Corona Virus, August 31, 2020

 There are currently 6,130,945 reported case in the US and 186,543 deaths.

California has 704,649 cases and 12,940 deaths
Texas has 625,896 and 12,426 deaths
Florida has 623,471 cases and 11,187 deaths
New York has 439,229 cases and 32,951 deaths
Georgia has 269,508 cases and 5,608 deaths

I know I'm repeating myself, but the web site I've been using changed its format. Instead of providing cases from which I derived daily cases it is now providing daily cases from which I have to derive total cases. That makes updating the previous week's numbers a bit tedious. Then again everything is approximate anyway so it's close enough.

US Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 196,983, 155.5%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 226,490, 66.7%
April 13 - April 19 -- 206,029, 36.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 215,086, 27.9%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 198,464, 20.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 175,910, 14.8%
May 11 -- May 17 ---  158,286, 11.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---  161,280, 10.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---  149,072,  8.9%
June 1 -  June   7 --- 156,692,  8.6%
June 8 - June 14 --- 153,114,   7.2%
June 15 -June 21 --  190,901,  8.9%
June 22 -June 28 -- 274,422, 11.8%
June 29 - July 5    -- 350,566,  13.5%
July 6 - July 12    --  424,163,  14.3%
July 13 - July 19  --  478,255,  14.1%
July 20 -July 26  --  471,082, 10.9%
July 27 -Aug 2     --  441,956, 11.3%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --  382,710,  8.7%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  --  358,990,  7.0%

Aug 17 - Aug 23  --  303,731,  5.5%

Aug 24 - Aug 30  -- 296,147,  5.1%

The numbers came down slightly again last week and for the second consecutive week there was the lowest percentage increase since I started tracking.

New Jersey Cases, Percentage Increase and Positive Tests
March 30 - April 5 -- 24,119, 180.2%, 51.8%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 24,345, 64.9%, 54.6%
April 13 - April 19 -- 23,451, 37.9%, 53.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 23,737, 27.8%, 45.3%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 17,706, 16.2%, 34.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 11,788,   9.3%, 31.5%
May 11 -- May 17 ---   7,802,   5.6%, 12.7%
May 18 - May 24 ---   7,820,   5.3%,  6.7%
May 25 - May 31 ---   6,291,    4.1%,  3.7%
June 1 -  June  7 ----  3,719,    2.3%,  2.0%
June 8 - June 14 ---   2,717,    1.7%,  2.0% 
June 15 -June 21 ---   2,261,   1.4%,  1.3%
June 22 -June 28 --- 2,040,   1.2%,  1.4%
June 29 -July 5   ---  2,220,   1.3%,  1.5%
July 6 -   July 12 ---   1,896,   1.1%,  1.3%
July 13 -July 19    ---  1,485,  0.8%, 1.4%
July 20 -July 26   ---  2,580, 1.5%,  1.6%
July 27 -Aug 2     ----  2,987, 1.7%,  1.6%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     ----  2,423,  1.3%, 1.6%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  ----- 2,682, 1.5%, 1.4%

Aug 17 - Aug 23  ----  2,039, 1.1%,  1.2%

Aug 24 - Aug 30  --- -2,117,  1.1%,  1.2%

New Jersey seems to be flat. I suppose that's not too bad considering that more and more things are re-opening. Gyms can open, with rules, September 1. My gym is opening on September 8 but I doubt I'll go back just yet.

Bergen County Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 4,018, 185.2%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 3,597, 58.1%
April 13 - April 19 --  2,855, 29.2%
April 20 - April 26 -- 2,326, 18.4%
April 27 - May 3 ----  1,220, 8.2%
May 4 - May 10  ----    744, 4.6%
May 11 -- May 17 ---    432,  2.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---    443,  2.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---    468,  2.6%
June 1 - June 7 ------  240,  1.3%
June 8 - June 14 ---    306,  1.7%
June 15 -June 21 ---   192,   1.0%
June 22 -June 28 ---  344,   1.8%
June 29 -July 5     ---  271,   1.4%
July 6 -July 12    ---    246,   1.3%
July 13 -July 19  --      109,   0.5%
July 20-July 26  --      246,  1.2%
July 27 -Aug 2     --     295,  1.5%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --     273,  1.3%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  --     401,  1.9%

Aug 17 - Aug 23  --     131,  0.6% Dashboard New Cases = 234

Aug 24 - Aug 30  --    231,  1.1% Dashboard New Cases = 261

Again the Dashboard was slightly higher than the simple difference. I have no idea what's going on there.

My refrigerator is still working but my tooth is annoying me again. I suppose I could call the dentist.

Systemic Racism II

I continue to try and find evidence of "systemic racism." Not racism. I know that exists and I know there are racists. But I'm having trouble with the idea of "systemic racism."

One definition of systemic is "something that is spread throughout, affecting a group or system, such as a body, economy, market or society as a whole."

I look around every once in a while and I found a Business Insider article entitled "26 simple charts to show friends and family who aren't convinced racism is still a problem in America."

They started with two critical observations.

"Extensive academic research and data collected by the federal government and researchers has documented numerous ways that Black Americans experience life in the United States differently from their white counterparts."

I don't know of anyone who would argue with this but the question is WHY is this the case?

"It's called "systemic" racism because it's ingrained in nearly every way people move through society in the policies and practices at institutions like banks, schools, companies, government agencies, and law enforcement."

But you have to demonstrate that this is the case because of race. There are simple facts that can be quoted that demonstrate there are differences but, again, he question is WHY is this the case?

Before we look at the charts let's establish three things which are verifiable facts.

A. Blacks commit crimes way out of proportion to the size of their population. This includes violent crimes such as homicide.

B. There is almost a standard deviation difference in the intelligence scores between white Americans and black Americans. That comes out to about 15 points. This is a significant difference. It's important to understand that this difference exists but also to understand that no one knows WHY it exists.

To quote the American Psychological Association in "Intelligence: Knowns and Unknowns."

 "The cause of that differential is not known; it is apparently not due to any simple form of bias in the content or administration of the tests themselves. The Flynn effect* shows that environmental factors can produce differences of at least this magnitude, but that effect is mysterious in its own right. Several culturally based explanations of the Black/White IQ differential have been proposed; some are plausible, but so far none has been conclusively supported. There is even less empirical support for a genetic interpretation. In short, no adequate explanation of the differential between the IQ means of Blacks and Whites is presently available."

*Flynn effect = the increase in IQ scores all over the world over time.

The same document makes the point that IQ is the best predictor of both academic and employment success. I know a lot of folks don't like to hear this but there really isn't any scientific controversy about this.

C. Blacks default far more often than whites on loans.

So these are three reasons that contend with the idea of "systemic racism" to explain observed differences between white and black Americans.

Now let's get to the 26 charts.

1. Difference in employment/population ratio. - Possibly explained by B.

2. Difference in unemployment rates. - Expected given #1.

3. Blacks underrepresented in high paying jobs. - Possibly explained by B.

4. Blacks underrepresented at the top of the corporate hierarchy. - Possibly explained by B and expected given #3.

5. Blacks underrepresented in the highest echelons of government. - Possibly explained by B and expected given #3 & #4.

6. Black workers earn less than white workers. - Expected given #3 & #4

7. The income of black Americans is less. - Expected given #3, #4 & #6

8. The poverty rate for black Americans is higher.- Expected given #1 & #2.

9. The aggregate wealth of black Americans is less.- Expected given #3, #6 & #7

10. Student loans add to the wealth disparity. - This chart makes little sense. The difference looks negligible.

11&12. The racial wage gap interacts with the gender wage gap. - The so-called "gender wage gap" has been debunked many times. Studies that claim a gap don't normalize for type of job or even hours worked. So the most this means is that black women make less which would be expected given #3, #6 & #7.

13. Upward mobility is less for blacks.- Expected given #3, #4, #6 & #7.

14. Advanced course credits earned in secondary school are less. - Possibly explained by B.

15. A higher percentage of whites are college graduates. - Possibly explained by B.

16. Inter-generational education mobility is less for blacks. - Possibly explained by B.

17. Black mortgage applicants are more likely to be denied. - Possibly explained by C.

18. The percentage of black household that own a home is lower. Possibly explained by C and expected given #6, #7, #9 and #17.

19. More blacks lack health insurance. - Expected given #1 & #2.

20. More blacks are hospitalized with Covid-19. - Expected given #19

21. Blacks are over represented in US prisons. - Possibly explained by A.

22. Black men are five times more likely to be imprisoned than whites.- Possibly explained by A.

23. Blacks are more likely to be arrested on marijuana charges despite similar usage. - Not enough information. The conditions under which the arrests are made would have to be known as well as the number of similar cases where arrests are not made.

24. The marijuana arrest disparity has gotten worse even though states are legalizing marijuana. - This one is just weird but it has the same issue as #23.

25. Black people are overwhelmingly more likely to be under parole supervision. Expected given #21 & #22.

26. Blacks are disproportionately shot by police based upon the size of their population. - This is an invalid comparison. You have to calculate based upon encounters with police and not the size of the population. Given A, once you use police encounters rather than population size the difference disappears.

As you can see I'm not impressed with Business Insider's list. These aren't 26 independent statistics. Many are so closely related as to actually be the same thing.

I've encountered #26 a few times and the math is just flat out wrong. I'm not sure what to make of #23. It might well be the best evidence of the lot. It is the only case that doesn't really have an obvious alternative to police treat blacks more harshly than whites. 

But then the question becomes WHY is that case? Are the police racist or are they reacting to previous unpleasant encounters.

I don't know. A lot of really smart people seem to accept the idea of systemic racism. But I'm pretty smart too and I have my doubts. 

I have this suspicion that "system racism" is the "god of the gaps" of sociology. People are either too lazy, or too afraid, to look deeper into the issues so they use the easy way out and declare disparities the fault of "systemic racism."

Trump is Off and Running

The GOP convention is on and Trump will take center stage and speak on all four days. The party doesn't have a platform. It has dropped all pretense of being anything other than a cheer leading squad for Donald Trump.

This is extraordinarily dangerous to say the least. 

What's worse is that Trump has an excellent grasp on what he needs to do. He will blame everyone else for everything that's wrong; he will take credit for anything that's right, regardless of whether he had anything to do with it being right; he will belittle those running against him and he will appeal to the basest nature of the electorate.

He will pound away at these themes repeatedly and over time grow his lies to epic proportions. Why? Because he understands the key strategy of all demagogues.

...in the big lie there is always a certain force of credibility...For the grossly impudent lie always leaves traces behind it, even after it has been nailed down, a fact which is known to all expert liars in this world and to all who conspire together in the art of lying. — Adolf Hitler, Mein Kampf

It worked in 2016 and we need to figure out a way to insure it doesn’t work in 2020. One way to do that is to tell people what he’s going to do before he does it. If you explain a trick before the magician performs it the trick looses a lot. As noted above, after is often too late.

The Corona Virus August 24, 2020

 There are currently 5,833,228 reported case in the US and 179,846 deaths.

California has 668,124 cases and 12,155 deaths
Florida has 602,835 and 10,397 deaths
Texas has 592,902 cases and 11,356 deaths
New York has 434,868 cases and 32,883 deaths
Georgia has 254,405 cases and 5,133 deaths

The web site I've been using changed its format. Instead of providing cases from which I derived daily cases it is now providing daily cases from which I have to derive total cases. That makes updating the previous week's numbers a bit tedious. Then again everything is approximate anyway so it's close enough.

US Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 196,983, 155.5%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 226,490, 66.7%
April 13 - April 19 -- 206,029, 36.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 215,086, 27.9%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 198,464, 20.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 175,910, 14.8%
May 11 -- May 17 ---  158,286, 11.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---  161,280, 10.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---  149,072,  8.9%
June 1 -  June   7 --- 156,692,  8.6%
June 8 - June 14 --- 153,114,   7.2%
June 15 -June 21 --  190,901,  8.9%
June 22 -June 28 -- 274,422, 11.8%
June 29 - July 5    -- 350,566,  13.5%
July 6 - July 12    --  424,163,  14.3%
July 13 - July 19  --  478,255,  14.1%
July 20 -July 26  --  471,082, 10.9%
July 27 -Aug 2     --  441,956, 11.3%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --  382,710,  8.7%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  --  358,990,  7.0%

Aug 17 - Aug 23  --  303,731,  5.5%

The numbers came down again last week and there was the lowest percentage increase since I started tracking.

New Jersey Cases, Percentage Increase and Positive Tests
March 30 - April 5 -- 24,119, 180.2%, 51.8%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 24,345, 64.9%, 54.6%
April 13 - April 19 -- 23,451, 37.9%, 53.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 23,737, 27.8%, 45.3%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 17,706, 16.2%, 34.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 11,788,   9.3%, 31.5%
May 11 -- May 17 ---   7,802,   5.6%, 12.7%
May 18 - May 24 ---   7,820,   5.3%,  6.7%
May 25 - May 31 ---   6,291,    4.1%,  3.7%
June 1 -  June  7 ----  3,719,    2.3%,  2.0%
June 8 - June 14 ---   2,717,    1.7%,  2.0% 
June 15 -June 21 ---   2,261,   1.4%,  1.3%
June 22 -June 28 --- 2,040,   1.2%,  1.4%
June 29 -July 5   ---  2,220,   1.3%,  1.5%
July 6 -   July 12 ---   1,896,   1.1%,  1.3%
July 13 -July 19    ---  1,485,  0.8%, 1.4%
July 20 -July 26   ---  2,580, 1.5%,  1.6%
July 27 -Aug 2     ----  2,987, 1.7%,  1.6%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     ----  2,423,  1.3%, 1.6%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  ----- 2,682, 1.5%, 1.4%

Aug 17 - Aug 23  ----  2,039, 1.1%, 1.4%

The New Jersey website didn't update the number of tests on Sunday so the percentage of positive tests may be slightly lower than 1.4%. The site is getting more and more inconsistent.

Bergen County Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 4,018, 185.2%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 3,597, 58.1%
April 13 - April 19 --  2,855, 29.2%
April 20 - April 26 -- 2,326, 18.4%
April 27 - May 3 ----  1,220, 8.2%
May 4 - May 10  ----    744, 4.6%
May 11 -- May 17 ---    432,  2.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---    443,  2.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---    468,  2.6%
June 1 - June 7 ------  240,  1.3%
June 8 - June 14 ---    306,  1.7%
June 15 -June 21 ---   192,   1.0%
June 22 -June 28 ---  344,   1.8%
June 29 -July 5     ---  271,   1.4%
July 6 -July 12    ---    246,   1.3%
July 13 -July 19  --      109,   0.5%
July 20-July 26  --      246,  1.2%
July 27 -Aug 2     --     295,  1.5%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --     273,  1.3%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  --     401,  1.9%

Aug 17 - Aug 23  --     131,  0.6% Dashboard New Cases = 234

As you can see there is a significant difference between the change in the total number of cases (131) and the number of "New Cases" indicated on the Dashboard. The total number of cases actually went down by 46 on Thursday. They're also bringing down the number of unassigned cases. It's been consistently between 600 and 700 and is now a little over 300.

The fridge started working again. They still ended up replacing the fan and the computer just in case. The best theory I heard was when the power was out something leaked and melted into the fan area. Then when the power came on it froze and interfered with and possibly damaged the fan. As long as it keeps working, I'm good.

We ordered a 3.2 cubic foot fridge as a backup. It's cooling down in the basement at the moment.

It's Kamala

 I'm thrilled that Uncle Joe selected Kamala Harris as his running mate. I just forgot to document it here.

But first Trump has to be beaten and I don't see that as a simple task for several reasons. 

The first is the stupidity of the American electorate. The more I hear people talk the more I wonder if there isn't something bad in the water that's affecting their brains.

The second is you know that black "leaders" are going to push too hard too soon and undo what they've accomplished. Al Sharpton is trying to regain relevance by organizing a March on Washington 2020, in the middle of a pandemic. That just plain dumb.

The third is too many people are acting like it's a done deal. It's never a done deal and the pedal need to be kept to the metal or bad things are going to happen.

The Corona Virus August 17, 2020

 There are currently 5,524,200 reported case in the US and 172,552 deaths.

California has 625,110 cases and 11,248 deaths
Florida has 573,416 and 9,452 deaths
Texas has 554,892 cases and 9,897 deaths
New York has 430,670 cases and 32,840 deaths
Georgia has 232,007 cases and 4,,573 deaths

The web site I've been using changed its format. Instead of providing cases from which I derived daily cases it is now providing daily cases from which I have to derive total cases. That makes updating the previous week's numbers a bit tedious. Then again everything is approximate anyway so it's close enough.

US Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 196,983, 155.5%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 226,490, 66.7%
April 13 - April 19 -- 206,029, 36.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 215,086, 27.9%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 198,464, 20.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 175,910, 14.8%
May 11 -- May 17 ---  158,286, 11.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---  161,280, 10.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---  149,072,  8.9%
June 1 -  June   7 --- 156,692,  8.6%
June 8 - June 14 --- 153,114,   7.2%
June 15 -June 21 --  190,901,  8.9%
June 22 -June 28 -- 274,422, 11.8%
June 29 - July 5    -- 350,566,  13.5%
July 6 - July 12    --  424,163,  14.3%
July 13 - July 19  --  478,255,  14.1%
July 20 -July 26  --  471,082, 10.9%
July 27 -Aug 2     --  441,956, 11.3%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --  382,710,  8.7%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  --  358,990,  7.0%

The numbers came down again last week. I read one article that said the drop is due to more people having developed immunity and are thus acting as a block. Another article said that testing as dropped significantly along with reported cases so who knows?

New Jersey Cases, Percentage Increase and Positive Tests
March 30 - April 5 -- 24,119, 180.2%, 51.8%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 24,345, 64.9%, 54.6%
April 13 - April 19 -- 23,451, 37.9%, 53.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 23,737, 27.8%, 45.3%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 17,706, 16.2%, 34.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 11,788,   9.3%, 31.5%
May 11 -- May 17 ---   7,802,   5.6%, 12.7%
May 18 - May 24 ---   7,820,   5.3%,  6.7%
May 25 - May 31 ---   6,291,    4.1%,  3.7%
June 1 -  June  7 ----  3,719,    2.3%,  2.0%
June 8 - June 14 ---   2,717,    1.7%,  2.0% 
June 15 -June 21 ---   2,261,   1.4%,  1.3%
June 22 -June 28 --- 2,040,   1.2%,  1.4%
June 29 -July 5   ---  2,220,   1.3%,  1.5%
July 6 -   July 12 ---   1,896,   1.1%,  1.3%
July 13 -July 19    ---  1,485,  0.8%, 1.4%
July 20 -July 26   ---  2,580, 1.5%,  1.6%
July 27 -Aug 2     ----  2,987, 1.7%,  1.6%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     ----  2,423,  1.3%, 1.6%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  ----- 2,682, 1.5%, 1.4%

The New Jersey website has been more screwy than usual. There have been obvious errors in the numbers listed. They had cases over 600 and 500 on two days and then it dropped to 13 despite tests going up. 

Bergen County Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 4,018, 185.2%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 3,597, 58.1%
April 13 - April 19 --  2,855, 29.2%
April 20 - April 26 -- 2,326, 18.4%
April 27 - May 3 ----  1,220, 8.2%
May 4 - May 10  ----    744, 4.6%
May 11 -- May 17 ---    432,  2.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---    443,  2.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---    468,  2.6%
June 1 - June 7 ------  240,  1.3%
June 8 - June 14 ---    306,  1.7%
June 15 -June 21 ---   192,   1.0%
June 22 -June 28 ---  344,   1.8%
June 29 -July 5     ---  271,   1.4%
July 6 -July 12    ---    246,   1.3%
July 13 -July 19  --      109,   0.5%
July 20-July 26  --      246,  1.2%
July 27 -Aug 2     --     295,  1.5%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --     273,  1.3%

Aug 10 - Aug 16  --     401,  1.9%

The Bergen County numbers were even screwier than the state numbers. There have always been about 700-800 unassigned cases in New Jersey. That number jumped to over 1,000 and then dropped to around 400. The site also has a "new cases" per county which never seems to match the change in total cases. Stating this week I'm going to track both numbers.

My refrigerator is acting up. The upper shelves in the freezer are warm while the lower seem to be cold. Then it came back on and everything seemed cold. Then it went back to the upper shelves melting. I have a repair guy coming tomorrow and perhaps we shall see.

The Corona Virus August 10, 2020

There are currently 5,168,187 reported case in the US and 165,239 deaths.

California has 561,105 cases and 10,384 deaths
Florida has 536,961 and 8,277 deaths
Texas has 501,784 cases and 8,459 deaths
New York has 426,079 cases and 32,774 deaths
Georgia has 216,596 cases and 4,201 deaths

The web site I've been using changed its format. Instead of providing cases from which I derived daily cases it is now providing daily cases from which I have to derive total cases. That makes updating the previous week's numbers a bit tedious. Then again everything is approximate anyway so it's close enough.

US Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 196,983, 155.5%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 226,490, 66.7%
April 13 - April 19 -- 206,029, 36.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 215,086, 27.9%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 198,464, 20.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 175,910, 14.8%
May 11 -- May 17 ---  158,286, 11.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---  161,280, 10.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---  149,072,  8.9%
June 1 -  June   7 --- 156,692,  8.6%
June 8 - June 14 --- 153,114,   7.2%
June 15 -June 21 --  190,901,  8.9%
June 22 -June 28 -- 274,422, 11.8%
June 29 - July 5    -- 350,566,  13.5%
July 6 - July 12    --  424,163,  14.3%
July 13 - July 19  --  478,255,  14.1%
July 20 -July 26  --  471,082, 10.9%
July 27 -Aug 2     --  441,956, 11.3%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --  382,710,  8.7%

The numbers came down quite a bit last week as states reimposed restrictions. Both Illinois and Arizona passed New Jersey.

New Jersey Cases, Percentage Increase and Positive Tests
March 30 - April 5 -- 24,119, 180.2%, 51.8%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 24,345, 64.9%, 54.6%
April 13 - April 19 -- 23,451, 37.9%, 53.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 23,737, 27.8%, 45.3%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 17,706, 16.2%, 34.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 11,788,   9.3%, 31.5%
May 11 -- May 17 ---   7,802,   5.6%, 12.7%
May 18 - May 24 ---   7,820,   5.3%,  6.7%
May 25 - May 31 ---   6,291,    4.1%,  3.7%
June 1 -  June  7 ----  3,719,    2.3%,  2.0%
June 8 - June 14 ---   2,717,    1.7%,  2.0% 
June 15 -June 21 ---   2,261,   1.4%,  1.3%
June 22 -June 28 --- 2,040,   1.2%,  1.4%
June 29 -July 5   ---  2,220,   1.3%,  1.5%
July 6 -   July 12 ---   1,896,   1.1%,  1.3%
July 13 -July 19    ---  1,485,  0.8%, 1.4%
July 20 -July 26   ---  2,580, 1.5%,  1.6%
July 27 -Aug 2     ----  2,987, 1.7%,  1.6%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     ----  2,423,  1.3%, 1.6%

The numbers in New Jersey improved a bit although I saw this morning another large gathering had to be broken up by police.

Bergen County Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 4,018, 185.2%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 3,597, 58.1%
April 13 - April 19 --  2,855, 29.2%
April 20 - April 26 -- 2,326, 18.4%
April 27 - May 3 ----  1,220, 8.2%
May 4 - May 10  ----    744, 4.6%
May 11 -- May 17 ---    432,  2.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---    443,  2.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---    468,  2.6%
June 1 - June 7 ------  240,  1.3%
June 8 - June 14 ---    306,  1.7%
June 15 -June 21 ---   192,   1.0%
June 22 -June 28 ---  344,   1.8%
June 29 -July 5     ---  271,   1.4%
July 6 -July 12    ---    246,   1.3%
July 13 -July 19  --      109,   0.5%
July 20-July 26  --      246,  1.2%
July 27 -Aug 2     --     295,  1.5%

Aug 3 -  Aug 9     --     273,  1.3%

Bergen County stayed about the same. 

There's nothing significant on the home front.

The Corona Virus August 3, 2020

There are currently 4.725,48 reported case in the US and 157,631 deaths.

California has 512,206 cases and 9,402 deaths
Florida has 491,890 and 7,158 deaths
Texas has 448,492 cases and 6,890 deaths
New York has 421,464 cases and 32,710 deaths
Georgia has 193,179 cases and 3,840 deaths

I've continued to track the number of case increases across the country, the state and Bergen County. I've added the numbers for the previous week and updated the numbers for the week before that.

US Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 196,983, 155.5%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 226,490, 66.7%
April 13 - April 19 -- 206,029, 36.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 215,086, 27.9%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 198,464, 20.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 175,910, 14.8%
May 11 -- May 17 ---  158,286, 11.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---  161,280, 10.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---  149,072,  8.9%
June 1 -  June   7 --- 156,692,  8.6%
June 8 - June 14 --- 153,114,   7.2%
June 15 -June 21 --  190,901,  8.9%
June 22 -June 28 -- 274,422, 11.8%
June 29 - July 5    -- 350,566,  13.5%
July 6 - July 12    --  424,163,  14.3%
July 13 - July 19  --  478,255,  14.1%
July 20 -July 26  --  471,082, 10.9%
July 27 -Aug 2     --  441,956, 11.3%

The numbers seem to be coming down slightly nationally. Texas passed New York and Georgia passed New Jersey.

New Jersey Cases, Percentage Increase and Positive Tests
March 30 - April 5 -- 24,119, 180.2%, 51.8%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 24,345, 64.9%, 54.6%
April 13 - April 19 -- 23,451, 37.9%, 53.4%
April 20 - April 26 -- 23,737, 27.8%, 45.3%
April 27 - May 3 ---- 17,706, 16.2%, 34.1%
May 4 - May 10 ----- 11,788,   9.3%, 31.5%
May 11 -- May 17 ---   7,802,   5.6%, 12.7%
May 18 - May 24 ---   7,820,   5.3%,  6.7%
May 25 - May 31 ---   6,291,    4.1%,  3.7%
June 1 -  June  7 ----  3,719,    2.3%,  2.0%
June 8 - June 14 ---   2,717,    1.7%,  2.0% 
June 15 -June 21 ---   2,261,   1.4%,  1.3%
June 22 -June 28 --- 2,040,   1.2%,  1.4%
June 29 -July 5   ---  2,220,   1.3%,  1.5%
July 6 -   July 12 ---   1,896,   1.1%,  1.3%
July 13 -July 19    ---  1,485,  0.8%, 1.4%
July 20 -July 26   ---  2,580, 1.5%,  1.6%
July 27 -Aug 2     ----  2,987, 1.7%,  1.6%

Governor Murphy has not been happy with the numbers in New Jersey and I can't say I blame him. There have been issues with indoor gathering turning into virus hots pots. The governor has said he will roll back the openings if things don't improve.

Bergen County Cases and Percentage Increase
March 30 - April 5 -- 4,018, 185.2%
April 6 - April 12 ---- 3,597, 58.1%
April 13 - April 19 --  2,855, 29.2%
April 20 - April 26 -- 2,326, 18.4%
April 27 - May 3 ----  1,220, 8.2%
May 4 - May 10  ----    744, 4.6%
May 11 -- May 17 ---    432,  2.6%
May 18 - May 24 ---    443,  2.6%
May 25 - May 31 ---    468,  2.6%
June 1 - June 7 ------  240,  1.3%
June 8 - June 14 ---    306,  1.7%
June 15 -June 21 ---   192,   1.0%
June 22 -June 28 ---  344,   1.8%
June 29 -July 5     ---  271,   1.4%
July 6 -July 12    ---    246,   1.3%
July 13 -July 19  --      109,   0.5%
July 20-July 26  --      246,  1.2%
July 27 -Aug 2     --     295, 1.5%

Bergen County isn't any better than the rest of Jersey. It looked like in mid July things were good but now not so much. What's going to happen when the kids go back to school?

There's nothing significant on the home other than we're all taking some forays back into the world. Here's hoping we don't end up regretting that.