Sunday, October 27, 2024

The 2024 Election, October 27, 2024

OK, I got lazy or depressed or both this week. I'm two days late with this but things haven't changed much.

Electoral Vote

Trump -278 (+22), Harris - 241 (-10), Toss Up - 19 (-12)

Real Clear Politics

Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 215 (NC), Toss Up - 104 (NC)

Real Clear Politics - No Tossups

Trump -312 (NC), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 0 (NC)

Polling Map

Trump -219 (+1), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 93 (-1)

538 Model

Trump -262 (+16), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 50 (-27)

JHK Forecasts

Trump -262 (+16), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 50 (-16)

Polymarket Odds

Trump -312 (NC), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 0 (NC)

If anything the election has shifted more in Trump's direction. Electoral Vote now has him winning with 278 electoral votes.

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