To be honest a lot shifted in favor of Trump. This is exactly what we saw in 2016. I marked those shifts in bold.
RealClearPolitics
Biden - 216 - 125 with 197 Tossups
Biden - 216 - 125 with 197 Tossups
Biden - 216 - 125 with 197 Tossups
Biden - 345 - 193
Biden - 368 - 170
Biden - 319 - 219
FiveThirtyEight
Biden - 89%, Trump - 10%, Tie - 1%
Biden - 89%, Trump - 10%, Tie - 1%
Biden - 89%, Trump - 10%, Tie - 1%
Election Projection
Biden - 307 - 231
Biden - 307 - 231
Biden - 308 - 230
Popular Vote - Biden 49.1% - 45.9%
Popular Vote - Biden 49.1% - 45.9%
Popular Vote - Biden 48.2% - 46.2%
ElectoralVote
Biden - 356 - 164 with one Tie (Ohio)
Biden - 350 - 170 with one Tie (Ohio)
Biden - 368 - 170
The Economist
Biden - 97%, Trump - 3%
Biden - 96%, Trump - 4%
Biden - 96%, Trump - 4%
Biden - 352 - 186
Biden - 350 - 188
Biden - 350 - 188
Financial Times
Biden - 273 - 125 with 140 Tossups
Biden - 272 - 125 with 141 Tossups
Biden - 252 - 125 with 161 Tossups
Popular Vote - Biden 51.9% - 43.1%
Popular Vote - Biden 51.8% - 43.1%
Popular Vote - Biden 51.5% - 43.3%
PredictIt
Biden - 66 cents, Trump - 40 cents
Biden - 65 cents, Trump - 40 cents
Biden - 64 cents, Trump - 41 cents
So, on the last day before the plunge the trends are all going the wrong way. The one that bothers me the most is RealClearPolitics.
It's been my experience that they're pretty accurate. Is was that site that led me to believe that Trump would win in 2016. It's not as bad this time around but it's not good either.
I have a bad feeling about this.
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