Monday, October 26, 2020

The Corona Virus, October 26, 2020

 There are currently 8,813,753 reported case in the US and 229,432 deaths.

California has 906,106 cases and 17,359 deaths
Texas has 882,029 cases and 17,594 deaths
Florida has 782,159 cases and 16,457 deaths
New York has 501,322 cases and 33,422 deaths
Illinois has 374,271 cases and 9,508 deaths

California has now passed 900,000 cases.

US Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 196,983, 155.5%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 226,490, 66.7%
April 13 - April 19 -- 206,029, 36.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 215,086, 27.9%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 198,464, 20.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 175,910, 14.8%
May 11 -- May 17 ---  158,286, 11.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---  161,280, 10.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---  149,072,  8.9%
June 1 -  June   7 --- 156,692,  8.6%
June 8 - June 14 --- 153,114,   7.2%
June 15 -June 21 --  190,901,  8.9%
June 22 -June 28 -- 274,422, 11.8%
June 29 - July 5    -- 350,566,  13.5%
July 6 - July 12    --  424,163,  14.3%
July 13 - July 19  --  478,255,  14.1%
July 20 -July 26  --  471,082, 10.9%
July 27 -Aug 2     --  441,956, 11.3%
Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --  382,710,  8.7%
Aug 10 - Aug 16  --  358,990,  7.0%
Aug 17 - Aug 23  --  303,731,  5.5%
Aug 24 - Aug 30  -- 296,147,  5.1%
Aug 31 - Sep 6     -- 291,480,  4.8%
Sep  7 -  Sep 13   -- 249,208,  3.9%
Sep  14 -Sep 20  -- 280,009,  4.2%
Sep  21 -Sep 27  -- 295,657,   4.3%
Sep  28 -Oct 4  --- 309.090,  4.3%
Oct   5 -Oct 11  --- 352.034,   4.7%
Oct 12 -Oct 18  --- 392,336,  5.0%
Oct 19 -Oct 25  --- 485,251,  5.9%

This is the highest number of weekly cases nationally since I started keeping track. Everyone seems to have completely given up trying to suppress this thing and relying on people following social distancing guidelines, wearing masks and the availability of a vaccine.

Unfortunately the number of people ignoring the recommendations on distancing and masks still seems to be significant.

New Jersey Cases, Percentage Increase and Positive Tests
March 30 - April 5 -- 24,119, 180.2%, 51.8%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 24,345, 64.9%, 54.6%
April 13 - April 19 -- 23,451, 37.9%, 53.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 23,737, 27.8%, 45.3%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 17,706, 16.2%, 34.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 11,788,   9.3%, 31.5%
May 11 -- May 17 ---   7,802,   5.6%, 12.7%
May 18 - May 24 ---   7,820,   5.3%,  6.7%
May 25 - May 31 ---   6,291,    4.1%,  3.7%
June 1 -  June  7 ----  3,719,    2.3%,  2.0%
June 8 - June 14 ---   2,717,    1.7%,  2.0% 
June 15 -June 21 ---   2,261,   1.4%,  1.3%
June 22 -June 28 --- 2,040,   1.2%,  1.4%
June 29 -July 5   ---  2,220,   1.3%,  1.5%
July 6 -   July 12 ---   1,896,   1.1%,  1.3%
July 13 -July 19    ---  1,485,  0.8%, 1.4%
July 20 -July 26   ---  2,580, 1.5%,  1.6%
July 27 -Aug 2     ----  2,987, 1.7%,  1.6%
Aug 3 -  Aug 9     ----  2,423,  1.3%, 1.6%
Aug 10 - Aug 16  ----- 2,682, 1.5%, 1.4%
Aug 17 - Aug 23  ----  2,039, 1.1%,  1.2%
Aug 24 - Aug 30  --- -2,117,  1.1%,  1.2%
Aug 31 - Sep 6     ---  2,447,  1.3%, 1.5%
Sep  7 - Sep 13     ---  2,576,  1.3%, 1.5%
Sep  14-Sep 20     --- 3,128,  1.6%, 1.7%
Sep  21-Sep 27     --- 3,786,  1.9%, 2.0%
Sep  28 -Oct 4  --- --4,654,  2.3%, 2.4%
Oct   5 -Oct 11  --- --5.426,  2.6%, 2.6%
Oct 12 -Oct 18 --- --6,385,  3.0%, 2.7%
Oct 19 -Oct 25 --- --8,455,  3.8%, 4.1%

Things are getting worse and worse in New Jersey. There were almost 2,000 new cases reported on Saturday. I now believe that we're seeing a second wave.

Bergen County Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 4,018, 185.2%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 3,597, 58.1%
April 13 - April 19 --  2,855, 29.2%
April 20 - April 26 -- 2,326, 18.4%
April 27 - May 3 ----  1,220, 8.2%
May 4 - May 10  ----    744, 4.6%
May 11 -- May 17 ---    432,  2.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---    443,  2.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---    468,  2.6%
June 1 - June 7 ------  240,  1.3%
June 8 - June 14 ---    306,  1.7%
June 15 -June 21 ---   192,   1.0%
June 22 -June 28 ---  344,   1.8%
June 29 -July 5     ---  271,   1.4%
July 6 -July 12    ---    246,   1.3%
July 13 -July 19  --      109,   0.5%
July 20-July 26  --      246,  1.2%
July 27 -Aug 2     --     295,  1.5%
Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --     273,  1.3%
Aug 10 - Aug 16  --     401,  1.9%
Aug 17 - Aug 23  --     131,  0.6% Dashboard New Cases = 234
Aug 24 - Aug 30  --    231,  1.1% Dashboard New Cases = 261
Aug 31 - Sep 6     ---   231,  1.1% Dashboard New Cases = 253
Sep  7 - Sep 13     ---   178,  0.8% Dashboard New Cases = 244
Sep  14 -Sep 20     --- 202,  0.9% Dashboard New Cases = 251
Sep  21 -Sep 27     --- 238,  1.1% Dashboard New Cases = 294
Sep  28 -Oct 4  ------ 328,  1.5% Dashboard New Cases = 357
Oct   5 -Oct 11  ------ 439,  1.9% Dashboard New Cases = 440
Oct 12 -Oct 18 ------ 565,  2.4% Dashboard New Cases = 574
Oct 19 -Oct 25 ------ 789,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 794

The Bergen County increases are tracking the New Jersey numbers. Ocean County is no longer the major hot spot. Things are bad all over.

I don't know where this is all heading but it doesn't look good.

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