A federal judge, appointed by Ronald Reagan in 1988, has declared Michigan's ban on Gay Marriage unconstitutional.
The case wasn't even directly about Gay Marriage but rather about a gay couples right to adopt each others children.
Some quotes from the judge's decision.
"Many Michigan residents have religious convictions whose principles govern the conduct of their daily lives and inform their own viewpoints about marriage. Nonetheless, these views cannot strip other citizens of the guarantees of equal protection under the law."
In other words your rights do not include the privilege of enforcing them on others to their detriment. Christians please take note.
"No court record of this proceeding could ever fully convey the personal sacrifice of these two plaintiffs who seek to ensure that the state may no longer impair the rights of their children and the thousands of others now being raised by same-sex couples."
Experts testified that there were no differences between children raised by same sex couples and a couple consisting of a man and a women.
Mark Regnerus testified for the state of Michigan that, based upon his research, there was a difference and that children raised by same sex couples did relatively poorly.
The University of Texas took the extraordinary step of disavowing the Regnerus testimony.
The state of Michigan says that it is obligated to appeal the decision and will ask an appeals court to stay the court order until after appeal.
A statement from Michigan's Catholic bishops demonstrated how out of touch the church is with reality.
"This decision ... mistakenly proposes that marriage is an emotional arrangement that can simply be redefined to accommodate the dictates of culture and the wants of adults."
Yes, in a secular country, under secular laws, that PRECISELY defines a legal marriage. The church is free to sanctify, or not sanctify, such a marriage.
My marriage is not, and never would have been, sanctified by the Catholic Church which is one reason why I'm no longer a Catholic. Yet I'm still legally married. The last time I looked my marriage license still hasn't expired.
So the Catholic Church and the bishops of Michigan can go perform a biological function on themselves.
County Clerk's offices in Michigan say that if no stay is issued, they'll be ready to start issuing marriage licenses to gay couples on Monday morning.
The case wasn't even directly about Gay Marriage but rather about a gay couples right to adopt each others children.
Some quotes from the judge's decision.
"Many Michigan residents have religious convictions whose principles govern the conduct of their daily lives and inform their own viewpoints about marriage. Nonetheless, these views cannot strip other citizens of the guarantees of equal protection under the law."
In other words your rights do not include the privilege of enforcing them on others to their detriment. Christians please take note.
"No court record of this proceeding could ever fully convey the personal sacrifice of these two plaintiffs who seek to ensure that the state may no longer impair the rights of their children and the thousands of others now being raised by same-sex couples."
Experts testified that there were no differences between children raised by same sex couples and a couple consisting of a man and a women.
Mark Regnerus testified for the state of Michigan that, based upon his research, there was a difference and that children raised by same sex couples did relatively poorly.
The University of Texas took the extraordinary step of disavowing the Regnerus testimony.
The state of Michigan says that it is obligated to appeal the decision and will ask an appeals court to stay the court order until after appeal.
A statement from Michigan's Catholic bishops demonstrated how out of touch the church is with reality.
"This decision ... mistakenly proposes that marriage is an emotional arrangement that can simply be redefined to accommodate the dictates of culture and the wants of adults."
Yes, in a secular country, under secular laws, that PRECISELY defines a legal marriage. The church is free to sanctify, or not sanctify, such a marriage.
My marriage is not, and never would have been, sanctified by the Catholic Church which is one reason why I'm no longer a Catholic. Yet I'm still legally married. The last time I looked my marriage license still hasn't expired.
So the Catholic Church and the bishops of Michigan can go perform a biological function on themselves.
County Clerk's offices in Michigan say that if no stay is issued, they'll be ready to start issuing marriage licenses to gay couples on Monday morning.
Bullied Child and the My Little Pony Backpack
Allegedly, a nine year old boy in North Carolina, after complaining about being bullied because of his "My Little Pony" backpack, was told by the school, are you ready for this one, to leave the backpack home.
Obviously the school administration has its head shoved somewhere without light. Supposedly the principal, when questioned about this, revealed that she thought it had been a REAL pony. When corrected she simply said "Never mind."
Obviously an educator that's right on top of things. What a complete ditz.
Anyway, ignoring the ditz running the school, telling the kid to leave the backpack home places the blame for the bullying incident on the victim. That's like blaming a woman for being raped and the Jews for being murdered by the Nazis.
On the other side however, what the hell were his parents thinking?
It's far from unknown in our culture that boys will get teased for showing up at school with items deemed either too girly or too babyish by their peers. There are scenes in both "Home Alone" and "A Christmas Story" that talk about getting beat up for wearing the wrong thing.
This doesn't excuse the actions of the bullies or the school, but, seriously, a "My Little Pony" backpack?
Obviously the school administration has its head shoved somewhere without light. Supposedly the principal, when questioned about this, revealed that she thought it had been a REAL pony. When corrected she simply said "Never mind."
Obviously an educator that's right on top of things. What a complete ditz.
Anyway, ignoring the ditz running the school, telling the kid to leave the backpack home places the blame for the bullying incident on the victim. That's like blaming a woman for being raped and the Jews for being murdered by the Nazis.
On the other side however, what the hell were his parents thinking?
It's far from unknown in our culture that boys will get teased for showing up at school with items deemed either too girly or too babyish by their peers. There are scenes in both "Home Alone" and "A Christmas Story" that talk about getting beat up for wearing the wrong thing.
This doesn't excuse the actions of the bullies or the school, but, seriously, a "My Little Pony" backpack?
Thursday, March 20, 2014
Sure, Straight is Great
NYC Pride has told Catholic League Bill Donahue to "COME ON DOWN." Of course he's welcome to march in the NYC Pride Parade.
NYC Pride even provided instructions for the online registration process.
A spokesman for NYC Pride said "Straight allies are great. We have thousands of straight people participating in the Pride March."
OK Bill, the ball is in your court.
NYC Pride even provided instructions for the online registration process.
A spokesman for NYC Pride said "Straight allies are great. We have thousands of straight people participating in the Pride March."
OK Bill, the ball is in your court.
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
Straight is Great?
Bill Donahue of the ultra-Conservative Catholic League says he wants to lead a "Straight is Great" contingent in the NYC Pride Parade.
I think that's a great idea. Let Bill get out there and march.
Donahue says he's had his last glass of Guinness after the beer company dropped its sponsorship of the St. Patrick's Day parade over its anti-gay policy.
I'm sure Guinness will be burning the midnight oil worrying about that (*cough, cough*).
Donahue says if his application is approved he'll bring a big wedding cake to the Pride Parade.
Hey, that's sounds like fun. Why Donahue thinks this is something that would bother gays is unclear. I say LET THE MAN MARCH (and remember to take LOTS of pictures of Bill and his new friends).
I think that's a great idea. Let Bill get out there and march.
Donahue says he's had his last glass of Guinness after the beer company dropped its sponsorship of the St. Patrick's Day parade over its anti-gay policy.
I'm sure Guinness will be burning the midnight oil worrying about that (*cough, cough*).
Donahue says if his application is approved he'll bring a big wedding cake to the Pride Parade.
Hey, that's sounds like fun. Why Donahue thinks this is something that would bother gays is unclear. I say LET THE MAN MARCH (and remember to take LOTS of pictures of Bill and his new friends).
Flight 370 Again
It is now 12 days since Malaysia Airlines fight 370 went missing.
This is crazy. A 200 foot long Boeing 777 shouldn't be able to just disappear. In the meantime, what comes out as official statements makes one wonder if anyone is in charge of this show. There have been a number of contradictions and changes but the latest timeline, with commentary, is as follows:
All times are local on March 8, 2014.
12:41 a.m.: Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 departs Kuala Lumpur International Airport for Beijing.
We know THIS with absolute certainty. Something which can be said for very little else.
1:07 a.m.: The onboard Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System, or ACARS, sends out what turns out to be its last communication.
There has been a lot of misinformation about ACARS. Originally Malaysian officials indicated that it had been turned off before the final voice communications from the aircraft. But now concede that it's impossible to tell.
There was also a report that in order to turn off ACARS you had to go down into the body of the plane. This isn't true. There is a switch in the cockpit.
1:19 a.m.: Someone inside the cockpit, believed to be the co-pilot, sent the last verbal communications to Air Traffic Control. All he said was "All right. Good night."
At this point there was no hint of a problem but these were the last words supposedly heard from Flight 370 (yes, at this point my skepticism is running wild).
1:21 a.m.: The transponder, which automatically broadcasts the aircraft altitude, coordinates and call sign stopped working.
This is a scant TWO MINUTES after the final sign-off. It's hard to believe that everything went to hell in two minutes but it's certainly possible.
1:22 a.m.: According to a Royal Thai Air Force spokesman, the plane disappeared off of Thai Military radar.
This makes no sense unless (1) the plane exploded, (2) the plane went down, (3) the plane left radar range or (4) the Thai spokesman is wrong.
When you combine this with the transponder stopping about the same time, this strongly suggests to me a catastrophic event. But wait, let's continue shall we.
1:28 a.m.: A Thai Royal Air Force spokesman says that Thai military radar picked up a plane headed in the opposite direction that MIGHT have been Flight 370.
Personally I think the Thai military needs to train its radar techs better. I'm inclined to completely ignore anything the Thai military has to say especially given that it took like 10 days for them to tell the Malaysians about this.
1:30 a.m.: Vietnamese Air Traffic Control cannot make contact with the plane.
I'm piecing this one together from several sources. I'm pretty sure this is close enough. The bottom line is that Flight 370 was no longer under Air Traffic Control direction. This is apparently the official time when the plane was lost by Air Traffic Control.
1:37 a.m.: An expected ACARS transmission does not occur.
Which means the ACARS system ceased functioning sometime between 1:07 a.m. and 1:37 a.m.
2:15 a.m.: Malaysian military radar last detects what is believed to be Flight 370 over the small island of Pulau Perak in the Strait of Malacca.
This is hundreds of miles from its intended flight path. I don't know why they believe it was the plane nor why someone didn't attempt to make contact because they must have been tracking it for a while.
Why weren't fighters launched to intercept a commercial aircraft hundreds of miles off course?
6:30 a.m.: Expected time of arrival in Beijing.
I cannot imagine the sick feeling it must be to be waiting for a plane that never arrives.
7:24 a.m.: Malaysia Airlines announces via Facebook that Flight 370 lost contact with Air Traffic Control at 2:40 a.m. The discrepancy in time has never been explained.
Right THERE we should have all realized that we were dealing with the keystone kops of the airline industry.
8:11 a.m.: An Inmarsat satellite makes the last electronic handshake with the aircraft.
Personally I don't think this means the plane was still flying. I suspect it could have been down and its SATCOM pings still operating for a short time.
So, where the hell is the damn plane?
Analysis of the Inmarsat pings puts it along one of two arcs. One heading northwest over China, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan and into Kazakhstan. It is almost inconceivable that a Boeing 777 could have proceeded along this arc without being detected.
But, if it could, this is the worrisome one. The idea of a Boeing 777 in the hands of an Islamic terrorist group is a thing of nightmares especially given that I'm not all that sure the Russians have accounted for all of the atomic weapons from the now independent countries in that area.
The other arc extends south toward Australia and the Indian Ocean. A route perhaps more easily traveled than the northern arc but a route for which it is very difficult to see a motive. If the plane went this way, then it's on the ocean floor.
The bottom line is the only hard evidence is the plane took off and the plane disappeared about 49 minutes later. That puts in between Malaysia and Vietnam in the South China Sea.
Yes they claim to have searched the area. I say search it again because, based upon Occam's Razor, that's where it is.
This is crazy. A 200 foot long Boeing 777 shouldn't be able to just disappear. In the meantime, what comes out as official statements makes one wonder if anyone is in charge of this show. There have been a number of contradictions and changes but the latest timeline, with commentary, is as follows:
All times are local on March 8, 2014.
12:41 a.m.: Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 departs Kuala Lumpur International Airport for Beijing.
We know THIS with absolute certainty. Something which can be said for very little else.
1:07 a.m.: The onboard Aircraft Communications Addressing and Reporting System, or ACARS, sends out what turns out to be its last communication.
There has been a lot of misinformation about ACARS. Originally Malaysian officials indicated that it had been turned off before the final voice communications from the aircraft. But now concede that it's impossible to tell.
There was also a report that in order to turn off ACARS you had to go down into the body of the plane. This isn't true. There is a switch in the cockpit.
1:19 a.m.: Someone inside the cockpit, believed to be the co-pilot, sent the last verbal communications to Air Traffic Control. All he said was "All right. Good night."
At this point there was no hint of a problem but these were the last words supposedly heard from Flight 370 (yes, at this point my skepticism is running wild).
1:21 a.m.: The transponder, which automatically broadcasts the aircraft altitude, coordinates and call sign stopped working.
This is a scant TWO MINUTES after the final sign-off. It's hard to believe that everything went to hell in two minutes but it's certainly possible.
1:22 a.m.: According to a Royal Thai Air Force spokesman, the plane disappeared off of Thai Military radar.
This makes no sense unless (1) the plane exploded, (2) the plane went down, (3) the plane left radar range or (4) the Thai spokesman is wrong.
When you combine this with the transponder stopping about the same time, this strongly suggests to me a catastrophic event. But wait, let's continue shall we.
1:28 a.m.: A Thai Royal Air Force spokesman says that Thai military radar picked up a plane headed in the opposite direction that MIGHT have been Flight 370.
Personally I think the Thai military needs to train its radar techs better. I'm inclined to completely ignore anything the Thai military has to say especially given that it took like 10 days for them to tell the Malaysians about this.
1:30 a.m.: Vietnamese Air Traffic Control cannot make contact with the plane.
I'm piecing this one together from several sources. I'm pretty sure this is close enough. The bottom line is that Flight 370 was no longer under Air Traffic Control direction. This is apparently the official time when the plane was lost by Air Traffic Control.
1:37 a.m.: An expected ACARS transmission does not occur.
Which means the ACARS system ceased functioning sometime between 1:07 a.m. and 1:37 a.m.
2:15 a.m.: Malaysian military radar last detects what is believed to be Flight 370 over the small island of Pulau Perak in the Strait of Malacca.
This is hundreds of miles from its intended flight path. I don't know why they believe it was the plane nor why someone didn't attempt to make contact because they must have been tracking it for a while.
Why weren't fighters launched to intercept a commercial aircraft hundreds of miles off course?
6:30 a.m.: Expected time of arrival in Beijing.
I cannot imagine the sick feeling it must be to be waiting for a plane that never arrives.
7:24 a.m.: Malaysia Airlines announces via Facebook that Flight 370 lost contact with Air Traffic Control at 2:40 a.m. The discrepancy in time has never been explained.
Right THERE we should have all realized that we were dealing with the keystone kops of the airline industry.
8:11 a.m.: An Inmarsat satellite makes the last electronic handshake with the aircraft.
Personally I don't think this means the plane was still flying. I suspect it could have been down and its SATCOM pings still operating for a short time.
So, where the hell is the damn plane?
Analysis of the Inmarsat pings puts it along one of two arcs. One heading northwest over China, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan and into Kazakhstan. It is almost inconceivable that a Boeing 777 could have proceeded along this arc without being detected.
But, if it could, this is the worrisome one. The idea of a Boeing 777 in the hands of an Islamic terrorist group is a thing of nightmares especially given that I'm not all that sure the Russians have accounted for all of the atomic weapons from the now independent countries in that area.
The other arc extends south toward Australia and the Indian Ocean. A route perhaps more easily traveled than the northern arc but a route for which it is very difficult to see a motive. If the plane went this way, then it's on the ocean floor.
The bottom line is the only hard evidence is the plane took off and the plane disappeared about 49 minutes later. That puts in between Malaysia and Vietnam in the South China Sea.
Yes they claim to have searched the area. I say search it again because, based upon Occam's Razor, that's where it is.
Saturday, March 15, 2014
Even More on Flight 370
Oh boy. This morning Malaysian authorities have confirmed that they have information that indicates that Flight 370 appears to have been purposely diverted.
Things are still a little confused because every news agency in the world is jumping on every scrap of information and not always reporting things accurately. But what I've been able to get from the various reports is as follows:
(1) About 20 minutes before the last transponder report the Aircraft Communications and Reporting System (ACARS) was shut down.
(2) The transponders were shut down (there are apparently two on a Boeing 777).
Note that "shut down" could also mean "stopped working" but the 20 minute gap is highly suspicious.
(3) Malaysian military radar detected a plane, that could have Flight 370, proceeding westward across the Malay peninsula.
(4) Inmarsat has reported that its satellites, which ping for subscribers in the area, received automated return pings from the Malaysian jet for six to seven hours after it went missing. The statement from Inmarsat is very terse. It said simply that automated signals were received and the information was provided to SITA (Societe Internationale de Telecommunications Aeronautics) which has provided it to Malaysian airlines.
(5) ACARS apparently kept sending signals. This one confuses me because if it was shut off, how was it sending signals? It's unclear if these are the same ping responses alluded to by Inmarsat. There are also some reports that the Rolls-Royce engines kept sending automated data.
Like I said this is still a little confusing. One article says ACARS was shut off but another says it kept sending automated signals for hours after contact was lost with the plane. ACARS isn't a monolithic thing but has various levels of service so perhaps the higher layers of service were shut down but the lowest layers continued to operate?
I suppose the details only really matter to detail oriented guys like me. The key point is they now seem to think that the plane was probably "purposely diverted." But by whom, and why, is still very much up in the air.
Note the "probably" above. Given the total chaos surrounding this disaster it wouldn't surprise me if tomorrow they said "forget all that," we now think it's in the South China Sea.
Things are still a little confused because every news agency in the world is jumping on every scrap of information and not always reporting things accurately. But what I've been able to get from the various reports is as follows:
(1) About 20 minutes before the last transponder report the Aircraft Communications and Reporting System (ACARS) was shut down.
(2) The transponders were shut down (there are apparently two on a Boeing 777).
Note that "shut down" could also mean "stopped working" but the 20 minute gap is highly suspicious.
(3) Malaysian military radar detected a plane, that could have Flight 370, proceeding westward across the Malay peninsula.
(4) Inmarsat has reported that its satellites, which ping for subscribers in the area, received automated return pings from the Malaysian jet for six to seven hours after it went missing. The statement from Inmarsat is very terse. It said simply that automated signals were received and the information was provided to SITA (Societe Internationale de Telecommunications Aeronautics) which has provided it to Malaysian airlines.
(5) ACARS apparently kept sending signals. This one confuses me because if it was shut off, how was it sending signals? It's unclear if these are the same ping responses alluded to by Inmarsat. There are also some reports that the Rolls-Royce engines kept sending automated data.
Like I said this is still a little confusing. One article says ACARS was shut off but another says it kept sending automated signals for hours after contact was lost with the plane. ACARS isn't a monolithic thing but has various levels of service so perhaps the higher layers of service were shut down but the lowest layers continued to operate?
I suppose the details only really matter to detail oriented guys like me. The key point is they now seem to think that the plane was probably "purposely diverted." But by whom, and why, is still very much up in the air.
Note the "probably" above. Given the total chaos surrounding this disaster it wouldn't surprise me if tomorrow they said "forget all that," we now think it's in the South China Sea.
Wednesday, March 12, 2014
More on Flight 370
Malaysia Flight 370 is still missing but new information is creeping out.
First, the Malaysian military has now confirmed a military radar tracking of an aircraft, that could have been Flight 370, heading west over the strait of Malacca. I suppose it took four days for this information to become public because it came from military radar which most countries, under normal circumstances, are hesitant to talk about.
But that means the plane made what amounts to a left turn after civilian radar contact was lost and the transponder, which automatically transmits identification, heading, altitude and velocity, had either been turned off or was inoperable.
Experienced Boeing 777 pilots indicate that it would be very difficult to lose the transponder in an otherwise apparently airworthy aircraft. That sort of implies that it is more likely that it was purposely turned off.
One suspicious point is that contact with the aircraft was lost at a civilian radar edge so air traffic controllers further along the flight path would not expect to detect the plane for some period of time.
So IF these things, (1) the aircraft made a left turn and headed west rather than continuing northeast, (2) the transponder was turned off and (3) this occurs just as the aircraft left civilian radar space, are indeed true, then the suspicion of a hijacking, by either passengers or crew, has to move up in the list.
Given that there was no distress signal and the cockpit door would normally be locked, one has to consider that this may have been an inside job of some sort. Just to further confuse things the plane had about five hours of fuel left after the military radar lost it. That could easily have taken it well out into the Indian ocean.
Second, US intelligence agencies say the analysis of data from "national technical means" shows no evidence of an explosion. Translated that means the spy satellites didn't see the plane blow up which makes the bomb scenario less likely.
The Malaysians have now asked for technical assistance from the Federal Aviation Agency (FAA) and National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) in analyzing the data, including the military data, that they have.
Lastly, it was revealed by the FAA that the type of Boeing 777 being flown in Flight 370 had a new Airworthiness Directive (AD) being issued warning of cracks in the fuselage below the Satellite Communications antenna that could cause the plane to lose structural integrity.
The AD was drafted in September 2013, approved in February 2014 and scheduled to go into effect on April 9, 2014 however drafts had been circulated to all the airlines for comments so preliminary precautions could already have been taken.
The AD was in reaction to a report of a 16 inch crack on a 14 year-old plane with 14,000 flight cycles. The Malaysian Airlines plane was 12 years old with 7,525 flight cycles.
Two other items in what is rapidly shaping up to be a media circus.
A worker on an oil gig in the South China Sea, which is on the far side of Vietnam, claims he saw the plane go down in flames and an Australian news report has accused the 27 year-old copilot of entertaining women in the cockpit on a 2011 flight which, if true, makes one wonder about the integrity of the hopefully locked cockpit door.
The South China Sea report seems unlikely because the Vietnamese didn't pick up the plane on radar and I have no idea what the source for the Australian story is so I'd have to discount that as well.
So, where the hell is the plane?
First, the Malaysian military has now confirmed a military radar tracking of an aircraft, that could have been Flight 370, heading west over the strait of Malacca. I suppose it took four days for this information to become public because it came from military radar which most countries, under normal circumstances, are hesitant to talk about.
But that means the plane made what amounts to a left turn after civilian radar contact was lost and the transponder, which automatically transmits identification, heading, altitude and velocity, had either been turned off or was inoperable.
Experienced Boeing 777 pilots indicate that it would be very difficult to lose the transponder in an otherwise apparently airworthy aircraft. That sort of implies that it is more likely that it was purposely turned off.
One suspicious point is that contact with the aircraft was lost at a civilian radar edge so air traffic controllers further along the flight path would not expect to detect the plane for some period of time.
So IF these things, (1) the aircraft made a left turn and headed west rather than continuing northeast, (2) the transponder was turned off and (3) this occurs just as the aircraft left civilian radar space, are indeed true, then the suspicion of a hijacking, by either passengers or crew, has to move up in the list.
Given that there was no distress signal and the cockpit door would normally be locked, one has to consider that this may have been an inside job of some sort. Just to further confuse things the plane had about five hours of fuel left after the military radar lost it. That could easily have taken it well out into the Indian ocean.
Second, US intelligence agencies say the analysis of data from "national technical means" shows no evidence of an explosion. Translated that means the spy satellites didn't see the plane blow up which makes the bomb scenario less likely.
The Malaysians have now asked for technical assistance from the Federal Aviation Agency (FAA) and National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) in analyzing the data, including the military data, that they have.
Lastly, it was revealed by the FAA that the type of Boeing 777 being flown in Flight 370 had a new Airworthiness Directive (AD) being issued warning of cracks in the fuselage below the Satellite Communications antenna that could cause the plane to lose structural integrity.
The AD was drafted in September 2013, approved in February 2014 and scheduled to go into effect on April 9, 2014 however drafts had been circulated to all the airlines for comments so preliminary precautions could already have been taken.
The AD was in reaction to a report of a 16 inch crack on a 14 year-old plane with 14,000 flight cycles. The Malaysian Airlines plane was 12 years old with 7,525 flight cycles.
Two other items in what is rapidly shaping up to be a media circus.
A worker on an oil gig in the South China Sea, which is on the far side of Vietnam, claims he saw the plane go down in flames and an Australian news report has accused the 27 year-old copilot of entertaining women in the cockpit on a 2011 flight which, if true, makes one wonder about the integrity of the hopefully locked cockpit door.
The South China Sea report seems unlikely because the Vietnamese didn't pick up the plane on radar and I have no idea what the source for the Australian story is so I'd have to discount that as well.
So, where the hell is the plane?
Monday, March 10, 2014
Malaysia Flight 370
Where the hell is the plane?
A Boeing 777 doesn't just disappear with no warning and no trace. What the hell?
The experts are working the scenarios but nothing at the moment seems to make sense. The plane was last heard from three days ago at its cruising altitude of 35,000 feet. That's the safest part of any flight.
Midair Mechanical Malfunction
A catastrophic event that made the plane come apart, other than being REALLY unlikely, would have left a huge debris field which no one, at least so far, has been able to locate.
A mechanical failure which brought the plane down intact would have allowed time for a distress signal which apparently was never sent. But again, given the duplicate and triplicate systems of a 777, it's hard to imagine what sort of failure this could have been.
A Bomb or other Explosion
The same problems exist with this scenario as with a mechanical failure. Besides, no one has claimed responsibility and a plane carrying mostly Malaysian and Chinese passengers doesn't seem to be nearly as likely a target as a European or American aircraft.
Of course it might be an easier target and I suppose the motive could have been one where credit isn't an issue but there's still the problem of no debris and no distress call.
One possibility that has been suggested is a relatively small bomb that blew a hole in the aircraft that caused decompression but didn't destroy the flight integrity of the plane. The decompression could have knocked out passengers and crew but left the plane traveling on auto pilot only to eventually crash on land somewhere.
The problems with this are (1) why didn't even unreliable radar detect the aircraft and (2) why where there no automatic messages signaling distress and course?
Hijacking
That's not so easy any more these days. The cockpit door would have been locked and pilots have transponder codes they can enter to indicate a hijacking is occurring.
Besides, where the hell was the plane hijacked to? It didn't land anywhere that anyone is aware of.
Granted there are the two stolen passports that were used and some people claim that radar detection in that area isn't as reliable as in other airspace (but others disagree), but still, where's the plane?
Sabotage
Remember the Egyptian flight a few years ago that the co-pilot supposedly crashed into the Atlantic? Something like this could have occurred here but it's pure speculation. This is no evidence that anything of the sort occurred.
There is evidence that the plane started to turn as if to head back to Malaysia. This could mean there was a problem and the pilots had decided to turn back but things went to hell before they had a chance.
Still, see all the problems cited above with mechanical failures.
A Boeing 777 doesn't just disappear with no warning and no trace. What the hell?
The experts are working the scenarios but nothing at the moment seems to make sense. The plane was last heard from three days ago at its cruising altitude of 35,000 feet. That's the safest part of any flight.
Midair Mechanical Malfunction
A catastrophic event that made the plane come apart, other than being REALLY unlikely, would have left a huge debris field which no one, at least so far, has been able to locate.
A mechanical failure which brought the plane down intact would have allowed time for a distress signal which apparently was never sent. But again, given the duplicate and triplicate systems of a 777, it's hard to imagine what sort of failure this could have been.
A Bomb or other Explosion
The same problems exist with this scenario as with a mechanical failure. Besides, no one has claimed responsibility and a plane carrying mostly Malaysian and Chinese passengers doesn't seem to be nearly as likely a target as a European or American aircraft.
Of course it might be an easier target and I suppose the motive could have been one where credit isn't an issue but there's still the problem of no debris and no distress call.
One possibility that has been suggested is a relatively small bomb that blew a hole in the aircraft that caused decompression but didn't destroy the flight integrity of the plane. The decompression could have knocked out passengers and crew but left the plane traveling on auto pilot only to eventually crash on land somewhere.
The problems with this are (1) why didn't even unreliable radar detect the aircraft and (2) why where there no automatic messages signaling distress and course?
Hijacking
That's not so easy any more these days. The cockpit door would have been locked and pilots have transponder codes they can enter to indicate a hijacking is occurring.
Besides, where the hell was the plane hijacked to? It didn't land anywhere that anyone is aware of.
Granted there are the two stolen passports that were used and some people claim that radar detection in that area isn't as reliable as in other airspace (but others disagree), but still, where's the plane?
Sabotage
Remember the Egyptian flight a few years ago that the co-pilot supposedly crashed into the Atlantic? Something like this could have occurred here but it's pure speculation. This is no evidence that anything of the sort occurred.
There is evidence that the plane started to turn as if to head back to Malaysia. This could mean there was a problem and the pilots had decided to turn back but things went to hell before they had a chance.
Still, see all the problems cited above with mechanical failures.
Sunday, March 02, 2014
The Ukraine
Less than a week ago the protests in the Ukraine were a mild background story. Now the Russians, with their occupation of the Crimea, have catapulted the story onto the front pages.
Let's understand a couple of things. First the country is divided in its loyalties. The Western part would like closer ties to the European Union and perhaps even membership in NATO. The Eastern part is pro-Russian and sounds like it yearns for the good old days of the Soviet Union.
Second, the nation, bordering Russia, is clearly within the Russian sphere of influence and with Poland, a member of NATO, both Georgia and Belarus joining the NATO "partnership for peace" and the Ukraine also making nice with the western alliance, the Russians must be feeling awfully left out and more than a little nervous.
This is probably a gamble that Putin felt he needed to take in the hopes that the Sochi Olympics built up, if not good will, than at least tolerance.
I think he expected crying, moaning and complaints but not much more than that.
The question becomes is there anything, other than yell, jump up and down and wring hands, that anyone is willing to do about this.
I suppose we shall see. Personally I'm not willing to do a whole hell of a lot other than yell, jump up and down and wring hands. It didn't inconvenience me when the Ukraine was a part of the USSR, so who really cares?
I could be wrong but I don't think the Russians want the Ukraine. They want a Russian friendly government and some peace and quiet in the country, something there hasn't been much of lately.
Let's understand a couple of things. First the country is divided in its loyalties. The Western part would like closer ties to the European Union and perhaps even membership in NATO. The Eastern part is pro-Russian and sounds like it yearns for the good old days of the Soviet Union.
Second, the nation, bordering Russia, is clearly within the Russian sphere of influence and with Poland, a member of NATO, both Georgia and Belarus joining the NATO "partnership for peace" and the Ukraine also making nice with the western alliance, the Russians must be feeling awfully left out and more than a little nervous.
This is probably a gamble that Putin felt he needed to take in the hopes that the Sochi Olympics built up, if not good will, than at least tolerance.
I think he expected crying, moaning and complaints but not much more than that.
The question becomes is there anything, other than yell, jump up and down and wring hands, that anyone is willing to do about this.
I suppose we shall see. Personally I'm not willing to do a whole hell of a lot other than yell, jump up and down and wring hands. It didn't inconvenience me when the Ukraine was a part of the USSR, so who really cares?
I could be wrong but I don't think the Russians want the Ukraine. They want a Russian friendly government and some peace and quiet in the country, something there hasn't been much of lately.
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