Well, it's Friday again. The DNC is over and RFK Jr. has dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump. There is some whispering in the back alleys that Trump may dump Vance for RFK but I don't think that's going to happen.
Harris and Walz gave a joint interview on CNN last night and the reactions have been lukewarm at best. Harris may have made the interview controversial by trying to be uncontroversial. Obviously any impact of that interview won't be in this week's numbers.
Again sites that haven't updated this week will be in italics.
Electoral Vote
Trump -230 (-11), Harris - 292 (+30), Toss Up - 16 (-19)
Real Clear Politics
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 208 (NC), Toss Up - 111 (NC)
Real Clear Politics - No Tossups
Trump -268 (-19), Harris - 270 (+19), Toss Up - 0
2024 Consensus
Trump -219 (-16), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 93 (+16)
Polling Map
Trump -218 (NC), Harris - 210 (NC), Toss Up - 110 (NC)
Sabatos Crystal Ball
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 93 (NC)
Cook Political Report
Trump -219 (-16), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 93 (+16)
Fox News
Trump -251 (NC), Harris - 241 (NC), Toss Up - 46 (NC)
Elections Daily
Trump -235 (NC, Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 77 (NC)
538 Model
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 251 (NC), Toss Up - 68 (NC)
JHK Forecasts
Trump -235 (-16), Harris - 226 (-15), Toss Up - 77 (+31)
Polymarket Odds
Trump -287 (NC), Harris - 251 (NC), Toss Up - 0 (NC)
Only one site now has Trump with enough electoral votes to win the election and five others have him leading. The biggest impacts have been Real Clear Politics moving Pennsylvania from Trump to Harris in its No Tossups Map and many places making North Carolina a tossup.
Two sites now have Harris with enough votes to win the election and four have her leading.
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