Tuesday, November 01, 2022

The 2022 Election, November 1, 2022

Things just keep getting worse as the New Hampshire Senate race might be slipping away.

Real Clear Politics projects: -- Republicans Gain

Senate: Republicans 54+1, Democrats 46-1 including:

Pennsylvania Republican, Ohio Republican, Wisconsin Republican, Georgia Republican, Nevada Republican, Arizona Republican, New Hampshire Republican

House: Republicans 228+3, Democrats 174-1, Toss ups 33-2

Electoral Vote Projects -- Democrats Gain

Senate: Republicans 48-2, Democrats 51+1 including:

Pennsylvania Democrat, Ohio Democrat, Wisconsin Republican, Georgia Democrat, Nevada Tied, Arizona Democrat, New Hampshire Democrat

Five Thirty Eight Probability of Winning - Republicans Gain

Senate: Republicans 51%+6%, Democrats 49%-6%  including:

Pennsylvania Toss up, Ohio Republican, Wisconsin Republican, Georgia Toss up, Nevada Toss up, Arizona Democrat, New Hampshire Democrat

House: Republicans 83% +2%, Democrats 17% - 2%

Electoral Vote is clearly the outlier here. The bad news is they skewed Democrat in 2020 so if that's any indication they're the least accurate here.

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