Tuesday, December 28, 2021

The Corona Virus, December 28, 2021

 There are currently 52,208,788 reported cases in the US and 816,707 deaths.

US Cases
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 7--- 490,590
Nov 8--Nov 14--- 553,534
Nov 15-Nov 21--- 646,268
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 583,555
Nov 29-Dec  5--- 769,720
Dec 6-- Dec  12-- 835,107
Dec 13--Dec 19-- 931,084
Dec 20-Dec 26- 1,424,577

Well things have completely gone to hell with Omicron. The numbers are the worst they've ever been but, at least so far, the vaccines seem to be preventing serious illness.

'New Jersey Cases
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 7----- 7,171
Nov 8--Nov 14---   9,121
Nov 15-Nov 21--  11,421
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 12,580
Nov 29-Dec  5---  20,716
Dec 6-- Dec  12--  25,179
Dec 13--Dec 19--  35,342
Dec 20-Dec 26-   83,485

New Jersey case numbers are at their highest with a 136.2% increase over last week. No indication of any restrictions other than get vaccinated and wear masks.

Bergen County Cases
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 7---   576
Nov 8--Nov 14---  716
Nov 15-Nov 21-  1,042
Nov 22-Nov 28- 1,076
Nov 29-Dec  5---1,667
Dec 6-- Dec  12--2,073
Dec 13--Dec 19--3,533
Dec 20-Dec 26-  9,150

Bergen county is at an all tome high as well with a 159% increase.

We got screwed. We went tomy daughter's house for Christmas and the day after one of the daughters that lives with me woke up with a sore throat and tested positive for Covid.

Four of us drove two hours in the car with her and there are the two kids, one of which is unvaccinated, my daughter and her husband. So far the three year old has a runny nose and that's about it. Hopefully it stays that way. I'm feeling a slight discomfort in my throat but that always happens when the heat goes on.

Tuesday, December 21, 2021

The Corona Virus, December 21, 2021

 here are currently 51,208,308 reported cases in the US and 805,301 deaths.

US Cases
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 7--- 490,590
Nov 8--Nov 14--- 553,534
Nov 15-Nov 21--- 646,268
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 583,555
Nov 29-Dec  5--- 769,720
Dec 6-- Dec  12-- 835,107
Dec 13--Dec 19-- 931,084

Now it's Omicron. According to the CDC 73% of recent cases in the US is now Omicron. Omicron is clearly more contagious and unfortunately doesn't really look less virulent as was initially hoped. So far hospitalizations and deaths are less but possibly because the vaccines and natural immunity are not completely helpless against the new variant.

'New Jersey Cases
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 7----- 7,171
Nov 8--Nov 14---   9,121
Nov 15-Nov 21--  11,421
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 12,580
Nov 29-Dec  5---  20,716
Dec 6-- Dec  12--  25,179
Dec 13--Dec 19--  35,342

New Jersey case numbers are at their highest with a 40.4% increase over last week.

Bergen County Cases
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 7---   576
Nov 8--Nov 14---  716
Nov 15-Nov 21-  1,042
Nov 22-Nov 28- 1,076
Nov 29-Dec  5---1,667
Dec 6-- Dec  12--2,073
Dec 13--Dec 19--3,533

Bergen county is at numbers we haven't seen since April of 2020.

I still have pain and it's been almost three weeks. I need to go for a PET scan. The surgeon was supposed to schedule it but I haven't heard from them. Not sure I want to go with the crazy Covid numbers anyway.

My grandson got his second shot so we're all up to date on vaccines.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 09, 2021

The Corona Virus, December 9, 2021

 I'm switching to the New York Times database for national cases and, rather than count individual days, I'm going to use the 7-day average. I'm also going to include only from June 1, 2021.

There are currently 49,505,034 reported cases in the US and 791,933 deaths.

US Cases
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 7--- 490,590
Nov 8--Nov 14--- 553,534
Nov 15-Nov 21--- 646,268
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 583,555
Nov 29-Dec  5--- 769,720

The numbers continue to go up and we have a new contender called Omicron. It's still Delta causing the surge but WHO and the CDC are concerned about Omicron.

'New Jersey Cases
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 7----- 7,171
Nov 8--Nov 14---   9,121
Nov 15-Nov 21--  11,421
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 12,580
Nov 29-Dec  5---  20,716

Things are bad in New Jersey in terms of cases but deaths haven't spiked yet. Of course those numbers usually lag cases by a few weeks.

Bergen County Cases
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 7---   576
Nov 8--Nov 14---  716
Nov 15-Nov 21-  1,042
Nov 22-Nov 28- 1,076
Nov 29-Dec  5---1,667

Bergen county is up there as well.

Recovering from the collapsed lung. Everything went well with my grandson's shot. That's enough for today.

Monday, December 13, 2021

The Corona Virus, December 13, 2021

There are currently 49,929,628 reported cases in the US and 796,175 deaths.

US Cases
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 7--- 490,590
Nov 8--Nov 14--- 553,534
Nov 15-Nov 21--- 646,268
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 583,555
Nov 29-Dec  5--- 769,720
Dec 6-- Dec  12-- 835,107

It's still primarily Delta. The Omicron reports are terribly confused. South Africa is indicating that they think Omicron has peaked but 40% of cases in London are Omicron. In the US it still seems to be Delta.

'New Jersey Cases
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 7----- 7,171
Nov 8--Nov 14---   9,121
Nov 15-Nov 21--  11,421
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 12,580
Nov 29-Dec  5---  20,716
Dec 6-- Dec  12--  25,179

Another 21.5% increase but, at least so far, hospitalizations and deaths aren't increasing at the same rate.

Bergen County Cases
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 7---   576
Nov 8--Nov 14---  716
Nov 15-Nov 21-  1,042
Nov 22-Nov 28- 1,076
Nov 29-Dec  5---1,667
Dec 6-- Dec  12--2,073

Bergen county is up there as well. This is the highest number of confirmed cases since April.

Still recovering from my lung mishap. Going to see thoracic surgeon tomorrow. Still have some discomfort but at least I no longer feel like Mike Tyson is pounding my side.

Thursday, December 09, 2021

The Corona Virus, December 9, 2021

 I'm switching to the New York Times database for national cases and, rather than count individual days, I'm going to use the 7-day average. I'm also going to include only from June 1, 2021.

There are currently 49,505,034 reported cases in the US and 791,933 deaths.

US Cases
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 7--- 490,590
Nov 8--Nov 14--- 553,534
Nov 15-Nov 21--- 646,268
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 583,555
Nov 29-Dec  5--- 769,720

The numbers continue to go up and we have a new contender called Omicron. It's still Delta causing the surge but WHO and the CDC are concerned about Omicron.

'New Jersey Cases
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 7----- 7,171
Nov 8--Nov 14---   9,121
Nov 15-Nov 21--  11,421
Nov 22-Nov 28-- 12,580
Nov 29-Dec  5---  20,716

Things are bad in New Jersey in terms of cases but deaths haven't spiked yet. Of course those numbers usually lag cases by a few weeks.

Bergen County Cases
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 7---   576
Nov 8--Nov 14---  716
Nov 15-Nov 21-  1,042
Nov 22-Nov 28- 1,076
Nov 29-Dec  5---1,667

Bergen county is up there as well.

Recovering from the collapsed lung. Everything went well with my grandson's shot. That's enough for today.

Sunday, December 05, 2021

Ouch

So, I was outside doing some minor repairs. Then I came inside and suddenly I couldn't breathe. I had to sit down and catch my breath. Things were OKish as long as I wasn't moving too much.

The next morning, Monday, things weren't much better so I decided to call my pulmonologist. They did some phone diagnostics and made me an appointment for that Friday.

I was OK as long as I didn't exert myself. Exerting myself was going to the store and having to stop and suck breath for five minutes. Also going to the dentist to finally get my new choppers and having to suck air just before I went into the office.

Anyway Friday comes around and I drive to the pulmonologist. Getting from the parking lot to her office was a challenge. I had to stop in the lobby, sit down and suck air again. It was so bad I had to rip off my mask to breathe.

To make a long story short one x-ray latter I was informed that I had a collapsed lung.

I ended up in the hospital for nine days which is a whole different tale of woe including eventual surgery. When I got home, my computer was dead. Talk about kicking a guy when he's down? I'm using my wife's little notebook but I ordered a new rig. Probably no virus updates until then.

Wednesday, November 24, 2021

All Guilty in Ahmaud Arbery Case

 A jury in Georgia has found all three defendants guilty of the murder of Ahmaud Arbery.

Travis McMichael, who fired the shots, was found guilty on all nine counts, including malice and felony murder. 

His father, Gregory McMichael, was found guilty of felony murder and other charges but not malice murder. 

Their neighbor, William “Roddie” Bryan, was found guilty of felony murder and other charges.

Now we wait for the sentencing.

Tuesday, November 23, 2021

Ahmaud Arbery Case Goes to Jury

 In Georgia the summations are done; the judge has charged the jury and the case is now in the hands of the jury.

I thought the prosecutor did a good job in laying things out while the defense, not so much.

I think of verdict of guilty is the right result. I might be OK with letting Roddie Bryan off hook because I honestly think he was acting stupidly and not maliciously. He saw his neighbors chasing someone, assumed they knew what they were doing, and foolishly decided to help.

But there is no excuse for what Travis and Gregory McMichael did. The citizens arrest excuse is surpassed in absurdity only by their self-defense claim.

It seemed to me that the defense was expecting to lose the jury trial and was setting their ducks up for an appeal.

Let's hope the verdict is guilty and then they can try their luck. I don't think they'll have any more success in the appeals court than they had with the trial judge.

The Corona Virus, November 23, 2021

There are currently 48,536,041 reported cases in the US and 786,247 deaths.

US Cases
Dec  28-Jan 3 -- 1,484,497,  7.7%
Jan   4 -Jan 10-- 1,766,398   8.5%
Jan 11 -Jan 17-- 1,559,170    6.9%
Jan 18 -Jan 24-- 1,206,819   5.0%
Jan 25 -Jan 31-- 1,049,667   4.1%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--    855,743   3.2%
Feb  8 - Feb 14--   645,973   2.4%
Feb 15 - Feb 21--  476,821   1.7%
Feb 22 - Feb 28-- 487,627   1.7%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  -- 414,986   1.4%
Mar 8 --Mar 14 -- 371,939   1.3%
Mar 15--Mar 21 -- 385,590  1.3%
Mar 22-Mar 28-- 429,180  1.4%
Mar 29-April 4-- 439,617   1.4%
April 5-April 11-- 480,732  1.6
April 12-April 18-500,013  1.6%
April 19-April 25-442,584  1.4%
April 26-May 2-   338,093  1.0%
May 3  --May 9-   280,293  0.9%
May 10--May 16-  227,441   0.7%
May 17--May 23-  175,653   0.5%
May 24--May 30- 138,104   0.4%
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 8--- 490,590
Nov 9--Nov 15--- 553,534
Nov 16-Nov 22-- 622,946

The numbers continue to go up.

'New Jersey Cases
Dec  28 -Jan 3 ----30,821   6.7%,   9.9%
Jan    4 -Jan 10 --- 36,012   7.3%, 10.1%
Jan   11 -Jan 17 --- 37,043   7.0%,  8.3%
Jan   18 -Jan 24 -- 29,905   5.3%,  8.7%
Jan   25 -Jan 31 -- 28,539   4.8%,  7.4%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7---   21,470   3.4%,   8.1%
Feb  8 -  Feb 14--- 20,186   3.1%,   6.4%
Feb 15 -  Feb 21--- 17,549   2.6%,   6.2%
Feb 22 - Feb 28--  18,979   2.8%,   6.2%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  --  19,214   2.7%,    5.3%
Mar 8 --Mar 14  -- 21,112   2.9%,    9.5%
Mar 15--Mar 21  -- 22,939 3.1%,    5.4%
Mar 22-Mar 28  -- 24,483 3.2%,    6.7%
Mar 29-April 4  -- 25,535  3.2%,    7.8%
April 5-April 11  -- 22,045 2.7%,    6.7%
April 12-April 18--21,467  2.6%,    6.6%
April 19-April 25--16,367  1.9%,    5.0%
April 26-May 2--- 10,824  1.2%,    3.8%
May 3--May 10---   5,283  0.6%,    2.0%
May 10-May 16---  2,413   0.3%     1.3%
May 17-May 23---  2,934  0.3%     1.1%
May 24-May 30--  1,620   0.2%     ??%
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 8----- 7,171
Nov 9--Nov 15---   9,121
Nov 16-Nov 22--  11,421

New Jersey had another big jump of 25.2% and the first two days of this week indicate that this trend is going to continue. Everyone is now eligible for boosters.

Bergen County Cases

Dec  28 -Jan 3--- 2,717,  6.0% Dashboard New Cases = 2,715
Jan    4 -Jan 10---3,110,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,126
Jan   11 -Jan 17---3,266,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,413
Jan   18-Jan 24---2,858,  5.2% Dashboard New Cases =2,999
Jan   25-Jan 31---2,716,  4.7% Dashboard New Cases = 2,876
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--- 2,328,  3.9% Dashboard New Cases = 2,490
Feb  8 - Feb 14---2,085,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,185
Feb 15 - Feb 21-- 1,934,  3.0% Dashboard New Cases = 1,982
Feb 23 - Feb 22--2,244,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,335
Mar 1 ---Mar 7 --2,305,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,341
Mar 8 --Mar 14--2,399,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,434
Mar 15--Mar 21--2,664,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,690
Mar 22-Mar 28--2,770,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,856
Mar 29-April 4-- 2,806,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases =2,930
April 5-April 11-- 2,273,  2.8% Dashboard New Cases =2,474
April 12-April 18-1,902,  2.3% Dashboard New Cases =2,009
April 19-April 25-1,446,  1.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,503
April 26-May 2 --   802,  0.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,001
May 3---May 10 -- 693,  0.8% Dashboard New Cases = 809
May 10--May 16 -- 348,  0.4% Dashboard New Cases = 468
May 17--May 23 -- 246,  0.3% Dashboard New Cases = 329
May 24-May 30 -- 173,   0.2% Dashboard New Cases = 204
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 8---   576
Nov 9--Nov 15---  716
Nov 16-Nov 22- 1,042

Bergen County had a huge jump of 45.5% as well and the first two days of this week show another significant increase but hopefully not as bad as last week.

I was sick again so I missed my physical. My pulmonologist is having me come in for a check Friday because I've been congested and having trouble breathing. It's gotten better though once I started coughing junk up.

My grandson missed his shot again due to a slight fever. He's better and will go next Friday. My daughter got hers last Wednesday. My oldest daughter will get hers on December 3. My son-in-law will get his with my grandson.

Friday, November 19, 2021

Rittenhouse Verdict

Kyle Rittenhouse has been found not guilty on all counts. Honestly, that doesn't surprise me any. Unfortunately it sends the wrong sort of message about vigilantism.

Tuesday, November 16, 2021

A Tale of Two Trials

There are two trials underway in parallel.

The first is in Kenosha Wisconsin where Kyle Rittenhouse is on trial for killing two people and wounding another. Rittenhouse was 17 at the time and went to Wisconsin with his trusty AR-15 to help protect property during BLM demonstrations over the killing of a black man by police.

The actions by Rittenhouse are all on video. The two men he killed and the one he wounded were all white. He is claiming self defense.

The question on the table is basically whether an armed person can shoot and kill unarmed people and still call it self defense. 

There was also a weapons charge for a 17 year old carrying a dangerous weapon. However the statute in question was so ambiguous that the judge dismissed that charge over the objections of the prosecution.

I suspect that Rittenhouse is either going to be acquitted or convicted of a minor lessor charge. I certainly don't see a homicide conviction.

The judge in this case, Bruce Schroeder, has been making himself too much of an issue and is catching a lot of flak.

Meanwhile, down in Georgia, the three men charged with killing Ahmaud Arbery are being tried. In February of 2020 Arbery was jogging through the neighborhood when he was chased down by Gregory McMichael, an ex-police officer, his son Travis McMichael and a neighbor William "Roddie" Bryan.

The two McMichaels claimed they were trying to make a "citizens arrest" because they suspected Arbery of trespassing on an unfinished house in the area. Bryan claims he was just following to see what was going on. Bryan video taped the incident.

Travis McMichael had a shotgun and claims Arbery tried to take the gun away from him. That can be seen struggling over the gun. The struggle resulted in Arbery being shot and killed.

The big story here has been some of the strange interaction between Kevin Gough, lawyer for Roddie Bryan, and the judge. Gough complained about "black pastors," including Jessie Jackson and Al Sharpton, being in the gallery which Judge Timothy Walmsley called "reprehensible." There was also what the judge called clearly racist juror challenges at the start of the trial. The jury finally selected is all white except for one African American.

The judge in this case, in contrast to the Rittenhouse case, has been universally complimented on his professionalism.

I'm not sure where this one is going. It could go either way.

The Corona Virus, November 16, 2021

There are currently 47,906,315 reported cases in the US and 776,392 deaths.

US Cases
Dec  28-Jan 3 -- 1,484,497,  7.7%
Jan   4 -Jan 10-- 1,766,398   8.5%
Jan 11 -Jan 17-- 1,559,170    6.9%
Jan 18 -Jan 24-- 1,206,819   5.0%
Jan 25 -Jan 31-- 1,049,667   4.1%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--    855,743   3.2%
Feb  8 - Feb 14--   645,973   2.4%
Feb 15 - Feb 21--  476,821   1.7%
Feb 22 - Feb 28-- 487,627   1.7%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  -- 414,986   1.4%
Mar 8 --Mar 14 -- 371,939   1.3%
Mar 15--Mar 21 -- 385,590  1.3%
Mar 22-Mar 28-- 429,180  1.4%
Mar 29-April 4-- 439,617   1.4%
April 5-April 11-- 480,732  1.6
April 12-April 18-500,013  1.6%
April 19-April 25-442,584  1.4%
April 26-May 2-   338,093  1.0%
May 3  --May 9-   280,293  0.9%
May 10--May 16-  227,441   0.7%
May 17--May 23-  175,653   0.5%
May 24--May 30- 138,104   0.4%
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 8--- 490,590
Nov 9--Nov 15--- 553,534

The numbers have started back up as the colder weather makes its appearance.

'New Jersey Cases
Dec  28 -Jan 3 ----30,821   6.7%,   9.9%
Jan    4 -Jan 10 --- 36,012   7.3%, 10.1%
Jan   11 -Jan 17 --- 37,043   7.0%,  8.3%
Jan   18 -Jan 24 -- 29,905   5.3%,  8.7%
Jan   25 -Jan 31 -- 28,539   4.8%,  7.4%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7---   21,470   3.4%,   8.1%
Feb  8 -  Feb 14--- 20,186   3.1%,   6.4%
Feb 15 -  Feb 21--- 17,549   2.6%,   6.2%
Feb 22 - Feb 28--  18,979   2.8%,   6.2%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  --  19,214   2.7%,    5.3%
Mar 8 --Mar 14  -- 21,112   2.9%,    9.5%
Mar 15--Mar 21  -- 22,939 3.1%,    5.4%
Mar 22-Mar 28  -- 24,483 3.2%,    6.7%
Mar 29-April 4  -- 25,535  3.2%,    7.8%
April 5-April 11  -- 22,045 2.7%,    6.7%
April 12-April 18--21,467  2.6%,    6.6%
April 19-April 25--16,367  1.9%,    5.0%
April 26-May 2--- 10,824  1.2%,    3.8%
May 3--May 10---   5,283  0.6%,    2.0%
May 10-May 16---  2,413   0.3%     1.3%
May 17-May 23---  2,934  0.3%     1.1%
May 24-May 30--  1,620   0.2%     ??%
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 8----- 7,171
Nov 9--Nov 15---   8,768

As the earlier data indicated New Jersey had a jump of 27.2% and the first two days of this week look worse. The current trend is showing 11,543 cases which would be an increase of 26.6%. Governor Murphy is considering making everyone eligible for boosters.

Bergen County Cases

Dec  28 -Jan 3--- 2,717,  6.0% Dashboard New Cases = 2,715
Jan    4 -Jan 10---3,110,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,126
Jan   11 -Jan 17---3,266,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,413
Jan   18-Jan 24---2,858,  5.2% Dashboard New Cases =2,999
Jan   25-Jan 31---2,716,  4.7% Dashboard New Cases = 2,876
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--- 2,328,  3.9% Dashboard New Cases = 2,490
Feb  8 - Feb 14---2,085,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,185
Feb 15 - Feb 21-- 1,934,  3.0% Dashboard New Cases = 1,982
Feb 23 - Feb 22--2,244,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,335
Mar 1 ---Mar 7 --2,305,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,341
Mar 8 --Mar 14--2,399,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,434
Mar 15--Mar 21--2,664,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,690
Mar 22-Mar 28--2,770,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,856
Mar 29-April 4-- 2,806,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases =2,930
April 5-April 11-- 2,273,  2.8% Dashboard New Cases =2,474
April 12-April 18-1,902,  2.3% Dashboard New Cases =2,009
April 19-April 25-1,446,  1.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,503
April 26-May 2 --   802,  0.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,001
May 3---May 10 -- 693,  0.8% Dashboard New Cases = 809
May 10--May 16 -- 348,  0.4% Dashboard New Cases = 468
May 17--May 23 -- 246,  0.3% Dashboard New Cases = 329
May 24-May 30 -- 173,   0.2% Dashboard New Cases = 204
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 8---   576
Nov 9--Nov 15---  781

Bergen County jumped 24.3% as well and the first two days of this week show another significant increase. The current trend is showing 1.014 cases which would be a jump of 41.6%.

So, let's see, my car is fine, the microwave was installed and I survived my pulmonologist appointment. Next on tap is my yearly physical next Monday.
My grandson didn't get his shot. My daughter had moved it to Saturday but he came down with a tummy flu. He's feeling better and the appointment has ben moved to next Friday. I'm not sure when my daughter is getting he shot. She's eligible because she works for a hospital.

Tuesday, November 09, 2021

The Corona Virus, November 9, 2021

There are currently 47,339,363 reported cases in the US and 768,694 deaths.

US Cases
Dec  28-Jan 3 -- 1,484,497,  7.7%
Jan   4 -Jan 10-- 1,766,398   8.5%
Jan 11 -Jan 17-- 1,559,170    6.9%
Jan 18 -Jan 24-- 1,206,819   5.0%
Jan 25 -Jan 31-- 1,049,667   4.1%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--    855,743   3.2%
Feb  8 - Feb 14--   645,973   2.4%
Feb 15 - Feb 21--  476,821   1.7%
Feb 22 - Feb 28-- 487,627   1.7%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  -- 414,986   1.4%
Mar 8 --Mar 14 -- 371,939   1.3%
Mar 15--Mar 21 -- 385,590  1.3%
Mar 22-Mar 28-- 429,180  1.4%
Mar 29-April 4-- 439,617   1.4%
April 5-April 11-- 480,732  1.6
April 12-April 18-500,013  1.6%
April 19-April 25-442,584  1.4%
April 26-May 2-   338,093  1.0%
May 3  --May 9-   280,293  0.9%
May 10--May 16-  227,441   0.7%
May 17--May 23-  175,653   0.5%
May 24--May 30- 138,104   0.4%
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286
Nov 1---Nov 8--- 490,590

The numbers seem to have flattened out here.

'New Jersey Cases
Dec  28 -Jan 3 ----30,821   6.7%,   9.9%
Jan    4 -Jan 10 --- 36,012   7.3%, 10.1%
Jan   11 -Jan 17 --- 37,043   7.0%,  8.3%
Jan   18 -Jan 24 -- 29,905   5.3%,  8.7%
Jan   25 -Jan 31 -- 28,539   4.8%,  7.4%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7---   21,470   3.4%,   8.1%
Feb  8 -  Feb 14--- 20,186   3.1%,   6.4%
Feb 15 -  Feb 21--- 17,549   2.6%,   6.2%
Feb 22 - Feb 28--  18,979   2.8%,   6.2%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  --  19,214   2.7%,    5.3%
Mar 8 --Mar 14  -- 21,112   2.9%,    9.5%
Mar 15--Mar 21  -- 22,939 3.1%,    5.4%
Mar 22-Mar 28  -- 24,483 3.2%,    6.7%
Mar 29-April 4  -- 25,535  3.2%,    7.8%
April 5-April 11  -- 22,045 2.7%,    6.7%
April 12-April 18--21,467  2.6%,    6.6%
April 19-April 25--16,367  1.9%,    5.0%
April 26-May 2--- 10,824  1.2%,    3.8%
May 3--May 10---   5,283  0.6%,    2.0%
May 10-May 16---  2,413   0.3%     1.3%
May 17-May 23---  2,934  0.3%     1.1%
May 24-May 30--  1,620   0.2%     ??%
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788
Nov 1---Nov 8----- 7,171

New Jersey was down about 7.9 but the first two days for this week show a slight increase over last week.

Bergen County Cases

Dec  28 -Jan 3--- 2,717,  6.0% Dashboard New Cases = 2,715
Jan    4 -Jan 10---3,110,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,126
Jan   11 -Jan 17---3,266,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,413
Jan   18-Jan 24---2,858,  5.2% Dashboard New Cases =2,999
Jan   25-Jan 31---2,716,  4.7% Dashboard New Cases = 2,876
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--- 2,328,  3.9% Dashboard New Cases = 2,490
Feb  8 - Feb 14---2,085,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,185
Feb 15 - Feb 21-- 1,934,  3.0% Dashboard New Cases = 1,982
Feb 23 - Feb 22--2,244,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,335
Mar 1 ---Mar 7 --2,305,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,341
Mar 8 --Mar 14--2,399,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,434
Mar 15--Mar 21--2,664,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,690
Mar 22-Mar 28--2,770,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,856
Mar 29-April 4-- 2,806,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases =2,930
April 5-April 11-- 2,273,  2.8% Dashboard New Cases =2,474
April 12-April 18-1,902,  2.3% Dashboard New Cases =2,009
April 19-April 25-1,446,  1.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,503
April 26-May 2 --   802,  0.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,001
May 3---May 10 -- 693,  0.8% Dashboard New Cases = 809
May 10--May 16 -- 348,  0.4% Dashboard New Cases = 468
May 17--May 23 -- 246,  0.3% Dashboard New Cases = 329
May 24-May 30 -- 173,   0.2% Dashboard New Cases = 204
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655
Nov 1---Nov 8---   576

Bergen County dropped 12.1% but the first two days of this week show a slight increase. We'll have to see what happens.

I was sick over the weekend. Just felt like cold. Things seem on the mend now. My pulmonologist appointment is next Monday and my car is currently in the shop for routine maintenance. Seems to be taking longer than usual though. We're supposed to get a new microwave Thursday.

My daughter took our grandsons for their flu shots. The older one gets his Covid vaccine next Tuesday.

Saturday, November 06, 2021

House FINALLY Passes Infrastructure Bill

 It took 13 Republicans to step up and do the right thing and the bill passed 228-206. Six "Democrats voted against the bill. Bet you can't guess which six? Never mind, of course you can guess. Anyway here they are.

  • Rep. Jamaal Bowman of New York 
  • Rep. Cori Bush of Missouri 
  • Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York 
  • Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota 
  • Rep. Ayanna Pressley of Massachusetts 
  • Rep. Rashida Tlaib of Michigan

Looks Like Murphy Wins in New Jersey

 I forgot to update this. Murphy now has a 65,000 vote lead. That comes out to 50.9%-48.3% which is still way below the 11 points that Monmouth had predicted.

Jack Ciattarelli says he won't concede until every vote has been counted. That's fair as long as he concedes. There's no way a recount makes much of a dent in 65,000 votes.

Wednesday, November 03, 2021

New Jersey Governor Election

I said there would be more on this. Murphy has extended his lead to a little over 19,000 and the AP has projected him to win.

Personally, given the screwy nature of the vote counting in this election, I'm not assuming anything even though the outstanding votes appear to be mostly from Democratic areas.

Needless to say Ciattarelli hasn't conceded and I expect the whining to start any time now. Unless they're going to wait until a few more votes get counted.

Serves them Right

The Democrats can't get their act together in Washington and the electorate gave them hell over it last night. Youngkin beat McAuliffe in Virginia and, as I feared, Murphy is in trouble in New Jersey as well.

The current numbers have Murphy up by about 14,000 votes with about 90% of the precincts reporting but the numbers have been flopping around so I don't even know how accurate that is.

I blame the moron so-called progressives in the House. They're holding an important infrastructure bill hostage for a social spending bill that's giving people heartburn. I'll grant that Manchin seems to keep flip flopping on the spending bill but the real problem has been the House progressives

More on the New Jersey results later.

Tuesday, November 02, 2021

The Corona Virus, November 2, 2021

There are currently 46,844,575 reported cases in the US and 760,335 deaths.

US Cases
Dec  28-Jan 3 -- 1,484,497,  7.7%
Jan   4 -Jan 10-- 1,766,398   8.5%
Jan 11 -Jan 17-- 1,559,170    6.9%
Jan 18 -Jan 24-- 1,206,819   5.0%
Jan 25 -Jan 31-- 1,049,667   4.1%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--    855,743   3.2%
Feb  8 - Feb 14--   645,973   2.4%
Feb 15 - Feb 21--  476,821   1.7%
Feb 22 - Feb 28-- 487,627   1.7%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  -- 414,986   1.4%
Mar 8 --Mar 14 -- 371,939   1.3%
Mar 15--Mar 21 -- 385,590  1.3%
Mar 22-Mar 28-- 429,180  1.4%
Mar 29-April 4-- 439,617   1.4%
April 5-April 11-- 480,732  1.6
April 12-April 18-500,013  1.6%
April 19-April 25-442,584  1.4%
April 26-May 2-   338,093  1.0%
May 3  --May 9-   280,293  0.9%
May 10--May 16-  227,441   0.7%
May 17--May 23-  175,653   0.5%
May 24--May 30- 138,104   0.4%
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595
Oct 25--Oct 31--- 489,286

The case numbers continue to fade. Pfizer for 5-11 year olds has been approved. My understanding is that it's a one third dose. How many people will take advantage of that is yet to be seen.

'New Jersey Cases
Dec  28 -Jan 3 ----30,821   6.7%,   9.9%
Jan    4 -Jan 10 --- 36,012   7.3%, 10.1%
Jan   11 -Jan 17 --- 37,043   7.0%,  8.3%
Jan   18 -Jan 24 -- 29,905   5.3%,  8.7%
Jan   25 -Jan 31 -- 28,539   4.8%,  7.4%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7---   21,470   3.4%,   8.1%
Feb  8 -  Feb 14--- 20,186   3.1%,   6.4%
Feb 15 -  Feb 21--- 17,549   2.6%,   6.2%
Feb 22 - Feb 28--  18,979   2.8%,   6.2%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  --  19,214   2.7%,    5.3%
Mar 8 --Mar 14  -- 21,112   2.9%,    9.5%
Mar 15--Mar 21  -- 22,939 3.1%,    5.4%
Mar 22-Mar 28  -- 24,483 3.2%,    6.7%
Mar 29-April 4  -- 25,535  3.2%,    7.8%
April 5-April 11  -- 22,045 2.7%,    6.7%
April 12-April 18--21,467  2.6%,    6.6%
April 19-April 25--16,367  1.9%,    5.0%
April 26-May 2--- 10,824  1.2%,    3.8%
May 3--May 10---   5,283  0.6%,    2.0%
May 10-May 16---  2,413   0.3%     1.3%
May 17-May 23---  2,934  0.3%     1.1%
May 24-May 30--  1,620   0.2%     ??%
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914
Oct 25--Oct 31---   7,788

New Jersey was only down about 1.6%. We'll see what happens next week but I would call this a flattening out.

Bergen County Cases

Dec  28 -Jan 3--- 2,717,  6.0% Dashboard New Cases = 2,715
Jan    4 -Jan 10---3,110,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,126
Jan   11 -Jan 17---3,266,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,413
Jan   18-Jan 24---2,858,  5.2% Dashboard New Cases =2,999
Jan   25-Jan 31---2,716,  4.7% Dashboard New Cases = 2,876
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--- 2,328,  3.9% Dashboard New Cases = 2,490
Feb  8 - Feb 14---2,085,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,185
Feb 15 - Feb 21-- 1,934,  3.0% Dashboard New Cases = 1,982
Feb 23 - Feb 22--2,244,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,335
Mar 1 ---Mar 7 --2,305,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,341
Mar 8 --Mar 14--2,399,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,434
Mar 15--Mar 21--2,664,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,690
Mar 22-Mar 28--2,770,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,856
Mar 29-April 4-- 2,806,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases =2,930
April 5-April 11-- 2,273,  2.8% Dashboard New Cases =2,474
April 12-April 18-1,902,  2.3% Dashboard New Cases =2,009
April 19-April 25-1,446,  1.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,503
April 26-May 2 --   802,  0.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,001
May 3---May 10 -- 693,  0.8% Dashboard New Cases = 809
May 10--May 16 -- 348,  0.4% Dashboard New Cases = 468
May 17--May 23 -- 246,  0.3% Dashboard New Cases = 329
May 24-May 30 -- 173,   0.2% Dashboard New Cases = 204
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604
Oct 25--Oct 31---   655

Bergen County actually went up slightly but I would call this flattening out as well. The first two days of this week are down.

My daughter got her shots and had a fever and aches the next day but by the day after that she was fine. I didn't make it to the pulmonologist. I woke up with a fever. Strangely I was better by that afternoon and I'm fine now. I have to reschedule.

My wife and I voted for Murphy and I keep reminding the daughters to go. We also bought a new microwave. Should be here on November 11th.

Tuesday, October 26, 2021

The Five Laws of Stupidity

 As defined by Carlo Cipolla and probably influenced by Dietrich Bonhoeffer.

1. Always and inevitably everyone underestimates the number of stupid individuals in circulation.

2. The probability that a certain person is stupid is independent of any other characteristic of that person.

3. A stupid person is one who causes losses to another person or a group of people while they gain nothing or may even suffer losses.

4. Non-stupid people always underestimate the damaging power of stupid individuals. In particular, non-stupid people constantly forget that in any time and place and circumstance dealing and/or hanging out with stupid people always turns out to be a costly mistake.

5. Stupid people are the most dangerous type of people.

The most interesting law is number 3 because it leads to four categories of people depending upon how they affect themselves and others.

Intelligent People - Generate gains for themselves and gains for others.

Bandits - Generate gains for themselves and losses for others.

Helpless People - Generate losses for themselves and gains for others.

Stupid People - Generate losses for themselves and losses for others.

Bonhoeffer made the point that stupidity is far more dangerous than malice.

I'm not really that sure about #2. While it's true that anyone can be stupid based upon this definition some characteristics may mitigate the possibility.

The Corona Virus, October 26, 2021

There are currently 46,330,302 reported cases in the US and 751,228 deaths.

US Cases
Dec  28-Jan 3 -- 1,484,497,  7.7%
Jan   4 -Jan 10-- 1,766,398   8.5%
Jan 11 -Jan 17-- 1,559,170    6.9%
Jan 18 -Jan 24-- 1,206,819   5.0%
Jan 25 -Jan 31-- 1,049,667   4.1%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--    855,743   3.2%
Feb  8 - Feb 14--   645,973   2.4%
Feb 15 - Feb 21--  476,821   1.7%
Feb 22 - Feb 28-- 487,627   1.7%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  -- 414,986   1.4%
Mar 8 --Mar 14 -- 371,939   1.3%
Mar 15--Mar 21 -- 385,590  1.3%
Mar 22-Mar 28-- 429,180  1.4%
Mar 29-April 4-- 439,617   1.4%
April 5-April 11-- 480,732  1.6
April 12-April 18-500,013  1.6%
April 19-April 25-442,584  1.4%
April 26-May 2-   338,093  1.0%
May 3  --May 9-   280,293  0.9%
May 10--May 16-  227,441   0.7%
May 17--May 23-  175,653   0.5%
May 24--May 30- 138,104   0.4%
June 1 --June 6--   99,209
June 7 -June 13--  86,318
June 14-June 20-- 65,265
June 21-June 27--64,745
June 28-July 4----82,898
July 5---July 11---100,556
July 12--July 18 --145,510
July 19--Jul 25  ---235,732
July 26--Aug 1  ---404,539
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---635,340
Aug 9---Aug 15  --912,812
Aug 16--Aug 22-1,049.409
Aug 23--Aug 29-1,094,413
Aug 30--Sep 5---1,130,566
Sep 6--Sep 12----1,031,425
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,025,166
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 848,948
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 749,121
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 676,271
Oct 11--Oct 17---- 591,287
Oct 18--Oct 24--- 508,595

The number of cases is down again. Booster shots for Moderna for those 65 and older or immuno-compromised have been approved. Anyone who got the J&J can get a booster of any type so mix and match was approved as least for J&J.

'New Jersey Cases
Dec  28 -Jan 3 ----30,821   6.7%,   9.9%
Jan    4 -Jan 10 --- 36,012   7.3%, 10.1%
Jan   11 -Jan 17 --- 37,043   7.0%,  8.3%
Jan   18 -Jan 24 -- 29,905   5.3%,  8.7%
Jan   25 -Jan 31 -- 28,539   4.8%,  7.4%
Feb  1 -  Feb  7---   21,470   3.4%,   8.1%
Feb  8 -  Feb 14--- 20,186   3.1%,   6.4%
Feb 15 -  Feb 21--- 17,549   2.6%,   6.2%
Feb 22 - Feb 28--  18,979   2.8%,   6.2%
Mar 1 ---Mar 7  --  19,214   2.7%,    5.3%
Mar 8 --Mar 14  -- 21,112   2.9%,    9.5%
Mar 15--Mar 21  -- 22,939 3.1%,    5.4%
Mar 22-Mar 28  -- 24,483 3.2%,    6.7%
Mar 29-April 4  -- 25,535  3.2%,    7.8%
April 5-April 11  -- 22,045 2.7%,    6.7%
April 12-April 18--21,467  2.6%,    6.6%
April 19-April 25--16,367  1.9%,    5.0%
April 26-May 2--- 10,824  1.2%,    3.8%
May 3--May 10---   5,283  0.6%,    2.0%
May 10-May 16---  2,413   0.3%     1.3%
May 17-May 23---  2,934  0.3%     1.1%
May 24-May 30--  1,620   0.2%     ??%
June 1 --June 6--- 1,400 
June 7 -June 13--  1,177
June 14-June 21-- 1,253
June 22-June 27--1,254
June 28-July 4----1,172
July 5---July 11--- 1,546
July 12--July 18--  2,598
July 19--Jul 25  --- 4.354
July 26--Aug 1  ---  5,832
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  8,344
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  9,932
Aug 16--Aug 22---10,779
Aug 23--Aug 29---11,691
Aug 30--Sep 5-----11,526
Sep 6---Sep 12---- 12,345
Sep 13--Sep 19---  12,870
Sep 20--Sep 26--- 11,755
Sep 27--Oct 3----- 10,599
Oct 4---Oct 10----  9.884
Oct 11--Oct 17----   8,754
Oct 18--Oct 24---   7,914

New Jersey was down about 10%. Apparently now there's a rush for boosters after the last round of approvals.

Bergen County Cases

Dec  28 -Jan 3--- 2,717,  6.0% Dashboard New Cases = 2,715
Jan    4 -Jan 10---3,110,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,126
Jan   11 -Jan 17---3,266,  6.4% Dashboard New Cases = 3,413
Jan   18-Jan 24---2,858,  5.2% Dashboard New Cases =2,999
Jan   25-Jan 31---2,716,  4.7% Dashboard New Cases = 2,876
Feb  1 -  Feb  7--- 2,328,  3.9% Dashboard New Cases = 2,490
Feb  8 - Feb 14---2,085,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,185
Feb 15 - Feb 21-- 1,934,  3.0% Dashboard New Cases = 1,982
Feb 23 - Feb 22--2,244,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,335
Mar 1 ---Mar 7 --2,305,  3.3% Dashboard New Cases = 2,341
Mar 8 --Mar 14--2,399,  3.4% Dashboard New Cases = 2,434
Mar 15--Mar 21--2,664,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,690
Mar 22-Mar 28--2,770,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases = 2,856
Mar 29-April 4-- 2,806,  3.6% Dashboard New Cases =2,930
April 5-April 11-- 2,273,  2.8% Dashboard New Cases =2,474
April 12-April 18-1,902,  2.3% Dashboard New Cases =2,009
April 19-April 25-1,446,  1.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,503
April 26-May 2 --   802,  0.9% Dashboard New Cases =1,001
May 3---May 10 -- 693,  0.8% Dashboard New Cases = 809
May 10--May 16 -- 348,  0.4% Dashboard New Cases = 468
May 17--May 23 -- 246,  0.3% Dashboard New Cases = 329
May 24-May 30 -- 173,   0.2% Dashboard New Cases = 204
June 1 --June 6--   104
June 7 -June 13--   116
June 14-June 21--  123
June 22-June 27-- 147
June 28-July 4---- 152
July 5---July 11---  146
July 12--July 18  --267
July 19--Jul 25  --- 440
July 26--Aug 1  ---  619
Aug 2---Aug 8  ---  815
Aug 9---Aug 15  --  972
Aug 16--Aug 22--1,040
Aug 23--Aug 29--1,058
Aug 30--Sep 5----- 948
Sep 6--Sep 12---- 1.033
Sep 13--Sep 19---1,055
Sep 20--Sep 26--1,041
Sep 27--Oct 3----   929
Oct 4---Oct 10---- 779
Oct 11--Oct 17----  695
Oct 18--Oct 24---  604

Bergen County continues to drift downward as well and was down about 13% but the first two days of this week are showing a slight upswing.

Nothing much doing on the home front. Number 3 daughter who got the J&J has schedule a Pfizer booster and a flu shot for Friday. I get to go to the pulmonologist November 1st. I never got a notice about a colonoscopy and it's been five years. Not that I'm in a hurry but I wonder if they're just behind or if I need to call them.

Governor Murphy may actually lose the election to a Trump Republican. The GOP has been playing the clip of Murphy saying if property taxes are your big issue then maybe New Jersey is the wrong state for you over and over again. Clearly that plus the Dems in Washington not being able to accomplish anything is hurting.