I have a number of "prediction" site addresses tucked away. I'm going to record their numbers over the next couple of days to see who says what and if I can detect any late trend. In places where there are two it's a current and a projection. Sometimes it's a win probability, sometimes popular vote is projected as well.
RealClearPolitics
Biden - 216 - 125 with 197 Tossups
Biden - 345 - 193
FiveThirtyEight
Biden - 89%, Trump - 10%, Tie - 1%
Election Projection
Biden - 307 - 231
Popular Vote - Biden 49.1% - 45.9%
ElectoralVote
Biden - 356 - 164 with one Tie (Ohio)
The Economist
Biden - 97%, Trump - 3%
Biden - 352 - 186
Financial Times
Biden - 273 - 125 with 140 Tossups
Popular Vote - Biden 51.9% - 43.1%
PredictIt
Biden - 66 cents, Trump - 40 cents
Clearly there is a significant range of opinions here yet all seem to claim they're using the same inputs. I suppose that we shall see what we shall see.
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