Monday, July 20, 2015

A New Republican Poll

An ABC News/Washington Post Poll shows Trump still on top of the heap. As a matter of fact he appears to have gained some. It should be noted however that the poll was taken before his criticism of John McCain's war record.

The poll shows nine candidates. The plus or minus indicates the change from the last ABC News/Washington Post Poll in May.

#1 - Trump - 24% (+20%)
#2 - Walker - 13% (+2%)
#3 - Bush - 12% (+2%)
#4 - Huckabee - 8% (-1%)
#5 - Rubio - 7% (-3%)
#6 - Paul - 6% (-5%)
#7 - Carson - 6% (-2%)
#8 - Cruz - 4% (-4%)
#9 - Perry - 4% (+2%)

I assume the remaining 16% are divided up among the other seven candidates but with no one getting at least 4%.

I'm still convinced that Bush ends up with the nomination. Trump can't help putting his foot in his mouth. Maybe he can be convinced to run as a 3rd party candidate? That might pretty much sink any Republican chances.

Trump can't win a general election and the Republican Party brass knows that. Jeb Bush can win a general election and probably has the best chance of doing so. The Republican Party brass knows that as well. I think Marco Rubio has the 2nd best chance of winning a general election.

On the Democratic side it looks like Hillary Clinton all the way.

#1 - Clinton - 63%
#2 - Sanders - 14%
#3 - Biden - 12%

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