The latest from fivethirtyeight.com shows a reversal in the Democratic New Hampshire race. The current projections are as follows with the previous in parentheses.
Iowa Caucases - Republicans - Probability of winning:
Ted Cruz - 53% (51%) +1
Donald Trump - 31% (29%) +2
Marco Rubio - 10% (14%) -4
Ben Carson - 3% (3%) -
Jeb Bush - 2% (1% ) +1
Iowa Caucases - Democrats - Probability of winning:
Hillary Clinton - 83% (82%) +1
Bernie Sanders - 17% (18%) -1
New Hampshire Primary - Republicans - Probability of winning:
Donald Trump - 46% (39%) +7
Ted Cruz - 15% (13%) +2
Marco Rubio - 13% (21%) -8
John Kasich - 12% (11%) +1
Jeb Bush - 8% (6%) +2
Chris Christie - 4% (7%) -3
Rand Paul - 1% (1% ) -
New Hampshire Primary - Democrats
Probability of winning:
Bernie Sanders - 57% (43%) +14
Hillary Clinton - 43% (57%) -14
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