Sunday, June 22, 2025

Trump Bombs Iran

Last night Donald Trump announced that the US has bombed three Iranian nuclear sites at Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan. 

Given that the site at Fordo was deep underground the US usedGBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs) designed to penetrate and explode underground. Tomahawk missiles were apparently employed to attack the other sites.

I look at this from two angles. First, how sane was this move and second, how effective was it in destroying Iran's nuclear capability.

I think this was completely INSANE and a move that only an ignorant president with ignorant advisors would undertake. The country is also tired of military adventures in the Middle East.

When challenged about this J.D. Vance essentially said that all the past presidents that got involved in the Middle East were dumb and now there's a genius in the White House that knows what needs to be done. Then they wonder why we say it's a cult.

As for its effectiveness, last night Trump claimed a complete success. The Iranians claim they evacuated these facilities a while back and their nuclear capability has not been set back.

This morning, Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of Defense, reiterated the complete success claim but when the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Caine, was asked whether any nuclear capability remained, he responded that the battle damage assessment (BDA) was still ongoing and it was too early to say.

The post attack satellite photos that I saw from the BBC showed a bunch of big holes but not obvious total destruction at Fordo. But that's what you would expect with these bombs. They're designed to penetrate and explode deep underground.

So now what? Iran has declared that it will close the Strait of Hormuz through which an enormous amount of the world's oil passes. There are three US carrier groups in the region so It's not clear to me how they think they're going to accomplish that. Regardless the Stock Market should be a major disaster tomorrow.

Iran can't just do nothing so I suppose we will have to wait and see.

One last thing, Trump is a fucking idiot,

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