Well, it's Friday so time to capture the current numbers.
Sites that haven't updated this week will be in italics.
Electoral Vote
Trump -262 (+26), Harris - 276 (NC), Toss Up - 0 (-27)
Real Clear Politics
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 215 (-10), Toss Up - 104 (+10)
Real Clear Politics - No Tossups
Trump -262 (NC), Harris - 276 (NC), Toss Up - 0 (NC)
2024 Consensus
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 93 (NC)
Polling Map
Trump -182 (NC), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 130 (NC)
Sabatos Crystal Ball
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 93 (NC)
Cook Political Report
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 93 (NC)
Fox News
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 241 (NC), Toss Up - 78 (NC)
Elections Daily
Trump -235 (NC, Harris - 226 (NC), Toss Up - 77 (NC)
538 Model
Trump -219 (NC), Harris - 241 (-10), Toss Up - 78 (+10)
JHK Forecasts
Trump -262 (+43), Harris - 241 (NC), Toss Up - 35 (-43)
Polymarket Odds
Trump -262 (NC), Harris - 276 (NC), Toss Up - 0 (-6)
Overall a slightly better week for Trump. But it looks like everyone is as unsure as I am about this thing. You can read article from pundits declaring everything from a Trump landslide to a Harris landslide.
I still take the position that Trump wins unless the numbers begin to change dramatically and I don't think that's going to happen.
No comments:
Post a Comment