The 2024 Election August 9, 2024

Here's what the election prediction sites are saying.

Electoral Vote

Trump -270, Harris - 257, Toss Up - 11

Real Clear Politics

Trump -219, Harris - 208, Toss Up - 111

Real Clear Politics - No Tossups

Trump -287, Harris - 251, Toss Up - 0

2024 Consensus

Trump -235, Harris - 226, Toss Up - 77

Cook Political Report

Trump -235, Harris - 226, Toss Up - 77

Inside Elections

Trump -235, Harris - 226, Toss Up - 77

Fox News

Trump -251, Harris - 241, Toss Up - 46

Elections Daily

Trump -268, Harris - 226, Toss Up - 44

538 Model

Trump -262, Harris - 226, Toss Up - 50

Clearly this is still Trump's election to lose. He leads in every model and in two has the 270 required electoral votes or more. RCP with no tossups has Trump winning handily with 287 electoral votes.