Thursday, November 05, 2020

Two Days Later 10:24 PM

This is really coming down to four states, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. Trump is going to win Alaska and North Carolina so that would make it 253-232 in favor of Biden.

Trump's lead in Georgia is down to 1,800 votes but I don't think there are many votes left to count. It's probably much less than 1%. Where's Richard Daly and his phantom voters when you need him? To get rid of Trump I would have no qualms about cheating.

Trump's lead in Pennsylvania is down to 42,000 votes with an estimated 6% left to count. 

Things are not so rosy on the other side either. 

Biden's lead in Nevada is an almost invisible 11,000 votes with 11% left to count. Biden's lead in Arizona has been dropping all day and is down to 46,000 votes with about 11% left to count.

It would not surprise me if Biden ending up losing both Arizona and Nevada. A win in Georgia wouldn't be enough to offset that because that would result in a 269-269 tie and it would go to the House of Representatives.

The House would vote by delegation and the Republicans hold a majority of delegations so Trump would win if it goes to the House. 

Biden needs Pennsylvania. Of course we're probably heading for recounts everywhere but recounts are historically unlikely to change much.

Then again, there's nothing normal about this election and what's been going on this year so who knows?

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