Tuesday, November 08, 2022

The 2022 Election, November 8, 2022

The final projections from the three sites. I've added an (R) or (D) to Senate toss-ups to indicate lead if there is one.

Real Clear Politics Projects

Senate: Republicans 53-1, Democrats 47+1 including:

Pennsylvania Republican, Ohio Republican, Wisconsin Republican, Georgia Republican, Nevada Republican, Arizona Republican, New Hampshire Democrat

House: Republicans 227-1, Democrats 174, Toss ups 34+1

Electoral Vote Projects

Senate: Republicans 50+2, Democrats 49-1, Toss-ups 1 including:

Pennsylvania Democrat, Ohio Republican, Wisconsin Republican, Georgia Toss-upNevada Republican, Arizona Democrat, New Hampshire Democrat

Five Thirty Eight Probability of Winning 

Senate: Republicans 59%+8%, Democrats 41%-8%  including:

Pennsylvania Toss up (R), Ohio Republican, Wisconsin Republican, Georgia Republican, Nevada Toss up (R), Arizona Democrat, New Hampshire Democrat

House: Republicans 84% +1%, Democrats 16% - 1%

Electoral Vote has sort of moved to the dark side as well. Given that Democrats almost always poll better than Republicans it would take a polling failure of epic proportions to have a result other than Republicans winning both houses.

I wonder what, if anything, they can accomplish?

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